ATL: MATTHEW - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[CaneCurious]

I dont think I would rule out a Betsy like track across FL into the GOM quite yet either. Thats still on the table as well.

This is the first I've heard of a Betsy track. That's not good.

[Hurricaneman]

Also looks to going just south of due west which wasn't expected until Friday morning

[p1nheadlarry]

I dont think I would rule out a Betsy like track across FL into the GOM quite yet either. Thats still on the table as well.

This is the first I've heard of a Betsy track. That's not good.

With or without loops?

[Hurricaneman]

Also looks like its almost stacked now which could be bad news for Haiti, Dominican Republic, Cuba and possibly Jamaica beyond those I have no idea

[JaxGator]

Continues to improve on satellite.

http://i.imgur.com/tMg6TWs.png

Wouldn't be surprised if it has the inner core set up by tonight/tomorrow morning.

The anti-cyclone overhead is helping Matthew right now. Plus, it seems the shear to its north is still helping with outflow. It's become better organized in the last two hours.

[p1nheadlarry]

Southern area void of showers/storms last night into this morning starting to form them. Steady it goes.

[tropicwatch]

Here is a look at the eastern Caribbean radars.

http://barbadosweather.org/Composite/kidbuuComposite_displayer.php?Product=Reflectivity&Sector=EC_centralAtlantic&Composite=Sabre

[tpr1967]

Someone wanted a beach cam in Barbados


http://www.royalwestmoreland.com/beach-webcam

[GlennOBX]

Someone wanted a beach cam in Barbados


http://www.royalwestmoreland.com/beach-webcam

"Servers are overloaded. Please try again in a few minutes."
The power of the Storm2k forum readers lol

Of course, it could just be the work computer I'm on, acting up again.

[cycloneye]

 https://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/781175724858302464

[weathaguyry]

Kind of wondering if once this turns north if it would turn into sort of a "Sandy's evil brother" situation

[RL3AO]

Looks like a center (or the center?) is already west of the islands.

[Ken711]

Kind of wondering if once this turns north if it would turn into sort of a "Sandy's evil brother" situation

It could be close, but I think it makes landfall farther south in NC/VA.

[jlauderdal]

Someone wanted a beach cam in Barbados


http://www.royalwestmoreland.com/beach-webcam

looks similar to fort lauderdale this afternoon..squally..we have convection in progress

[TheDreamTraveler]

Kind of wondering if once this turns north if it would turn into sort of a "Sandy's evil brother" situation

For it to "pull a Sandy" it'd need to become a hybrid and hook really hard into the coast instead of just running up it as a potent hurricane. There's many more storm analogs to look at that would be a natural hurricane than a hybrid or post tropical storm like how Sandy was. I get the evil brother part lol. But I start thinking about the long island express hurricane when I think about a powerful hurricane going into New York.

[Aric Dunn]

center progressing farther west already passed islands... 6 hours or so ahead of schedule.. still in the low level flow. once convection develops with the LLC it wont slow down all to much.

[cycloneye]

 https://twitter.com/TropicalTidbits/status/781186428596264960

[Aric Dunn]

HWRF does not have in its current position until 21z , GFDL not until 00z.

[cycloneye]

SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.6N 61.3W
ABOUT 25 MI...40 KM SW OF ST. LUCIA
ABOUT 20 MI...35 KM NNW OF ST. VINCENT
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES

[Alyono]

probably will have hurricane force gusts on Martinique and St. Lucia during the next 3 to 6 hours