ATL: MATTHEW - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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ZX12R
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#9201 Postby ZX12R » Thu Oct 06, 2016 6:04 pm

Kazmit_ wrote:Talking about Matt's future... what are the chances that he completes a cyclonic loop, and landfalls on Florida again? And then what would happen once it enters the GOM? Interesting to think about.


Matthew has been and apparently will remain an interesting system to follow. From what I've seen, he will weaken almost to nothing during the loop back towards south Florida. But who the hell knows what might happen if he makes it into the gulf with some remaining circulation? Stay tuned!!!
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#9202 Postby MaineWeatherNut » Thu Oct 06, 2016 6:04 pm

meriland23 wrote:Thank goodness I am home and can see the loop. Matt looks really strong right now, quite a ramp up. I wouldn't be surprised if he is strengthening


It would be amazing if he was strengthening considering the ERC. Usually during ERCs they weaken a category or 2 then ramp back up once it's complete.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#9203 Postby ozonepete » Thu Oct 06, 2016 6:04 pm

Digital-TC-Chaser wrote:
ozonepete wrote:The satellite imagery shows that Mathew has built a really nice solid CDO around and over the eye now and this usually indicates strengthening. That's bad of course. Really bad. But on the good side, I'm seeing more and more trends in the track to be a little more east of the forecast points. You can see it on both satellite and radar. It's enough that I'm becoming pretty sure that the complete eye will never make landfall on the Florida coast - will come pretty close at times but not make landfall where the coast gets a calm wind. That would be much better in terms of wind damage of course. Let's hope.


Agree the shortwave sat-pic indicate a robust system. Land fall well that cant be ruled out @ this point.


Lol I know my way around here really well: that's why I said "becoming pretty sure". If you stick your neck out any further here you get it chopped off immediately.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#9204 Postby SunnyThoughts » Thu Oct 06, 2016 6:05 pm

Brian NOrcross on TWC showing that outer eyewall band is only about 30 miles off the East Coast of Fla.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#9205 Postby Sanibel » Thu Oct 06, 2016 6:05 pm

NHC track from now on moves Matthew closer to the coast...
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#9206 Postby OntarioEggplant » Thu Oct 06, 2016 6:06 pm

I'm very confused by this ERC. Instead if the inner eyewall collapsing, it seems to be merging with the outer eyewall which is quickly closing in while the pressure remains steady or slightly drops.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#9207 Postby SouthFLTropics » Thu Oct 06, 2016 6:06 pm

Blown Away wrote:All of a sudden heavy rain squalls with @50 mph gusts in Hobe Sound... Praying we won't lose power... :D

Already lost power here in PSL...it's gonna be a long night.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#9208 Postby tarheelprogrammer » Thu Oct 06, 2016 6:07 pm

IMPRESSIVE! Prayers out to those in the path. Hopefully NC stays out of this though models are trending north with the turn east. :eek:

Image
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#9209 Postby jlauderdal » Thu Oct 06, 2016 6:08 pm

does the radar presentation look infinitely better than two hours ago?
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#9210 Postby Sal Collaziano » Thu Oct 06, 2016 6:08 pm

miamijaaz wrote:Pretty big wobble due west on radar.

I'm in Wellington. Nothing here but rain and a breeze so far. No real bands entered this area yet. I imagine that will change over the course of time...
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#9211 Postby tgenius » Thu Oct 06, 2016 6:09 pm

jlauderdal wrote:does the radar presentation look infinitely better than two hours ago?



Sure does. What do you think about the loop and coming back down towards us in 5 days? That would be crazy.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#9212 Postby Aric Dunn » Thu Oct 06, 2016 6:09 pm

jlauderdal wrote:does the radar presentation look infinitely better than two hours ago?

look a million times better now....
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#9213 Postby Alyono » Thu Oct 06, 2016 6:11 pm

looks like it went stationary over Freeport
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#9214 Postby jhpigott » Thu Oct 06, 2016 6:11 pm

Blown Away wrote:All of a sudden heavy rain squalls with @50 mph gusts in Hobe Sound... Praying we won't lose power... :D


Same band. 50 gusts, briefly lost power. Ugh
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#9215 Postby Sanibel » Thu Oct 06, 2016 6:12 pm

Alyono wrote:looks like it went stationary over Freeport



I'd expect the next move would be the next wobble with the outer eyewall tracking according to NHC.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#9216 Postby Aric Dunn » Thu Oct 06, 2016 6:12 pm

Alyono wrote:looks like it went stationary over Freeport


lets hope not..
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#9217 Postby WGV » Thu Oct 06, 2016 6:12 pm

Cannot find a good link to a time lapse radar image - let's say the last 6 hours or so to the current. Anyone use a site that they love and mind sharing the link? Want to see it from before the Bahamas and then to the current moment. Thx
Last edited by WGV on Thu Oct 06, 2016 6:14 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#9218 Postby Frank P » Thu Oct 06, 2016 6:13 pm

Alyono wrote:looks like it went stationary over Freeport

Just was going to comment on that... not much movement the past 30 minutes or so... was still moving NW IMO... before the slow down that is...
Last edited by Frank P on Thu Oct 06, 2016 6:13 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#9219 Postby ZX12R » Thu Oct 06, 2016 6:13 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:
jlauderdal wrote:does the radar presentation look infinitely better than two hours ago?

look a million times better now....


"Better" meaning, more destructive or less? Hard to tell with this subject.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#9220 Postby Exalt » Thu Oct 06, 2016 6:13 pm

Alyono wrote:looks like it went stationary over Freeport


Well this is bad.
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