ATL: IRMA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#10281 Postby Aric Dunn » Sat Sep 09, 2017 8:04 pm

tolakram wrote:
Aric Dunn wrote:I take an hour away.. come back and its still just drifting.. well thats disconcerting.


You need to get up with the times, even the radar loops are slower than the GOES16 1 minute jobs.

http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/?parms=meso1-13-96-1-10

Moving near due north and IR improving by the minute. :P


well I agree satellite looks to be a slow north drift.. my statement still holds.. that sat loop is two hours long and its barely moved it will not make the 6z position unless it picks up more speed than forecast..

anyone have a long loop.. like the past 4 hours of radar ?

sat apperance is def better.. but wont RI with that inner eyewall still there.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#10282 Postby chaser1 » Sat Sep 09, 2017 8:05 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:I take an hour away.. come back and its still just drifting.. well thats disconcerting.


Yep, it really is disconcerting. I keep taking a peak at the Satellite to get any addition hints of the overall cloud structure further tilting more northward. Thinking we may soon see a tight counterclockwise loop that leads to an abrupt north to NNW motion commence. A peak back to the radar presentation however, shows no evidence of that thus far though.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#10283 Postby meriland29 » Sat Sep 09, 2017 8:05 pm

How do you post Imgur images? I uploaded on imgur, copied the link for it, put it between IMG tags here, am I doing something wrong>?
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#10284 Postby Maineman » Sat Sep 09, 2017 8:05 pm

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Re: RE: Re: RE: Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#10285 Postby stayawaynow » Sat Sep 09, 2017 8:05 pm

jlauderdal wrote:
StarmanHDB wrote:
jlauderdal wrote:Bunch of tornado warnings in se Florida, heading to the bathroom was a good idea

Sent from my DL8006 using Tapatalk


Sun Sentinel claims two Broward tornadoes....
One supposed touchdown near Federal Hwy and Commercial Blvd in Oakand Park a little over an hour ago and another recently spotted in western Plantation near I75 and US 27 heading toward Weston/Markham Park area.
If there was damage at federal and commercial I will walk over in the morning and report back, I'm 5 mins away

Sent from my DL8006 using Tapatalk


Hopefully not Chuck's. Hopefully no damage.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#10286 Postby tolakram » Sat Sep 09, 2017 8:06 pm

Image
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#10287 Postby Blown Away » Sat Sep 09, 2017 8:07 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:
tolakram wrote:
Aric Dunn wrote:I take an hour away.. come back and its still just drifting.. well thats disconcerting.


You need to get up with the times, even the radar loops are slower than the GOES16 1 minute jobs.

http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/?parms=meso1-13-96-1-10

Moving near due north and IR improving by the minute. :P


well I agree satellite looks to be a slow north drift.. my statement still holds.. that sat loop is two hours long and its barely moved it will not make the 6z position unless it picks up more speed than forecast..

anyone have a long loop.. like the past 4 hours of radar ?

sat apperance is def better.. but wont RI with that inner eyewall still there.


This extra longitude before the turn may keep Irma farther west of the track...
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#10288 Postby Raebie » Sat Sep 09, 2017 8:07 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:
tolakram wrote:
Aric Dunn wrote:I take an hour away.. come back and its still just drifting.. well thats disconcerting.


You need to get up with the times, even the radar loops are slower than the GOES16 1 minute jobs.

http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/?parms=meso1-13-96-1-10

Moving near due north and IR improving by the minute. :P


well I agree satellite looks to be a slow north drift.. my statement still holds.. that sat loop is two hours long and its barely moved it will not make the 6z position unless it picks up more speed than forecast..

anyone have a long loop.. like the past 4 hours of radar ?

sat apperance is def better.. but wont RI with that inner eyewall still there.


Uh, are we really rooting for RI here?
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#10289 Postby Meteorcane » Sat Sep 09, 2017 8:08 pm

Anyone know why they upgraded from 120 to 125 in the last advisory? Radar velocities way aloft?
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#10290 Postby tolakram » Sat Sep 09, 2017 8:09 pm

meriland29 wrote:How do you post Imgur images? I uploaded on imgur, copied the link for it, put it between IMG tags here, am I doing something wrong>?


use direct link, not image link. You can also use BBCODE, which has the IMG links already added.

Image
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#10291 Postby Iune » Sat Sep 09, 2017 8:09 pm

meriland29 wrote:How do you post Imgur images? I uploaded on imgur, copied the link for it, put it between IMG tags here, am I doing something wrong>?


