90E INVEST 161020 1800 13.3N 114.2W EPAC 30 1006
A small, well-defined low pressure area centered about 700 miles
south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California
peninsula continues to produce some shower and thunderstorm
activity. Although upper-level winds are not particularly conducive
for further development, only a small increase in the organization
of the thunderstorm activity could result in the formation of a
tropical cyclone before upper-level winds become too strong for
formation. The low is expected to drift northward or northwestward
over the next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent
south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California
peninsula continues to produce some shower and thunderstorm
activity. Although upper-level winds are not particularly conducive
for further development, only a small increase in the organization
of the thunderstorm activity could result in the formation of a
tropical cyclone before upper-level winds become too strong for
formation. The low is expected to drift northward or northwestward
over the next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent