ATL: MATTHEW - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#6501 Postby bqknight » Wed Oct 05, 2016 9:02 am

Orlando wrote:I haven't read every page of this thread, but would like to know if you all were in Orlando, would you evacuate?

Also, are the people in Orlando putting up plywood on the windows? Are there other ways to secure the windows besides plywood or shutters?

This forum is always so helpful. This is my first major hurricane to go through.


This is from the NWS in Melbourne, specifically for Orlando:


- CURRENT THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY: HIGH
- THE WIND THREAT HAS REMAINED NEARLY STEADY FROM THE
PREVIOUS ASSESSMENT.
- EMERGENCY PLANS SHOULD INCLUDE A REASONABLE THREAT FOR
HURRICANE FORCE WIND OF 74 TO 110 MPH OF EQUIVALENT
CATEGORY 1 TO 2 INTENSITY.
- TO BE SAFE, AGGRESSIVELY PREPARE FOR THE POTENTIAL OF
EXTENSIVE WIND IMPACTS. REMAINING EFFORTS TO SECURE
PROPERTIES SHOULD NOW BE BROUGHT TO COMPLETION.
- DANGEROUS AND LIFE THREATENING WIND IS POSSIBLE. FAILURE TO
ADEQUATELY SHELTER MAY RESULT IN SERIOUS INJURY OR LOSS OF
LIFE. MOVE TO SAFE SHELTER BEFORE THE WIND BECOMES
HAZARDOUS.

- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: EXTENSIVE
- CONSIDERABLE ROOF DAMAGE TO STURDY BUILDINGS, WITH SOME
HAVING WINDOW, DOOR, AND GARAGE DOOR FAILURES LEADING TO
STRUCTURAL DAMAGE. MOBILE HOMES SEVERELY DAMAGED, WITH SOME
DESTROYED. DAMAGE ACCENTUATED BY AIRBORNE PROJECTILES.
LOCATIONS MAY BE UNINHABITABLE FOR WEEKS.
- MANY LARGE TREES SNAPPED OR UPROOTED ALONG WITH FENCES AND
ROADWAY SIGNS BLOWN OVER.
- SOME ROADS IMPASSABLE FROM LARGE DEBRIS, AND MORE WITHIN
URBAN OR HEAVILY WOODED PLACES. SEVERAL BRIDGES, CAUSEWAYS,
AND ACCESS ROUTES IMPASSABLE.
- LARGE AREAS WITH POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS OUTAGES.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#6502 Postby marionstorm » Wed Oct 05, 2016 9:03 am

xironman wrote:
northjaxpro wrote:Recon finds 960 mb, a drop of 4 mb in the past 3 hours. This is a sign of intenisification. A very ominous sign indeed and unfortunately one not surprising given the very favorable conditons in the Bahamas right now.

Which plane was that?


All of the vortex messages on my google earth app say 964
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#6503 Postby Steve » Wed Oct 05, 2016 9:03 am

La Sirena wrote:
WeatherEmperor wrote:
HurricaneEric wrote:
tolakram, just posted a graphic a few posts up. Looks to be on par with the cone so far.



I am glad Mark posted that graphic. What frustrates me is that everybody looks at the same satellite and graphical images but come to completely different conclusions so when I saw the post about Matthew being SW of the track I was like oooooh boy here we go...only to see a few posts later that it really is on the forecast track and NOT further SW. This is why sometimes I have to analyze the models/graphics on my own before reading some of these posts. Very damn irritating I tell you...


Sent from my iPhone 6 using Tapatalk

Sorry if I irritated you! :grrr: Just asked for clarification. Someone brought the graphic to my attention which was very helpful. I can see that clearly now.

I'll refrain from commenting so that the experts can better utilize the forum.


