ATL: MATTHEW - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[JaxGator]

Though satellite imagery doesn't tell the whole story sometimes, Matthew looks better on each frame. Whatever issues the hurricane may have, it's not showing it atm.

[Blinhart]

Winds measured from recon say otherwise. I think Matthew will likely drop down to Cat 2 overnight while it consolidates its inner core before ramping up tomorrow afternoon.

101 Kts from recon

Where are you seeing 101kt winds?. I see a 101kt flight level wind per latest vortex but the max surface wind was 89kt

That flight level is 2000 feet so it wouldn't be much difference.

Anyway 9.4 million under Hurricane Warning and 4.4 million under Tropical Storm Warning, that is a lot of people.

[jlauderdal]

I hope the NHC finally extends the hurricane warning to Dade, seeing as so many of you are throwing a Miami landfall out of your hats.

too late now to have any effect even if they do

I know. I was being kind of sarcastic about all these landfall "predictions" for a cat 4 and 5 into Miami that were being offered up. Hope your generator fired up easily!

generator fired up today...tough day hanging shutters in the heat..every house on the block boarded up...lets hope the hrrr is way off, dade not ready for a strike

[Blinhart]

Sounds like TWC is expecting Matt to get up to at least a Cat 4 with an expanded wind field. That might be the reason it is taking so long for it to really get his winds to catch up to his dropping pressure. If the hurricane force winds decide to extend out 100 and TS out to 250, that would be horrific.

[jlauderdal]

EricBlake1242 secs
@Wxmanms1 @MichaelRLowry and the 700 mb height fell 36 meters in 100 minutes. That isn't good.

[Blinhart]

too late now to have any effect even if they do

I know. I was being kind of sarcastic about all these landfall "predictions" for a cat 4 and 5 into Miami that were being offered up. Hope your generator fired up easily!

generator fired up today...tough day hanging shutters in the heat..every house on the block boarded up...lets hope the hrrr is way off, dade not ready for a strike

Really hope I'm wrong also, because I know that Miami/Dade/Homestead would be totally decimated and the death toll would be so high.

[swampgator92]

The western jog continues. Very little northern component the last 2 hours on the NASA satellite loop.

http://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/ge ... map=latlon

[Blinhart]

EricBlake1242 secs
@Wxmanms1 @MichaelRLowry and the 700 mb height fell 36 meters in 100 minutes. That isn't good.

What does that mean? major pressure drop

[jlauderdal]

I know. I was being kind of sarcastic about all these landfall "predictions" for a cat 4 and 5 into Miami that were being offered up. Hope your generator fired up easily!

generator fired up today...tough day hanging shutters in the heat..every house on the block boarded up...lets hope the hrrr is way off, dade not ready for a strike

Really hope I'm wrong also, because I know that Miami/Dade/Homestead would be totally decimated and the death toll would be so high.

JohnMoralesNBC61 min
Playing with fire if you ask me. https://twitter.com/hectorfl72/status/7 ... 7922765824

[EquusStorm]

At this point, with intensity being stagnant today despite structural consolidation, I think any intensification that may occur might still be ongoing at landfall, since it's not that far away now. Those seem to be worse than a weakening storm a category higher, but surely friction would curb at least the western eyewall winds a little before too long should it actually make it to the coast. Will be a damaging storm either way...

[hurricaneCW]

Matthew may clear out a much larger eye by morning with a rapid pressure drop. Personal opinion only but you can see where a larger donut hole might pop out eventually.

[Sanibel]

Consolidating into a main buzzsaw with solid CDO again...

[caneseddy]

generator fired up today...tough day hanging shutters in the heat..every house on the block boarded up...lets hope the hrrr is way off, dade not ready for a strike

Really hope I'm wrong also, because I know that Miami/Dade/Homestead would be totally decimated and the death toll would be so high.

JohnMoralesNBC61 min
Playing with fire if you ask me. https://twitter.com/hectorfl72/status/7 ... 7922765824

He has been harping on that point since last night

[swampgator92]

If this pulls a Charley and heads into Miami-Dade as a Cat 4 with no Hurricane Warning. Heads are going to roll at the National Hurricane Center.

[JaxGator]

EricBlake1242 secs
@Wxmanms1 @MichaelRLowry and the 700 mb height fell 36 meters in 100 minutes. That isn't good.

Hummm...that isn't good at all. Will try to post storm reports until it gets too dangerous to do so.

[1900hurricane]

After hours of being ragged with pulsing convection, it looks like Matthew's CDO has begun to even out. Combined with a closed eyewall and pressure falls reported by recon, it looks like Matthew will begin to restrengthen very soon now.

[ROCK]

The winds will catch up to the pressure drops Matt is intensifying..

[Blinhart]

If this pulls a Charley and heads into Miami-Dade as a Cat 4 with no Hurricane Warning. Heads are going to roll at the National Hurricane Center.

And they need to, don't understand why they don't increase it to a Hurricane Warning, that way the businesses could get everything put in place.

[shawn67]

First time I've posted in five years...Matthew is starting to wrap convection in all quadrants...very impressive

[Ptarmigan]

When I see a hurricane getting more circular and symmetrical, that is a sign it is intensifying.