ATL: MATTHEW - Models

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Post Reply
Message
Author
Ken711
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1074
Joined: Tue Aug 28, 2012 12:48 pm

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6461 Postby Ken711 » Tue Oct 04, 2016 9:55 pm

SFLcane wrote:Cone shifted west bit


Also slightly SE from the SC/NC state line track onward.
1 likes   
Top
User avatar
SouthernBreeze
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 284
Age: 68
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 4:54 pm
Location: SC/NC line- on the SC Coast

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6462 Postby SouthernBreeze » Tue Oct 04, 2016 10:14 pm

I see NHC cone map doesn't show any sort of looping out to sea off SC. Will be interesting to see how next Euro run handles this
0 likes   
My posts are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. It's just my opinion and not backed by sound meteorological data, and NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

grazed by many - most wind damage: Hugo (pre-cellphone days!) & most water: Floyd
Top
tigerz3030
Tropical Depression
Tropical Depression
Posts: 64
Joined: Tue Aug 23, 2016 4:38 pm

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6463 Postby tigerz3030 » Tue Oct 04, 2016 10:25 pm

NorthJax, based on model runs now what do we expect in St Augustine around WGV?
0 likes   
Top
tolakram
Admin
Admin
Posts: 20157
Age: 62
Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6464 Postby tolakram » Tue Oct 04, 2016 10:30 pm

0Z GFS running

Image
0 likes   
M a r k
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.
Top
tolakram
Admin
Admin
Posts: 20157
Age: 62
Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6465 Postby tolakram » Tue Oct 04, 2016 10:32 pm

4 run trend

Image
0 likes   
M a r k
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.
Top
HurricaneEric
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 146
Age: 31
Joined: Mon Sep 07, 2015 11:06 am
Location: Miami, FL

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6466 Postby HurricaneEric » Tue Oct 04, 2016 10:32 pm

Hour 18 of 00z GFS virtually the exact same as 18z
0 likes   
Irene '99, Katrina '05, Wilma '05, Irma '17 (storms I remember my area getting hurricane force winds/gusts).

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and shouldn't be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. For official information, please refer to the experts.
Top
User avatar
Hurricaneman
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 7404
Age: 45
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 3:24 pm
Location: central florida

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6467 Postby Hurricaneman » Tue Oct 04, 2016 10:34 pm

The ridge is about the same, but maybe a little further south this run with the south side of the ridge
0 likes   
Top
tolakram
Admin
Admin
Posts: 20157
Age: 62
Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6468 Postby tolakram » Tue Oct 04, 2016 10:35 pm

Ridge just a tad stronger.
Image
0 likes   
M a r k
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.
Top
tolakram
Admin
Admin
Posts: 20157
Age: 62
Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6469 Postby tolakram » Tue Oct 04, 2016 10:37 pm

A little stronger this run, a little further south.

Image
0 likes   
M a r k
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
gatorcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 23702
Age: 47
Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
Location: Boca Raton, FL

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6470 Postby gatorcane » Tue Oct 04, 2016 10:37 pm

Looks like a slight south shift on the GFS at 30 hours, slightly stronger ridge
0 likes   
Top
tolakram
Admin
Admin
Posts: 20157
Age: 62
Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6471 Postby tolakram » Tue Oct 04, 2016 10:38 pm

4 run trend
Image
0 likes   
M a r k
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
SouthFLTropics
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4258
Age: 50
Joined: Thu Aug 14, 2003 8:04 am
Location: Port St. Lucie, Florida

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6472 Postby SouthFLTropics » Tue Oct 04, 2016 10:39 pm

Definitely a bit stronger and further south with the ridge. Very close to Andros Island now Matthew is. Time will tell if it makes it to the coast.
0 likes   
Fourth Generation Florida Native

Personal Storm History: David 79, Andrew 92, Erin 95, Floyd 99, Irene 99, Frances 04, Jeanne 04, Wilma 05, Matthew 16, Irma 17, Ian 22, Nicole 22, Milton 24
Top
User avatar
Hurricaneman
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 7404
Age: 45
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 3:24 pm
Location: central florida

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6473 Postby Hurricaneman » Tue Oct 04, 2016 10:39 pm

Heading for Abaco this run but will it make that nasty landfall
0 likes   
Top
tolakram
Admin
Admin
Posts: 20157
Age: 62
Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6474 Postby tolakram » Tue Oct 04, 2016 10:39 pm

Image
0 likes   
M a r k
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
Hurricaneman
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 7404
Age: 45
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 3:24 pm
Location: central florida

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6475 Postby Hurricaneman » Tue Oct 04, 2016 10:40 pm

over Abaco at 36hrs
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
NDG
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 15507
Joined: Sun Jul 09, 2006 10:14 pm
Location: Orlando, FL

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6476 Postby NDG » Tue Oct 04, 2016 10:40 pm

Another slight shift to the south and west by the GFS so far on this run.
0 likes   
Top
caneseddy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1193
Joined: Fri Sep 03, 2004 9:31 pm
Location: Plantation, FL

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6477 Postby caneseddy » Tue Oct 04, 2016 10:41 pm

Hurricaneman wrote:over Abaco at 36hrs


I think you meant Andros Island :D
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
gatorcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 23702
Age: 47
Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
Location: Boca Raton, FL

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6478 Postby gatorcane » Tue Oct 04, 2016 10:41 pm

42 hours and more south than 18Z :eek:
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
SouthFLTropics
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4258
Age: 50
Joined: Thu Aug 14, 2003 8:04 am
Location: Port St. Lucie, Florida

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6479 Postby SouthFLTropics » Tue Oct 04, 2016 10:42 pm

It's gonna hit...don't see anyway around it.
0 likes   
Fourth Generation Florida Native

Personal Storm History: David 79, Andrew 92, Erin 95, Floyd 99, Irene 99, Frances 04, Jeanne 04, Wilma 05, Matthew 16, Irma 17, Ian 22, Nicole 22, Milton 24
Top
psyclone
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4801
Joined: Wed Aug 24, 2005 9:04 pm
Location: palm harbor fl

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6480 Postby psyclone » Tue Oct 04, 2016 10:42 pm

Hurricaneman wrote:over Abaco at 36hrs

Andros!
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “2016”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 54 guests