ATL: MATTHEW - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[northjaxpro]

Good morning everyone!

City of Jacksonville. and Duval County EOC will announce massive evacuation for the entire areas for both the coastal and barrier island communities. Beaches will be closed to all traffic beginning at 8 a.m. this morning.

They will have a press conference at 10:30 this morning concerning the evacuations.

[jdjaguar]

What? Really?
Packing up now

[abajan]

https://twitter.com/MikeTheiss/status/783488676319801345

Stay Safe! Who is the lady in black?

Could be Fidel's wife. So, don't get any ideas.

[jhpigott]

My NWS point forecast for Thursday Night here in NPB:

Thursday Night

Hurricane conditions expected. Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Some of the storms could produce gusty winds and heavy rain. Low around 76. North wind 50 to 60 mph increasing to 65 to 85 mph. Winds could gust as high as 105 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.

[RL3AO]

It now appears likely that a major hurricane will make landfall or will be very close (within 50 miles) of the east coast of Florida in about two days. I'd expect large evacuations of the coastal areas to start today.

[shawn6304]

How is the storm looking currently, look like we're poised for it to get stronger or is it holding little beat up?

[DESTRUCTION5]

I have no words....06z GFS loops back for 2nd landfall in Central Florida area. 150 hr timeframe.

[eastcoastFL]

It now appears likely that a major hurricane will make landfall or will be very close (within 50 miles) of the east coast of Florida in about two days. I'd expect large evacuations of the coastal areas to start today.

EOC in palm beach county will be meeting shortly to decide on Evac.

St. Lucie county has begun opening shelters for special needs and will continue to open them throughout the day.

[eastcoastFL]

How is the storm looking currently, look like we're poised for it to get stronger or is it holding little beat up?

Its slightly weaker after interacting with Cuba but forecast to strengthen back to Cat 4 as it approaches FL.

[eastcoastFL]

Palm Beach Cnty Schools open today closed thur and fri.

St. Lucie, Martin and Indian river county schools will let out at Noon today and be closed thur and fri.


God I hope the schools keep the power on. I do not want to have my two little kids home with no Electricity for a week. Thats scarier than the hurricane itself!

[Madpoodle]

Not sure how accurate these guys are, they have been hovering around 13 to 119 mies off coast of Miami for about 24 hours now? Can't upload screen shot..

http://www.stormcarib.com/closest.cgi


Scott

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[Kazmit]

Eye is appearing again. Large and ragged.

[northjaxpro]

I have no words....06z GFS loops back for 2nd landfall in Central Florida area. 150 hr timeframe.

Unbelievable!! We could be talking about Matthew well into next week.

[jlauderdal]

Wow! Hopefully it doesn't move much more west.
Yeah, according to the NHC we won't be getting hurricane force until late Thursday, early Friday, so our NWS office screwed up. We have them Wed night instead.

http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=26.79403915600045&lon=-80.26748829499968#.V_TC9n0pBoP
well, today according to our weather from the nws we will receive hurricane conditions, then tropical storm.
here in Palm Beach county near Royal Palm Beach. Hope they see this to get it corrected. May cause some heart attacks!

We have Tropical Storm Conditions in the forecast from NWS all the way here on the east coast near Tampa.

prepare for a landfalling hurricane in palm beach..the pattern is a building ridge and even if modeled perfectly on the gfs and euro you still get a hurricane even if offshore...this track is going to lull some people into thinking since its forecast to come onshore up the coast they are all good, they arent and a few hours of more westerly motion than expected and it comes in much farther south than the cape...i wouldnt call alandflal point yet, maybe tomorrow morning we can but not now..im surprised dade county isnt under a hurricane watch

[jlauderdal]

I have no words....06z GFS loops back for 2nd landfall in Central Florida area. 150 hr timeframe.

Unbelievable!! We could be talking about Matthew well into next week.

wxman 57 last week called for this possibility...not sure where his vacation is but im damn sure somehow, womeway it will be affected by either damage this week to infrastructure or direct affects next week..welcome to florida 57

[abajan]

How is the storm looking currently, look like we're poised for it to get stronger or is it holding little beat up?

Its slightly weaker after interacting with Cuba but forecast to strengthen back to Cat 4 as it approaches FL.

Knowing that the NHC tends to be conservative with intensity, I would expect it to have sustained 140 mph winds as it approaches Florida.

[SouthDadeFish]

Don't be fooled by conventional satellite imagery. Matthew's inner-core is still fairly well-defined. Just a matter of time before IR imagery reflects this:

[eastcoastFL]

How is the storm looking currently, look like we're poised for it to get stronger or is it holding little beat up?

Its slightly weaker after interacting with Cuba but forecast to strengthen back to Cat 4 as it approaches FL.

Knowing that the NHC tends to be conservative with intensity, I would expect it to have sustained 140 mph winds as it approaches Florida.

Man I hope you're wrong. I was planning on heading to Orlando if it was going to be Cat 3 or worse but im not sure it will be that much better.

[northjaxpro]

I have no words....06z GFS loops back for 2nd landfall in Central Florida area. 150 hr timeframe.

This is insane!! We could be dealing with and talking about Matthew well into next week.

Matthew could be well on its way to being unfortunately one for the ages. This could go down as one of the most destructive tropical cyclones when all is said and done.

[KBBOCA]

I just wanted to take a moment and recognize what a tremendous resource STORM2K is. There is absolutely no better place to follow along with what's happening with tropical weather! There are quite a few professional meteorologists that share their thoughts and knowledge here, along with meteorology students, and also very impressively intelligent and knowledgeable amateur enthusiasts who share their thoughts. A round of applause is deserved, for the creators, managers, moderators, and contributors, that keep STORM2K the valuable forum/resource that we all appreciate and cling to, when dangerous tropical weather is in play. Clap. clap, clap!

I so agree with this.

Although I'm sobered by the terrible situation in Haiti, and the looming threat to the Bahamas, FL and the Southeast, it's been great to be back here and reminded of what a fantastic site this is. I've "enjoyed" the time back on the boards here the past few days after a few years where I barely checked in at all. This place seemed like family back in the difficult years of 2004 - 2005.

I no longer have a home in FL. (My US home is now in Charlotte, but I still spend a lot of time each year in West Africa - where I am currently.) So storm tracking is really purely a hobby now.

It really is good to see how this site has survived a lot of turmoil and lean hurricane seasons to still be here when needed.

Kudos to all the admins & mods who've kept the site going!!