ATL: MATTHEW - Models

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tolakram
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6481 Postby tolakram » Tue Oct 04, 2016 10:43 pm

Image
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6482 Postby SFLcane » Tue Oct 04, 2016 10:43 pm

Landfall SFL?
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6483 Postby Hurricaneman » Tue Oct 04, 2016 10:43 pm

psyclone wrote:
Hurricaneman wrote:over Abaco at 36hrs

Andros!


okay, always make that error
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6484 Postby tolakram » Tue Oct 04, 2016 10:43 pm

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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6485 Postby NDG » Tue Oct 04, 2016 10:44 pm

Wow, keeps trending towards the 12z Euro!
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6486 Postby SFLcane » Tue Oct 04, 2016 10:44 pm

Oh my
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6487 Postby JPmia » Tue Oct 04, 2016 10:44 pm

I'm so glad I have all my preps done.. these models just keep creeping west and south down the coast and then up the coast.. talk about a nightmare unfolding for Florida.
Last edited by JPmia on Tue Oct 04, 2016 10:45 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6488 Postby gatorcane » Tue Oct 04, 2016 10:45 pm

When are these west shifts going to end? :double:
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6489 Postby tgenius » Tue Oct 04, 2016 10:45 pm

Damn that's close! It is further south and west of 18z so if it pans out and euro does too, hurricane warnings for dade I'd imagine would be issued at 5am. :/
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6490 Postby tolakram » Tue Oct 04, 2016 10:45 pm

Image
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6491 Postby Alyono » Tue Oct 04, 2016 10:45 pm

uh oh spaghetti-os

stronger and a stronger ridge
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6492 Postby Dean4Storms » Tue Oct 04, 2016 10:46 pm

Stronger ridge, think this will look like the 12z ECM
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6493 Postby adam0983 » Tue Oct 04, 2016 10:47 pm

Looks like a palm beach county landfall so close to coast. Any wobble and it hits
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6494 Postby tolakram » Tue Oct 04, 2016 10:47 pm

4 run trend

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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6495 Postby drewschmaltz » Tue Oct 04, 2016 10:47 pm

Can we get a high res pressure readout? Conditions look too favorable for this to absolutely bomb.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6496 Postby jhpigott » Tue Oct 04, 2016 10:48 pm

So latest runs of GFS, Euro, UKMET and GDFL either all show landfall or coastal brush with PBC/Treasure Coast
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6497 Postby NDG » Tue Oct 04, 2016 10:48 pm

Lol, if this trend of stronger ridging continues it might even make landfall over SE FL. Incredible!
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6498 Postby tolakram » Tue Oct 04, 2016 10:48 pm

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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6499 Postby caneseddy » Tue Oct 04, 2016 10:49 pm

tolakram wrote:4 run trend

Image


Oh my not what you want to see here in South Florida...farther south and west :eek:
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#6500 Postby AdamFirst » Tue Oct 04, 2016 10:49 pm

Western eyewall over St. Lucie County, if not the eye entirely.

At that point, what difference does it make.
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