ATL: MATTHEW - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[meriland23]

I am sorry if I said anything wrong in reference to Matt. Its been a rather frustrating and constant watch over changes or lack thereof. Just wanted to apologize and move on from that.

[jaxfladude]

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Question: As of this post time-Could Hurricane "Matthew" rival Hurricane "Dora"(1964) as the worst direct hit, or totally different systems and weather patterns and whatnot, or more like Hurricane "Floyd" for Jacksonville, FL(eastern half)?
My gut it's a toss up...

[Scorpion]

Very impressive pressure drop, even if it ends up being around 954 mb or so.

[Blinhart]

Didn't realize how close Miami was to the track... Deviation of 20-30 miles would be all it would take... Wow, what a tough call for the NHC...

That is why I was wondering why no Hurricane Warning, a small jog with an expanding wind field, they could have hurricane force winds even without landfall.

[GeneratorPower]

Didn't realize how close Miami was to the track... Deviation of 30-40 miles would be all it would take to be close to hurricane gusts... Wow, what a tough call for the NHC...

Or if the wind field expands...

[RL3AO]

Big pressure drop over last couple hours. Cat 4+ by morning likely.

[MaineWeatherNut]

Is recon going to 6 hourly fixes yet up to land fall?

[ronyan]

I am sorry if I said anything wrong in reference to Matt. Its been a rather frustrating and constant watch over changes or lack thereof. Just wanted to apologize and move on from that.

Yeah you have to take some breaks from it. I haven't seen you post anything wrong.

[drezee]

Drop is 954...with nice inversion...that is bad

[Blown Away]

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Question: As of this post time-Could Hurricane "Matthew" rival Hurricane "Dora"(1964) as the worst direct hit, or totally different systems and weather patterns and whatnot, or more like Hurricane "Floyd" for Jacksonville, FL(eastern half)?
My gut it's a toss up...

I think the winds are predicted to be close to Dora's strength...Crazy track, a few miles e or W can totally change the forecast...

[Blinhart]

If this pressure drops continues for the next 4-12 hours, we could see pressure actually around 920, that would be unbelievable. The one thing our models still haven't figured out is RI, and this is something that could be happening, might take an additional 4 hours for the winds to catch up to the pressure drops though.

[HurricaneEric]

Didn't realize how close Miami was to the track... Deviation of 30-40 miles would be all it would take to be close to hurricane gusts... Wow, what a tough call for the NHC...

Yeah, according to stormcarib the closest the eye gets to this area is about 88 miles away. Like you said, deviation of 40 miles southwest can bring hurricane force winds to my area.

[ronyan]

Winds are 150 mph just above the surface.

[floridasun78]

Didn't realize how close Miami was to the track... Deviation of 30-40 miles would be all it would take to be close to hurricane gusts... Wow, what a tough call for the NHC...

i watching see if go south or north of Andros that how weather man here Miami say what to watch to see how close to get to Miami he say 11pm that felt good will pass ne of Andros

[drezee]

he is ramping...

962mb 170° (from the S) 94 knots (108 mph)
957mb 180° (from the S) 124 knots (143 mph)
955mb 180° (from the S) 130 knots (150 mph)
950mb 185° (from the S) 117 knots (135 mph)
948mb 185° (from the S) 114 knots (131 mph)
936mb 190° (from the S) 121 knots (139 mph)

[Evil Jeremy]

A pit has been dropping in my stomach all day. I knew this morning that Jacksonville, scratch that, the majority of Florida, was going to be in for a rough, stressful ride.

But, seemingly everything that could have made the situation worse, happened. Reports from Haiti. Models nudging further west. Gas running out. And now, as it would appear, rapid intensification is underway.

I think many people have been lured into a false sense of security from 10 years of inactivity. It doesn't help that the uncertainty in the forecast led to Florida only being put seriously in the cone right when the three day portion reached the South Florida coast. That's short notice for most people.

I just have a gut feeling tonight that this storm will be an all-time disaster for Florida.

[swampgator92]

The weather channel just said hurricane hunters found 952 MB pressure.

[ronyan]

107 kt flight level +6 kts

[JKingTampa]

I definitely wouldn't be surprised if the Hurricane Warnings and Watches are expanded south and inland in the morning. With it's current motion, I'm expected us all the way on the west coast to be expanded to a Tropical Storm warning. I work Night Audit at a hotel and I've been so busy dealing with evacuations it's ridiculous.

[AutoPenalti]

Uhhhhh.... it wasn't forecast to intensify that quickly into tomorrow...