ATL: MATTHEW - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[AutoPenalti]

Appears ever so slightly SW of next forecast point...

If that hole represents the eye, it doesn't seem too far off.

[sponger]

[Tweet]Cropped the current image of the core & placed it on top of sat image of the same scale-Just shows how much of FL could be impacted #Matthew https://twitter.com/hurrtrackerapp/stat ... 41/photo/1[/Tweet]

Ugly!

[bqknight]

It looks to be getting its act together fairly quickly, pulling in moisture from all sides.

[sponger]

Kudos to the NHC, Nailed the turn perfectly. In awe as always.

[caneseddy]

Hurricane Warning extended northward to Flagler/Volusia line

No Hurricane Watch for Miami-Dade, just TS Warning.

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED NORTHWARD FROM SEBASTIAN
INLET TO THE FLAGLER/VOLUSIA COUNTY LINE.

[Michele B]

I haven't read every page of this thread, but would like to know if you all were in Orlando, would you evacuate?

Also, are the people in Orlando putting up plywood on the windows? Are there other ways to secure the windows besides plywood or shutters?

This forum is always so helpful. This is my first major hurricane to go through.

If I'm not mistaken, all of Orange County had been put under a Tropical Storm Watch last night. Don't know if that's changed today. This usually means topical storm force winds (can be up to 73 mph) are possible. Use that as your gauge. I, personally, would probably wait another few hours to see if they upgrade that to Hurricane Watch, and then board up if I was worried about debris, etc. coming too close, or flying into the windows.

It really depends on whether this thing goes more due west, or more north, or stays northwest, and could possibly come on land close to you and you'll feel more severe winds then.

[stephen23]

Increasing in convection with feeder bands

[galaxy401]

Yep it's back to strengthening again according to latest advisory.

[Michele B]

I need preparation advice:

I live in an apartment 8 miles from Jax beach. No shutters, no wind-proof glass. My primary concern is for a big sliding glass door leading to a balcony, behind which is a forest of trees. Should I get plywood to put up outside the glass doors on the balcony, or should it not get that bad?

For your peace of mind, it may be a good idea to board it up, just in case the forecast cone shifts more to the west. Six years ago, even though what was still just Tropical Storm Tomas at the time blew sustained winds of about 70 mph into my area, it seemed like just the force of the wind, without any flying debris, would be enough to break the panes of my glass door. Quite scary. I don't know if it was just my imagination getting the better of me or if it was a real possibility. If it's a hassle to put up the plywood, I suppose you could delay doing so for a day, in case the cone shifts back to the east. It's your call.

But if you don't already have plywood, may want to get it NOW, before they run out and then none available later.

[Michele B]

http://www.weather.gov/mfl/htiwind

Here's my question. I'm in extreme SE Dade County and we only have TS warning at this time, so why on earth are we in red zone for high probability of cat 1-2 winds? I'm a nurse scheduled to work tomorrow and not sure, yet, what the facility is doing. All preps need to be done today. Yes, I know, better to be safe than sorry, but this graphic just surprised me.

My very UNPROFESSIONAL opinion would be because of the sheer size of the storm and the wind field around it.

[Portastorm]

Actually, per NWS, Orange County is under a Hurricane Watch.

[N2FSU]

Question for the Jax folks on here: my brother lives about 4 miles inland from Jax beach (Hodges Blvd) in a brick house.
Would you stay, or head over here to Tallahassee? Thanks

[stephen23]

Am I seeing this right? Per recon appears system is still not vertically stacked after Cuba? Showing 6mph flight level and 20 mph surface. This would indicate a storm that is not vertically aligned correct?

[O Town]

[Tweet]Cropped the current image of the core & placed it on top of sat image of the same scale-Just shows how much of FL could be impacted #Matthew https://twitter.com/hurrtrackerapp/stat ... 41/photo/1[/Tweet]

Ugly!

Puts things in a crystal clear prospective. Although the storm will likely change, for better or worse we don't know yet. Just got done walking around outside and trying to limit potential flying Missiles, about to leave now to fill up the gas cans for generator. Husband clearing gutters when he gets home, and making sure sump pump in order in case we flood. Getting a little more nervous as this becomes more of a reality now.

[sancholopez]

Yes I'm an old-school Pro Met and yes now I'm an airline Captain with a major airline but you know what?

I also chase hurricanes and have done so for 35 years.

Heading now to West Palm Beach from Houston.

Loaded for bear.

Will adjust plan accordingly.

Wish me luck guys.

You are all my people and I know many of you are in for a long several days.

Welcome to West Palm! This is where i live. I'm lucky to have front row tickets. Good luck in your travels and stay safe!

Um, you are anything but lucky buddy, lol.

[sancholopez]

This is moving south of model forecasts, uh oh... Up in intensity. Coming back quickly.

[tolakram]

This is moving south of model forecasts, uh oh... Up in intensity. Coming back quickly.

I don't see this as south of model forecasts. I don't see any reason do doubt the NHC forecast.

[ava_ati]

11 am NHC advisory

[SeGaBob]

TS force wind probabilities went up for GA but the track is further offshore. Why would that be?

[jlauderdal]

JohnMoralesNBC658 secs
5 AM NHC forecast for #Matthew was for 22.3 & 75.3 by 2 PM. At 11 AM actual position 21.8 & 75.2. Crucial to watch short term west tendency.