Don't worry about that BS. Say or ask what you want. Some people are on edge. The Emperor is a good poster, but he came off too edgy there. It's one thing if someone is screaming OMG Sky is Falling but it isn't. And it's another to suggest a certain movement or ask about it. Like the bosses said, mutual respect is what they want. I know I'm guilty sometimes of saying stuff too, but it's usually when posters continuously try to stoke a bad conversation such as what's wrong with the Atlantic but it's only July. Or look at all those upper level lows, we will never get a storm when in fact a year like this requires them. Haha. Stay safe if you are in the path.

Matthew looks much more ragged today which is a good thing. But I don't see it deteriorating over the next 24-36 hours. I think it goes the other way and deepens (which is happening). Still no landfall call even though people were sure we'd know by September 26 or so. Haha. I'd be wary anywhere south of Wilmigton for now.
Last edited by Steve on Wed Oct 05, 2016 9:06 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#6504 Postby lando » Wed Oct 05, 2016 9:06 am

Left Tampa a few hours ago, currently just outside palm beach county. Traffic not bad either way on turnpike
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#6505 Postby ScottNAtlanta » Wed Oct 05, 2016 9:06 am

marionstorm wrote:
xironman wrote:
northjaxpro wrote:Recon finds 960 mb, a drop of 4 mb in the past 3 hours. This is a sign of intenisification. A very ominous sign indeed and unfortunately one not surprising given the very favorable conditons in the Bahamas right now.

Which plane was that?


All of the vortex messages on my google earth app say 964

Those are from equipment drops into the storm (vortex msgs) aircraft are extrapolated so they dont always match. That said, the structure is looking better so intensification is not out of the question
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#6506 Postby Bocadude85 » Wed Oct 05, 2016 9:06 am

Many gas stations are sold out of gas and now closed in my area, I also noticed workers are taking down all billboards in the area(a good idea) but not something I have seen before. We live on the third floor on a condo building over looking the water and are about a mile from the coast in extreme northeastern broward county so we should have a decent view of Matthew as he makes his closest approach. We are scheduled to fly to Cancun on saturday so hopefully Matthew does not cause to many disruptions.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#6507 Postby abajan » Wed Oct 05, 2016 9:06 am

Evil Jeremy wrote:I need preparation advice:

I live in an apartment 8 miles from Jax beach. No shutters, no wind-proof glass. My primary concern is for a big sliding glass door leading to a balcony, behind which is a forest of trees. Should I get plywood to put up outside the glass doors on the balcony, or should it not get that bad?

For your peace of mind, it may be a good idea to board it up, just in case the forecast cone shifts more to the west. Six years ago, even though what was still just Tropical Storm Tomas at the time blew sustained winds of about 70 mph into my area, it seemed like just the force of the wind, without any flying debris, would be enough to break the panes of my glass door. Quite scary. I don't know if it was just my imagination getting the better of me or if it was a real possibility. If it's a hassle to put up the plywood, I suppose you could delay doing so for a day, in case the cone shifts back to the east. It's your call.
Last edited by abajan on Wed Oct 05, 2016 9:07 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#6508 Postby tolakram » Wed Oct 05, 2016 9:07 am

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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#6509 Postby Canelaw99 » Wed Oct 05, 2016 9:07 am

http://www.weather.gov/mfl/htiwind

Here's my question. I'm in extreme SE Dade County and we only have TS warning at this time, so why on earth are we in red zone for high probability of cat 1-2 winds? I'm a nurse scheduled to work tomorrow and not sure, yet, what the facility is doing. All preps need to be done today. Yes, I know, better to be safe than sorry, but this graphic just surprised me.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#6510 Postby GCANE » Wed Oct 05, 2016 9:07 am

LOL, 06Z GFS is hillarious.
Its like oops I missed Miami the 1st time, need to come back for a 2nd shot and then OTS.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#6511 Postby Rail Dawg » Wed Oct 05, 2016 9:08 am

Yes I'm an old-school Pro Met and yes now I'm an airline Captain with a major airline but you know what?

I also chase hurricanes and have done so for 35 years.

