ATL: IRMA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[xtyphooncyclonex]

and so it begins

[Exalt]

Isn't it kinda funny how she went backwards in eye structure? She's always had a fairly large eye, now she has a pinhole for (IIRC) the first time..

[Aric Dunn]

ok, after being taken away from this for a few hours again.. not that I wanted to .. looks like the inner eye is finally gone. its moving NNW ish.. and slowly deepening.. the evironment is not really very condusive for a cat 4 or 5 much anymore. but not impossible.

doppler velocities are in the 120 kt range.

[shawn67]

Florida Public Radio just reported that Key West NWS reported an 83 mph wind gust

[skillz]

Is it just me or does the hurricane seen to be moving due North and the eye is wobbling inside? It's like a false illusion....

[meriland29]

ok, after being taken away from this for a few hours again.. not that I wanted to .. looks like the inner eye is finally gone. its moving NNW ish.. and slowly deepening.. the evironment is not really very condusive for a cat 4 or 5 much anymore. but not impossible.

doppler velocities are in the 120 kt range.

....Not conducive??

[pcolaman]

Is it just me or does the hurricane seen to be moving due North and the eye is wobbling inside? It's like a false illusion....

I believe that this is mini vortex?

[FLpanhandle91]

Intensification is occurring right now in my opinion.

[Sciencerocks]

000
URNT15 KNHC 100627
AF302 2911A IRMA HDOB 40 20170910
061730 2503N 08003W 6967 03048 9935 +089 //// 133073 074 054 006 01
061800 2503N 08006W 6970 03043 9914 +105 +087 133070 072 054 005 00
061830 2503N 08008W 6969 03042 9906 +111 +086 132068 070 056 002 00
061900 2504N 08011W 6971 03038 9905 +110 +087 129066 067 056 002 00
061930 2504N 08013W 6969 03040 9906 +108 +088 129067 068 059 004 00
062000 2504N 08016W 6970 03037 9911 +101 +091 128070 071 059 004 00
062030 2504N 08018W 6969 03036 9909 +102 +087 128068 070 065 006 03
062100 2504N 08021W 6973 03030 9903 +105 +090 125069 071 070 008 00
062130 2504N 08023W 6965 03037 9920 +090 //// 124072 074 059 004 01
062200 2505N 08026W 6970 03030 9925 +084 //// 123072 073 067 003 05
062230 2505N 08028W 6969 03027 9923 +083 //// 123071 073 070 004 05
062300 2505N 08031W 6968 03029 9922 +083 //// 120072 072 074 008 05
062330 2505N 08033W 6967 03027 9916 +085 //// 121075 077 058 007 01
062400 2505N 08036W 6970 03021 9912 +087 //// 119078 079 058 005 01
062430 2505N 08038W 6974 03015 9906 +090 //// 121078 079 082 007 05
062500 2506N 08041W 6969 03020 9906 +089 //// 120081 082 082 006 01
062530 2506N 08043W 6970 03015 9909 +085 //// 119080 081 069 007 01
062600 2506N 08046W 6970 03014 9906 +085 //// 120080 082 059 006 01
062630 2506N 08048W 6968 03015 9905 +085 //// 119085 086 055 011 05
062700 2506N 08051W 6969 03012 9904 +085 //// 118083 086 058 011 01
$$
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[chaser1]

Rapid intensification is occurring right now in my opinion.

Rapid? Naw, perhaps it's becoming a little more structurally defined but I had not heard any recent pressure reading that would indicate RI.

[Aric Dunn]

ok, after being taken away from this for a few hours again.. not that I wanted to .. looks like the inner eye is finally gone. its moving NNW ish.. and slowly deepening.. the evironment is not really very condusive for a cat 4 or 5 much anymore. but not impossible.

doppler velocities are in the 120 kt range.

....Not conducive??

yes the vertical wind profile .. tilt to the hurricane is not ideal. we wont see a clear and steady eye like it was... the classic hurricane...

[Evil Jeremy]

Looks to me like the CoC is completing a quick cyclonic loop.

[caneman]

I'm confused, don't you usually want the cities to stay out of the eye wall since they have the strongest winds? I'm really hoping for a Cat 3 or less

It's all about storm surge and not wind in Tampa.

Everyone is so damned focused on the wind. It's the freakin water. It doesn't matter anymore what cat level it comes in at. WHERE it comes in is the the issue.

At 150 it's both. Have you seen Andrew photos? A lot of older constriction here

[FLpanhandle91]

Rapid intensification is occurring right now in my opinion.

Rapid? Naw, perhaps it's becoming a little more structurally defined but I had not heard any recent pressure reading that would indicate RI.

I agree. The drinks are flowing for me this evening. I will edit my post. SUBSTANTIAL intensification is occurring right now as the core structure continues to improve.

[northjaxpro]

Irma slowly but surely intensifying. Cat 4 status has been regained. That image truly shows the massive size of this monster. Awesome image. WOW!

God speed to Key West My prayers to all down there

[FLpanhandle91]

That eye looks like it is going to be huge once it clears.

[Rex805]

We warned people not to write off re-intensification.....I shudder to think of what the Florida Keys are going to look like in 24 hours.

Speaking of the Keys, are there any Keys webcams still working? Every one that I had up is offline now. I suppose you probably wouldn't be able to see much from them anyway at this time of night.

https://youtu.be/UVtTcxB6-Mk

It’s a YouTube stream and the operator is switching between indoor / outdoor cameras. Trying not to link to direct cam as not to crash the server..

[SouthDadeFish]

Seeing some signs that vertical wind shear is affecting to the eyewall structure. There are weak reflectivities on the south (upshear) side of the eye.

[northjaxpro]

Also, I am now just at three inches of rainfall collected to this juncture and this is just with the convergent training cells that have been coming on shore on this Nor'easter that we are having ahead of Irma We're well on our way to getting anywhere from about 8 to 12 inches of rainfall total when all said it's done some localized areas could get even more.

[Sciencerocks]

000
URNT15 KNHC 100637
AF302 2911A IRMA HDOB 41 20170910
062730 2506N 08054W 6970 03010 9903 +085 //// 118081 082 075 014 05
062800 2506N 08056W 6966 03014 9900 +086 //// 117085 086 079 008 05
062830 2507N 08059W 6981 02995 9900 +085 //// 111083 085 069 010 05
062900 2507N 08102W 6967 03010 9897 +085 //// 111081 083 058 014 05
062930 2507N 08104W 6968 03010 9896 +086 //// 108082 083 069 005 05
063000 2507N 08107W 6967 03008 9893 +087 //// 105087 089 049 017 05
063030 2507N 08110W 6976 02998 //// +088 //// 106086 089 050 016 05
063100 2507N 08112W 6974 03002 //// +087 //// 106087 089 051 013 01
063130 2508N 08115W 6966 03009 //// +085 //// 104090 091 053 013 05
063200 2508N 08118W 6969 03009 9898 +085 //// 103090 091 053 014 05
063230 2508N 08121W 6969 03008 //// +085 //// 100086 090 052 015 05
063300 2508N 08123W 6967 03010 //// +087 //// 093090 095 054 020 01
063330 2508N 08126W 6983 02996 //// +085 //// 094088 095 055 020 05
063400 2508N 08129W 6971 03010 //// +085 //// 092082 084 055 026 01
063430 2509N 08131W 6967 03018 //// +085 //// 090075 080 053 025 01
063500 2509N 08134W 6975 03012 //// +077 //// 083070 074 054 024 01
063530 2509N 08137W 6968 03018 9916 +078 //// 084066 068 052 019 01
063600 2509N 08139W 6965 03021 9912 +080 //// 084068 068 054 014 05
063630 2509N 08142W 6971 03013 9912 +081 //// 080066 067 052 012 05
063700 2509N 08144W 6968 03017 9904 +089 //// 082067 070 053 008 01
$$
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