ATL: MATTHEW - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[tolakram]

North side of storm looking better and better.

visible loop
http://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/get-goes?satellite=GOES-E%20CONUS&lat=26&lon=-78&info=vis&zoom=1&width=1000&height=800&quality=90&type=Animation&palette=ir1.pal&numframes=20&mapcolor=yellow

latest

[dexterlabio]

Before Matthew even touches Florida, I think the name is good for retirement now. What happened in Haiti was very, very unfortunate. Also, Matthew has done a lot of firsts and is about to do more in the coming days.

[supercane4867]

The area of low reflectivity looks more related to Andros Island than dry air to me. Even on a lower resolution Metop pass (below), a layer of dry air would likely be noticeable.

What the hell is wrong with it's core? It looks absolutely pathetic in that image.

It's simply due to the low resolution of METOP pass. The core is fairly solid and compact now in every aspect

[Nimbus]

Rain band hitting Kendall now - afternoon Thunderstorms are stronger than this

Those rain bands seem to lose strength as they travel over land, I did notice a big jump in reported power outages up in Ft Lauderdale as that band came through though.

[Batt2fd]

http://myfloridahurricane.info/wp/wp-co ... 34-11a.jpg

[Tireman4]

Hi all

Just checking in. I'm a long time reader/lurker due to my interest in storms and my son living in Florida. We arrived in West Palm last weekend to see our son who lives here, and are bunkerng down with friends. Can't believe our timing to come from Australia to this. House we are in (Lake worth) is new build concrete and all the shutters are up so fingers crossed and best wishes to everyone in the state affected, especially here in PBC.

Thanks for your post. Be safe. Our thoughts and prayers are with you and EVERYONE in the path of this extremely dangerous hurricane.

Welcome. Check in with us when you can...both here and from down under.

[HurricaneEric]

Rain band hitting Kendall now - afternoon Thunderstorms are stronger than this

Had a couple strong bands here in the Westchester area

[bahamaswx]

It pains me to see people comparing hurricanes to blizzards. They obviously don't understand that water kills more than wind.

saved radar loop
[img]http://i.imgur.com/d0iU4N5.gif[img]

Wow. Chub Cay must be getting leveled.

[supercane4867]

 https://twitter.com/TropicalTidbits/status/784062341671424001

[TimeZone]

It pains me to see people comparing hurricanes to blizzards. They obviously don't understand that water kills more than wind.

saved radar loop
[]http://i.imgur.com/d0iU4N5.gif[]

Honestly living in Nova Scotia, I've only dealt with minimal cane's making landfall here. But I can attest to having multiple weather bombs here that absolutely blew all of those Hurricanes combined out of the water as far as effects go. When a storm dumps 50 inches of snow on you, and gives you extremely powerful winds to boot, it's real ugly.

[marionstorm]

When is our next recon fix?

[taveanator]

Just as a side note, I have to say I'm extremely disappointed as of late with seemingly every time we are in a critical situation with a storm, there is a reconnaissance plane with mechanical problems that has to abort their mission. I respect everything they do for us, but these problems seem to be increasing in frequency.

True, but they have been making runs non-stop for over a week now. Something's bound to go wrong when you don't have time for standard equip. maintenance.

[meriland23]

is anyone in FL experiencing hurricane force winds as of yet? It's mighty close atm

[tolakram]

It pains me to see people comparing hurricanes to blizzards. They obviously don't understand that water kills more than wind.

saved radar loop
[]http://i.imgur.com/d0iU4N5.gif[]

Honestly living in Nova Scotia, I've only dealt with minimal cane's making landfall here. But I can attest to having multiple weather bombs here that absolutely blew all of those Hurricanes combined out of the water as far as effects go. When a storm dumps 50 inches of snow on you, and gives you extremely powerful winds to boot, it's real ugly.

You don't drown in snow, the surge can wash homes and people away. This is why storm surge is the biggest killer.

[dexterlabio]

Say recon is unable to go and confirm Matthew's strength right now, do Dvorak estimates support a high-end Cat4?

[TimeZone]

It pains me to see people comparing hurricanes to blizzards. They obviously don't understand that water kills more than wind.

saved radar loop
[]http://i.imgur.com/d0iU4N5.gif[]

Honestly living in Nova Scotia, I've only dealt with minimal cane's making landfall here. But I can attest to having multiple weather bombs here that absolutely blew all of those Hurricanes combined out of the water as far as effects go. When a storm dumps 50 inches of snow on you, and gives you extremely powerful winds to boot, it's real ugly.

You don't drown in snow, the surge can wash homes and people away. This is why storm surge is the biggest killer.

Surge isn't an issue here, as we're well above sea level.

[NDG]

Wow, just the storm surge forecast map for Matthew from the NHC, the whole historic downtown of St Agustine is going to be under water if correct. No wonder they called for the whole town to evacuate.

[1900hurricane]

I'm actually a little skeptical that much (if any) intensification has taken place since recon left. The eyewall presentation to the SW is still not up to the standard of the rest of the eyewall, and the CDO convection is still pulsing with sharp temp gradients. However, if it indeed has not strengthened, I think chances are good that Matthew will begin strengthening again once it moves away from Andros Island. It's not the biggest obstacle in the world, but with the small core passing so close, it may be impeding it some.

[otterlyspicey]

is anyone in FL experiencing hurricane force winds as of yet? It's mighty close atm

It's no where near close enough to have hurricane winds in Florida yet. But surely they are on the way! People really need to be getting out of harms way. This is nothing to toy with in Florida.

[srva80]

Nothing to speak of here 3.25 miles inland in southern palm beach county.. light breeze at most, a little rain