PTPatrick wrote:Miami Storm Tracker wrote:Yellowlab,
I can't explain it. I grew up in Key West and for what ever reason the locals never evacuate. I was young when Donna came in and what you see now is what you would have seen then. No different when Betsy came through, locals are just that way.
Anybody know what the highest surge is on record for key west? Is it location and topography that make getting higher than 10 on key west difficult? I did some research and all I can find is 1846 storm that cleaned most of the island and residents fled to Solaris hill, and that says 8 ft. But I think Wilma was 8 feet, and they are saying 5-10 with this one. Not sure what Betsy was. I will say Wilma wouldn't have had as much battering waves as a storm like this. That may surprise residents who flooded in Wilma but may come back to a foundation.
ATL: IRMA - Post-Tropical - Discussion
Moderator: S2k Moderators
- UpTheCreek
- Category 1
- Posts: 397
- Age: 61
- Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 5:28 pm
- Location: Vassalboro, Maine
Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion
Someone was talking about the cemetery a few pages back. Said it was 18' above, not 8'.
0 likes
- AdamFirst
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 2491
- Age: 36
- Joined: Thu Aug 14, 2008 10:54 am
- Location: Port Saint Lucie, FL
Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Miami FL
630 PM EDT SAT SEP 9 2017
The National Weather Service in Miami has issued a
* Tornado Warning for...
Northeastern Broward County in southeastern Florida...
* Until 700 PM EDT
* At 630 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located over Fort Lauderdale, moving west at 35 mph.
0 likes
Dolphins Marlins Canes Golden Panthers HEAT
Andrew 1992 - Irene 1999 - Frances 2004 - Jeanne 2004 - Wilma 2005 - Fay 2008 - Isaac 2012 - Matthew 2016 - Irma 2017 - Dorian 2019 - Ian 2022 - Nicole 2022 - Milton 2024
Andrew 1992 - Irene 1999 - Frances 2004 - Jeanne 2004 - Wilma 2005 - Fay 2008 - Isaac 2012 - Matthew 2016 - Irma 2017 - Dorian 2019 - Ian 2022 - Nicole 2022 - Milton 2024
-
- Category 5
- Posts: 4031
- Age: 29
- Joined: Mon Aug 17, 2015 4:16 pm
- Location: Ft. Lauderdale, Florida
Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion
Looks like there is a tornado warning around the general vicinity near my home, anyone have an idea if it's radar indiciated?
Last edited by AutoPenalti on Sat Sep 09, 2017 5:38 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the NHC and NWS.
Model Runs Cheat Sheet:
GFS (5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM)
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM (6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM)
ECMWF (1:45 AM/PM)
TCVN is a weighted averaged
- Preemptivestrike
- Tropical Low
- Posts: 15
- Joined: Sat Sep 02, 2017 9:20 pm
- Location: Knoxville, TN.
Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion
Is it having interaction with the Northern Cuba coast again?
1 likes
Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion
We evacuated from the Brevard coast to Moutrie, GA and now it looks like it will be worse in Moultrie than it will be in Brevard. How frustrating.
0 likes
- wx247
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 14279
- Age: 42
- Joined: Wed Feb 05, 2003 10:35 pm
- Location: Monett, Missouri
- Contact:
Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion
AutoPenalti wrote:Looks like there is a tornado warning around the general vicinity near my home, anyone have an idea if it's radar indiciated?
Text of warnings in Broward county all indicated radar based warning.
0 likes
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
- StormingB81
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 5676
- Age: 43
- Joined: Thu Aug 27, 2009 1:45 am
- Location: Rockledge, Florida
Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion
Prof wrote:We evacuated from the Brevard coast to Moutrie, GA and now it looks like it will be worse in Moultrie than it will be in Brevard. How frustrating.
I wouldn't speak so soon. Euro should 94 mph winds here and the storm isn't even close yet so too early to tell about any effects
0 likes
Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion
Prof wrote:We evacuated from the Brevard coast to Moutrie, GA and now it looks like it will be worse in Moultrie than it will be in Brevard. How frustrating.
No storm surge in Moultrie.
You made the right call with the information at hand.
Do understand your frustration. this to shall pass
Peace, friend. Your family is safe, only TS conditions projected for your locale
5 likes
-
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 1559
- Joined: Fri Sep 05, 2003 5:27 am
- Location: Formerly Boca Raton, often West Africa. Currently Charlotte NC
Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion
caneman wrote:KBBOCA wrote:I've been following Miami met John Morales on Twitter since this was looking like a major impact for Miami.
