ATL: HERMINE - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[ScottNAtlanta]

Recon has made the turn back to the center. I think the eye is just about closed

[SouthDadeFish]

The large radius of 50 knot+ winds will likely result in quite a storm surge event. We could see some locations report 10+ ft of surge, as suggested by the aforementioned SLOSH run. That can be very, very dangerous to anyone along the coast. Also, the slower this moves, the closer the max surge will coincide with high tide, which really is not good.

[JtSmarts]

10-20 inches of rain and potentially 9 feet of storm surge in spots. Please don't come on here with the "it's only a TS/cat 1" crap. It's a bad mentality that kills people.

Not to mention that 2 of the top 3 and 3 of the top 7 costliest US hurricanes were only Cat 1 or 2 at landfall.

[Zanthe]

People act like this cat 5 hurricane clam down god lol

It's still a dangerous situation and nothing to joke about.

I believe 14 people were killed in Florida when the then Category 1 Katrina rolled through the state back in 2005. So, 14 families lost family members, friends lost friends, loved ones lost loved ones. Yeah, I am sick and tired of hearing and reading comments such as "it's only a tropical storm" or "people act like this cat 5 hurricane clam down god lol". Have some respect!

Clearly people like this person can't have respect. They won't apologize for a very insensitive remark and clearly have no grasp on what a tropical cyclone can do even at the minimum. They don't respect the people who have died and the people who probably will die and have no problem spreading misinformation that this storm is nothing.

[hurricaneCW]

Very dangerous looking storm right now. It looks a lot better than I thought it would and wouldn't be shocked to see her rapidly intensify prior to landfall. Gorgeous outflow developing as well to the north, almost classic really.

[HurricaneBelle]

Left work early, just made it home ahead of a nasty heavy squall coming through Safety Harbor right now, with thunder and lightning.

[RL3AO]

Let's keep it on topic please.

[CrazyC83]

000
URNT15 KNHC 011645
AF307 1309A HERMINE HDOB 22 20160901
163600 2845N 08429W 8430 01553 0076 +171 +158 155043 044 040 001 00
163630 2844N 08430W 8428 01554 0075 +171 +151 158047 050 039 002 00
163700 2843N 08431W 8434 01547 0072 +172 +154 158050 051 040 003 00
163730 2842N 08432W 8427 01554 0069 +180 +148 156050 052 043 002 00
163800 2841N 08434W 8425 01554 0066 +181 +142 155051 052 043 002 00
163830 2840N 08435W 8429 01548 0061 +186 +143 156050 052 044 001 00
163900 2839N 08436W 8427 01551 0058 +187 +141 155050 051 043 004 00
163930 2837N 08437W 8430 01543 0060 +180 +147 155050 051 044 003 00
164000 2836N 08438W 8433 01540 0062 +172 +155 155049 049 045 009 03
164030 2835N 08440W 8426 01542 0065 +165 +159 153047 049 044 011 00
164100 2834N 08441W 8429 01540 0063 +167 +152 148048 049 043 010 00
164130 2833N 08442W 8430 01535 0058 +172 +144 144049 049 044 007 00
164200 2832N 08443W 8429 01535 0055 +179 +142 140048 049 043 008 00
164230 2831N 08445W 8430 01535 0055 +176 +142 140052 053 046 006 00
164300 2830N 08446W 8424 01541 0052 +177 +152 140049 051 046 003 00
164330 2829N 08447W 8434 01529 0052 +172 +165 141051 052 048 005 00
164400 2828N 08448W 8430 01530 0052 +171 +159 134051 053 049 010 03
164430 2827N 08450W 8430 01528 0062 +164 +164 131053 054 056 028 03
164500 2825N 08451W 8431 01521 0061 +169 +169 137048 051 055 028 00
164530 2824N 08452W 8426 01527 0057 +171 +171 145051 052 052 025 00
$$
;

[hurricaneCW]

10-20 inches of rain and potentially 9 feet of storm surge in spots. Please don't come on here with the "it's only a TS/cat 1" crap. It's a bad mentality that kills people.

Not to mention that 2 of the top 3 and 3 of the top 7 costliest US hurricanes were only Cat 1 or 2 at landfall.

I've been through Sandy which was essentially a cat 1 upon landfall yet it devastated the mid-atlantic so yeah those silly arguments about it only being a TS/Cat 1 are ridiculous.

[psyclone]

The large radius of 50 knot+ winds will likely result in quite a storm surge event. We could see some locations report 10+ ft of surge, as suggested by the aforementioned SLOSH run. That can be very, very dangerous to anyone along the coast. Also, the slower this moves, the closer the max surge will coincide with high tide, which really is not good.

St Marks will likely have another impressive high water mark

[HurricaneBelle]

More evidence of TS conditions in Tampa Bay:

 https://twitter.com/SteveG717/status/771388806385831936

[ConvergenceZone]

IF they upgrade to 75 mph to 80mph shortly, then I think it's possible to get 100 to 110mph prior to landfall(just my opinion, not backed by any meteorologist)

[psyclone]

Left work early, just made it home ahead of a nasty heavy squall coming through Safety Harbor right now, with thunder and lightning.

Getting the car wash effect from that cell right now. very impressive

[terstorm1012]

the HRRR model has been forecasting rapid intensification for a couple days now---I'm not surprised to see Hermine look like it's really beginning to wrap up.

Stay safe everyone in the path!

(Also, I'm still really concerned about the apparent stall Sunday-Tuesday.)

[StormHunter72]

Possible Cat 2 at landfall in my opinion

[HurricaneBelle]

 https://twitter.com/SteveG717/status/771388806385831936

[alienstorm]

Keep in mind that it's now feeling the right front quadrant of a 500mb jet streak, this will help the outflow and intensify.

[NJWxHurricane]

Looks like the eye is headed straight for PCB?

[Bailey1777]

What a strange off kilt rotation this storm has. Not down playing this by any means but if conditions had been better......

[NJWxHurricane]

Port St.Joe* My fault.