ATL: HERMINE - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Aric Dunn]

closed eyewall and building deeper convection.. looks like it will strengthen to the coast..

[TropicalSailor]

NOAA3 is going to have a time punching through that SE quadrant to the center. I wouldn't mind a seat on that ride.

[ronjon]

Not much wind in hernando beach except in few squalls but tides running about 3 feet above normal - I had about a foot of seawater on my street at high tide around 3 pm. Has receded about 0.5 foot since then. Not looking forward to high tide at 2:30 am with SW winds from Hermine.

no kidding that could be problematic. these large, loose circulations could really push the water. tonight's convective evolution should be interesting. as the storm reaches our longitude the large firehose east of the center should move ashore. Assuming it holds together that is the best chance of sustained TS conditions for the bay area and nature coast. It's not hard to envision long feeder bands extending into the NE gulf well after landfall as this thing sucks blood like a hungry mosquito. those can really unload torrential rain over localized areas. We've got a long way to go with this.

Yea psyclone..that large band that's lowly migrating east will be in here between 6-8 pm. That's where the winds will really pick up I afraid.

[otterlyspicey]

That's gonna make landfall way before midnight.

Its really speeding up. Like like no later than 7pm unless it slows down.

I'm an idiot and not an expert, don't listen to me.

Yup been saying this all day. You're absolutely right lol

[johngaltfla]

If this is the only landfall for hurricanes in Florida, I'm good for this season.

Weird how the weather got nasty earlier with high winds, heavy rain and now it's super calm relative to yesterday and lunch time today.

[dizzyfish]

Pasco County Non-Essential Offices Closing Sept. 1st at 3:00 p.m http://www.pascocountyfl.net/CivicAlerts.aspx?AID=1507

[SEASON_CANCELED]

Calm in Tampa florida. A drizzle here and there. Think its probably over based on Radar as most energy is moving north. In hindsight Colin had more of a punch.

[tropicwatch]

Miss Piggy is taking an odd route to Hermine

[CrazyC83]

000
URNT15 KNHC 012005
AF307 1309A HERMINE HDOB 42 20160901
195600 2916N 08418W 8429 01529 //// +168 //// 149049 050 040 003 01
195630 2917N 08417W 8429 01529 0048 +169 +167 148049 050 039 001 01
195700 2918N 08416W 8429 01531 0049 +170 +164 152050 050 038 002 00
195730 2919N 08414W 8431 01529 0051 +169 +163 156048 049 038 004 00
195800 2920N 08413W 8429 01530 0055 +165 +163 161050 051 039 005 00
195830 2921N 08411W 8426 01538 0058 +165 +162 163051 052 041 004 00
195900 2923N 08410W 8432 01532 0059 +166 +165 163051 051 040 004 01
195930 2924N 08408W 8428 01537 0060 +168 +167 165051 051 038 004 00
200000 2925N 08407W 8430 01539 0063 +166 //// 163051 051 040 004 01
200030 2925N 08407W 8430 01539 0066 +166 //// 164051 051 039 004 01
200100 2927N 08404W 8429 01541 0068 +163 +161 167051 051 039 006 00
200130 2929N 08402W 8432 01539 0071 +162 +162 166053 053 039 007 00
200200 2930N 08401W 8429 01545 0078 +161 +161 161049 053 040 006 00
200230 2931N 08400W 8436 01538 0077 +165 +165 152049 050 040 007 00
200300 2932N 08358W 8429 01546 0078 +164 +164 152049 053 046 016 03
200330 2933N 08357W 8428 01542 0084 +172 +172 149043 050 051 057 03
200400 2934N 08355W 8440 01538 0084 +167 +167 163051 053 036 012 00
200430 2936N 08354W 8431 01546 0081 +167 //// 159053 057 037 007 05
200500 2937N 08353W 8421 01560 //// +161 //// 154054 057 033 006 01
200530 2939N 08353W 8399 01584 0078 +162 +161 156056 058 035 008 00
$$
;

Working along the coast.

[gatorcane]

Calm in Tampa florida. A drizzle here and there. Think its probably over based on Radar as most energy is moving north. In hindsight Colin had more of a punch.

Have you checked the radar lately, a pretty significant band is moving in from the west....already impacting Pinellas:

http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.ph ... 1&loop=yes

[RL3AO]

Miss Piggy is taking an odd route to Hermine

AF will be doing a NW to SE pass next. You can't have NOAA going SE to NW. They would be flying towards each other at the same altitude.

[artist]

Calm before the storm. Looks like some of that band off shore will wrap into you.

Calm in Tampa florida. A drizzle here and there. Think its probably over based on Radar as most energy is moving north. In hindsight Colin had more of a punch.

[gurutc]

Schools in Central SC closing and early dismissal for tomorrow:
http://www.wistv.com/category/202531/closings-page

[Michele B]

I can't believe they didn't upgrade this yet being this close to official hurricane status. At least for the general publics sake so it may be taken more seriously for those that need the reassurance of what this is capapble of doing. For all the "it's only a tropical storm" folks, ya know...

Our local news guy in Tampt, Dennis Phillips said it will be upgraded at 5, said there was an 86 kt fl. Wind can anyone verify that?

This isn't a hurricane yet, look at storms like Gilbert and Allen, those were hurricanes this thing is clearly structurally a tropical storm.

But if there are people who will NOT take it seriously because it's not a - "real hurricane" - it can still be quite destructive at 70 mph (m/l).

[jlauderdal]

Might not be the right time, but to all the people who constantly wrote off 99L,

this is what a sheered tropical wave can turn into. Never doubt the tropics...

last saturday several people were calling for bones...this is why wxman57 is the only person that can declare bones

[caneman]

This isn't a hurricane yet, look at storms like Gilbert and Allen, those were hurricanes this thing is clearly structurally a tropical storm.

Clearly you were not correct

He wasn't. But neither are those who equate "appearance" with a hurricane or the need to panic ignorant masses into action. Hurricanes are (should be) based on science, not fear mongering or appearance. I know you agree with me on that.

I don't disagree with you at all Steve. Saying a cat. 1 should look like a Cat. 5 though had me kind of giggling.. Ive known you for 15 years on here and you know that's not my style to fear monger. Im sure you meant a few others. I was calling for T.S. warnings for here based on recon and buoy data but always thought it was going Cedar Key or North.

[gatorcane]

Look like a potent band building SW of the Tampa area moving NE:

[GCANE]

Cloud tops getting colder on the NW eyewall

[xcool22]

move fast

[ronyan]

Landfall time looks more like 11pm eastern to me from radar and satellite loops. Unless she's speeding up dramatically.