Can anyone give recommendations of the best Twitter accounts / mets to follow for SW FL - Naples, Ft Myers, Tampa...
Check Paul Delagatto in Tampa. He's done a bang up job. Not sure if he does Twitter.
THANKS!! Found his twitter account
https://twitter.com/PaulFox13
2 likes
- wx247
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 14279
- Age: 42
- Joined: Wed Feb 05, 2003 10:35 pm
- Location: Monett, Missouri
- Contact:
Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion
wx247 wrote:AutoPenalti wrote:Looks like there is a tornado warning around the general vicinity near my home, anyone have an idea if it's radar indiciated?
Text of warnings in Broward county all indicated radar based warning.
Now a confirmed tornado:
640 PM EDT SAT SEP 9 2017
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM EDT FOR
NORTHEASTERN BROWARD COUNTY...
At 640 PM EDT, a confirmed large and extremely dangerous tornado was
located over Lazy Lake, or near Fort Lauderdale, moving west at 35
mph.
This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!
0 likes
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
- Kingarabian
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 16027
- Joined: Sat Aug 08, 2009 3:06 am
- Location: Honolulu, Hawaii
Re: ATL: IRMA - Main Recon Thread (Data only)
000
URNT15 KWBC 092241
NOAA2 2711A IRMA HDOB 33 20170909
223130 2434N 07849W 6953 03136 0002 +098 +079 143073 073 035 002 00
223200 2436N 07851W 6955 03133 0000 +099 +078 141072 072 036 002 00
223230 2438N 07853W 6955 03132 9998 +100 +071 138073 073 037 002 00
223300 2440N 07855W 6956 03131 9996 +101 +071 135074 074 036 003 00
223330 2443N 07857W 6953 03134 9995 +102 +071 135073 074 035 003 00
223400 2445N 07858W 6956 03131 9996 +102 +074 135073 074 033 002 00
223430 2447N 07900W 6955 03132 9998 +099 +077 135069 069 033 003 00
223500 2449N 07902W 6954 03128 9996 +098 +076 136070 071 036 003 03
223530 2449N 07905W 6957 03125 9994 +099 +075 134071 072 /// /// 03
223600 2447N 07906W 6953 03128 9993 +099 +071 132073 073 036 004 00
223630 2446N 07908W 6965 03113 9988 +102 +071 131073 074 037 003 00
223700 2444N 07910W 6957 03118 9982 +104 +073 130071 072 037 005 00
223730 2443N 07911W 6969 03102 9975 +107 +071 130068 069 039 005 00
223800 2441N 07913W 6968 03100 9975 +106 +072 129070 071 040 006 00
223830 2440N 07914W 6945 03127 9973 +102 +071 128070 071 037 008 00
223900 2438N 07916W 6960 03106 9964 +110 +066 126069 070 036 008 00
223930 2437N 07918W 6968 03095 9966 +107 +072 127073 073 038 006 00
224000 2435N 07919W 6958 03100 9965 +103 +072 126074 075 040 005 00
224030 2434N 07921W 6956 03103 9962 +103 +077 126073 073 041 004 00
224100 2432N 07922W 6956 03099 9963 +098 +088 128073 073 042 003 00
URNT15 KWBC 092241
NOAA2 2711A IRMA HDOB 33 20170909
223130 2434N 07849W 6953 03136 0002 +098 +079 143073 073 035 002 00
223200 2436N 07851W 6955 03133 0000 +099 +078 141072 072 036 002 00
223230 2438N 07853W 6955 03132 9998 +100 +071 138073 073 037 002 00
223300 2440N 07855W 6956 03131 9996 +101 +071 135074 074 036 003 00
223330 2443N 07857W 6953 03134 9995 +102 +071 135073 074 035 003 00
223400 2445N 07858W 6956 03131 9996 +102 +074 135073 074 033 002 00
223430 2447N 07900W 6955 03132 9998 +099 +077 135069 069 033 003 00
223500 2449N 07902W 6954 03128 9996 +098 +076 136070 071 036 003 03
223530 2449N 07905W 6957 03125 9994 +099 +075 134071 072 /// /// 03
223600 2447N 07906W 6953 03128 9993 +099 +071 132073 073 036 004 00
223630 2446N 07908W 6965 03113 9988 +102 +071 131073 074 037 003 00
223700 2444N 07910W 6957 03118 9982 +104 +073 130071 072 037 005 00
223730 2443N 07911W 6969 03102 9975 +107 +071 130068 069 039 005 00
223800 2441N 07913W 6968 03100 9975 +106 +072 129070 071 040 006 00
223830 2440N 07914W 6945 03127 9973 +102 +071 128070 071 037 008 00
223900 2438N 07916W 6960 03106 9964 +110 +066 126069 070 036 008 00
223930 2437N 07918W 6968 03095 9966 +107 +072 127073 073 038 006 00
224000 2435N 07919W 6958 03100 9965 +103 +072 126074 075 040 005 00
224030 2434N 07921W 6956 03103 9962 +103 +077 126073 073 041 004 00
224100 2432N 07922W 6956 03099 9963 +098 +088 128073 073 042 003 00
0 likes
RIP Kobe Bryant
- northjaxpro
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 8900
- Joined: Mon Sep 27, 2010 11:21 am
- Location: Jacksonville, FL
Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion
tarheelprogrammer wrote:It is not moving wsw, it is the inner eye wall rotating inside the outer eye wall. About to take off in the next 6 hours. I will pray for the Florida Keys that the idiots who stayed behind do not die. Also, praying for you guys in all of Florida. Be safe.