Heading now to West Palm Beach from Houston.

Loaded for bear.

Will adjust plan accordingly.

Wish me luck guys.

You are all my people and I know many of you are in for a long several days.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#6512 Postby Miami Storm Tracker » Wed Oct 05, 2016 9:08 am

Back one page there was a quote from NBC6 John Morales about the intensification going on, and that Hurricane force winds could be expanding. At what point do they change Tropical Storm warnings for at least a Hurricane watch here in Miami Dade.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#6513 Postby SunnyThoughts » Wed Oct 05, 2016 9:09 am

marionstorm wrote:
xironman wrote:
northjaxpro wrote:Recon finds 960 mb, a drop of 4 mb in the past 3 hours. This is a sign of intenisification. A very ominous sign indeed and unfortunately one not surprising given the very favorable conditons in the Bahamas right now.

Which plane was that?


All of the vortex messages on my google earth app say 964


There is a plane inside Matthew at this time, the information people relay here to everyone is in realtime. The 960 mb is accurate for the last pass the AF plane made into matthew.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#6514 Postby lando » Wed Oct 05, 2016 9:09 am

Rail Dawg wrote:Yes I'm an old-school Pro Met and yes now I'm an airline Captain with a major airline but you know what?

I also chase hurricanes and have done so for 35 years.

Heading now to West Palm Beach from Houston.

Loaded for bear.

Will adjust plan accordingly.

Wish me luck guys.

You are all my people and I know many of you are in for a long several days.


Where you going in Wpb? Is that where you think landfall will occur?
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#6515 Postby SunnyThoughts » Wed Oct 05, 2016 9:09 am

Rail Dawg wrote:Yes I'm an old-school Pro Met and yes now I'm an airline Captain with a major airline but you know what?

I also chase hurricanes and have done so for 35 years.

Heading now to West Palm Beach from Houston.

Loaded for bear.

Will adjust plan accordingly.

Wish me luck guys.

You are all my people and I know many of you are in for a long several days.


Be careful RAil Dawg, this thing may end up stronger than expected. Good luck!
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#6516 Postby marionstorm » Wed Oct 05, 2016 9:11 am

Will Matthew remain small or get bigger if it restrengthens?
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#6517 Postby WeatherHoon » Wed Oct 05, 2016 9:11 am

Miami Storm Tracker wrote:Back one page there was a quote from NBC6 John Morales about the intensification going on, and that Hurricane force winds could be expanding. At what point do they change Tropical Storm warnings for at least a Hurricane watch here in Miami Dade.


If there's a need to, I'd imagine that would be either at the 11AM or 5PM advisories today.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#6518 Postby RL3AO » Wed Oct 05, 2016 9:12 am

Canelaw99 wrote:http://www.weather.gov/mfl/htiwind

Here's my question. I'm in extreme SE Dade County and we only have TS warning at this time, so why on earth are we in red zone for high probability of cat 1-2 winds? I'm a nurse scheduled to work tomorrow and not sure, yet, what the facility is doing. All preps need to be done today. Yes, I know, better to be safe than sorry, but this graphic just surprised me.


Don't be surprised to see a ramp up in language for Miami area later today.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#6519 Postby Rail Dawg » Wed Oct 05, 2016 9:12 am

For those wondering about boarding up windows take a coconut and pretend you're throwing it against one of your windows as hard as you can.

If you think your window can handle double or triple that... don't board.

Debris is WHIPPING by fast in a major hurricane.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#6520 Postby GCANE » Wed Oct 05, 2016 9:12 am

Rail Dawg wrote:Yes I'm an old-school Pro Met and yes now I'm an airline Captain with a major airline but you know what?

I also chase hurricanes and have done so for 35 years.

Heading now to West Palm Beach from Houston.

Loaded for bear.

Will adjust plan accordingly.

Wish me luck guys.

You are all my people and I know many of you are in for a long several days.


Stay safe Rail Dawg.
Looking forward to your reports.
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