Once you upload the image, hover over the image and you'll see a downwards arrow. Hover over that arrow and click on "Share Links". Here you'll need to choose the BBCode (Forums) text which you can simply copy paste on the forum.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#10293 Postby Aric Dunn » Sat Sep 09, 2017 8:10 pm

Raebie wrote:
Aric Dunn wrote:
tolakram wrote:
You need to get up with the times, even the radar loops are slower than the GOES16 1 minute jobs.

http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/?parms=meso1-13-96-1-10

Moving near due north and IR improving by the minute. :P


well I agree satellite looks to be a slow north drift.. my statement still holds.. that sat loop is two hours long and its barely moved it will not make the 6z position unless it picks up more speed than forecast..

anyone have a long loop.. like the past 4 hours of radar ?

sat apperance is def better.. but wont RI with that inner eyewall still there.


Uh, are we really rooting for RI here?


rooting ?

no.

keeping the real concern up front ..
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#10294 Postby GCANE » Sat Sep 09, 2017 8:11 pm

0000Z Miami

Image
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#10295 Postby SFLcane » Sat Sep 09, 2017 8:12 pm

Watching water vapor it looks like Irma has stopped moving. Turning sooner?
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#10296 Postby tcast305 » Sat Sep 09, 2017 8:12 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:
tolakram wrote:
Aric Dunn wrote:I take an hour away.. come back and its still just drifting.. well thats disconcerting.


You need to get up with the times, even the radar loops are slower than the GOES16 1 minute jobs.

http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/?parms=meso1-13-96-1-10

Moving near due north and IR improving by the minute. :P


well I agree satellite looks to be a slow north drift.. my statement still holds.. that sat loop is two hours long and its barely moved it will not make the 6z position unless it picks up more speed than forecast..

anyone have a long loop.. like the past 4 hours of radar ?

sat apperance is def better.. but wont RI with that inner eyewall still there.


Aric,

I know that a stall is usually a precursor to a turn to the north. However, if it stays moving very slow, I keep hearing it could move more west, but I isn't it the opposite? Wouldn't it trend staying more to the east due to the low to erode the high so it could move more north?

Thanks.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#10297 Postby Aquawind » Sat Sep 09, 2017 8:14 pm

The new and larger eyewall has moved off the coast now and yes it looks to be moving much more northward and closer to the track of course. It will now he be able to get it's grove on in a very conducive environment. I am not concerned about short movements as much as more time over water. Radar that far away can be deceiving. Jog west then jog north on Satellite.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#10298 Postby Aric Dunn » Sat Sep 09, 2017 8:14 pm

yeeahh soo.. the fact that radar shows little movement and satellite is showing movement just tells me that the inner eyewall is degrating and rotating around.. I Would wager in the next hour it looks like its moving west again.. then south..

for the 2 hours my GR go back.. I plotted the inner edge of the outer eyewall from 2 hours ago till now and it barely moved like a few miles..
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Main Recon Thread (Data only)

#10299 Postby Sciencerocks » Sat Sep 09, 2017 8:15 pm

000
URNT15 KNHC 100107
AF302 2911A IRMA HDOB 08 20170910
005730 2801N 08647W 4098 07384 0373 -155 -291 287020 021 021 000 00
005800 2800N 08644W 4099 07384 0373 -158 -293 289021 022 022 000 00
005830 2800N 08644W 4099 07384 0372 -155 -288 287019 020 024 000 00
005900 2757N 08639W 4099 07380 0371 -155 -287 290019 020 024 001 00
005930 2755N 08637W 4099 07381 0371 -155 -292 288017 018 025 000 00
010000 2753N 08635W 4098 07383 0372 -155 -294 291017 017 025 000 00
010030 2752N 08632W 4099 07382 0373 -155 -297 293016 017 026 000 00
010100 2750N 08630W 4099 07382 0372 -154 -295 293016 016 026 000 00
010130 2749N 08627W 4099 07382 0371 -150 -312 295016 016 026 000 00
010200 2747N 08625W 4098 07382 0371 -150 -325 299017 018 026 000 00
010230 2746N 08623W 4099 07382 0373 -150 -314 300017 018 026 000 00
010300 2744N 08620W 4098 07387 0375 -150 -310 300016 017 026 000 00
010330 2743N 08618W 4099 07384 0374 -150 -306 302017 017 028 000 00
010400 2741N 08615W 4098 07383 0372 -150 -306 303016 016 027 000 00
010430 2740N 08613W 4099 07383 0372 -150 -303 304015 016 027 000 00
010500 2738N 08611W 4099 07381 0371 -150 -303 304017 017 027 000 00
010530 2736N 08608W 4098 07382 0371 -150 -302 305017 017 027 000 00
010600 2735N 08606W 4098 07383 0372 -150 -302 308016 017 026 000 00
010630 2733N 08603W 4099 07382 0372 -150 -301 312016 016 027 000 00
010700 2732N 08601W 4098 07384 0372 -150 -301 310015 016 026 000 00
$$
;
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#10300 Postby meriland29 » Sat Sep 09, 2017 8:15 pm

Does anyone have a idea or opinion on when she will make landfall in Key West based on the fast she is almost stationary atm? Was that anticipated>?
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