Thanks Tarheel. Hunkering down here in Jax.
1 likes
NEVER, EVER SAY NEVER in the tropics and weather in general, and most importantly, with life itself!!
________________________________________________________________________________________
Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017 Dorian 2019
________________________________________________________________________________________
Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017 Dorian 2019
- Preemptivestrike
- Tropical Low
- Posts: 15
- Joined: Sat Sep 02, 2017 9:20 pm
- Location: Knoxville, TN.
Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion
wx247 wrote:wx247 wrote:AutoPenalti wrote:Looks like there is a tornado warning around the general vicinity near my home, anyone have an idea if it's radar indiciated?
Text of warnings in Broward county all indicated radar based warning.
Now a confirmed tornado:
640 PM EDT SAT SEP 9 2017
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM EDT FOR
NORTHEASTERN BROWARD COUNTY...
At 640 PM EDT, a confirmed large and extremely dangerous tornado was
located over Lazy Lake, or near Fort Lauderdale, moving west at 35
mph.
This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!
Isn't it rare to have a large tornado from a hurricane?
3 likes
Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion
Significant Tornado Potential starting to rotate onto the east coast.
Going to be a long night.

Going to be a long night.

2 likes
-
- Tropical Low
- Posts: 27
- Joined: Fri Oct 07, 2016 4:18 pm
Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion
All prepped here in Polk County. We are expecting the worst, boarded up nearly all windows/glass doors. Praying this storm has some mercy on Florida. We have about 6 children under 3 in the house. #prayforus 

3 likes
Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion
Preemptivestrike wrote:wx247 wrote:wx247 wrote:Text of warnings in Broward county all indicated radar based warning.
Now a confirmed tornado:
640 PM EDT SAT SEP 9 2017
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM EDT FOR
NORTHEASTERN BROWARD COUNTY...
At 640 PM EDT, a confirmed large and extremely dangerous tornado was
located over Lazy Lake, or near Fort Lauderdale, moving west at 35
mph.
This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!
Isn't it rare to have a large tornado from a hurricane?
No
0 likes
Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion
Centralflamama wrote:All prepped here in Polk County. We are expecting the worst, boarded up nearly all windows/glass doors. Praying this storm has some mercy on Florida. We have about 6 children under 3 in the house. #prayforus
Praying for you
1 likes
- Kingarabian
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 16027
- Joined: Sat Aug 08, 2009 3:06 am
- Location: Honolulu, Hawaii
Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion
Cloud tops continue to warm on infrared satellite imagery. Looks like the EWRC + Cuba has really taken a toll on this system. Let's see what Recon shows on this next pass.
0 likes
RIP Kobe Bryant
- Evil Jeremy
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 5463
- Age: 32
- Joined: Mon Apr 10, 2006 2:10 pm
- Location: Los Angeles, CA
Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion
GCANE wrote:Significant Tornado Potential starting to rotate onto the east coast.
Going to be a long night.
http://i.imgur.com/i2qacic.gif
Would you say the tornado threat for SE FL tonight was under-forecast?
0 likes
Frances 04 / Jeanne 04 / Katrina 05 / Wilma 05 / Fay 08 / Debby 12 / Andrea 13 / Colin 16 / Hermine 16 / Matthew 16 / Irma 17
Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion
Confirmed tornado in Fort Lauderdale. Please stay safe!
https://twitter.com/gabrielben/status/906650004760264705
https://twitter.com/gabrielben/status/906650004760264705
5 likes
Who is online
Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 30 guests