ATL: IRMA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Connekto]

I agree, they should really adjust the cone to show how wide the eye and its intense effects are. Too many people down here downplaying because they have no concept just how big the eye is.

[decgirl66]

This is what happens when you're not familiar with hurricanes.

Also - and I think this is going to become my PERSONAL CAMPAIGN....the "line" that shows the track of the hurricane should be waaay THICKER. The "cone" does not show people how large a storm is. It just says, "Might come in somewhere in the cone...."

But the "line" makes people complacent. They see the "line" waaay over on top of I-75, or 41, so they think that's the only place where effects will be felt. That needs to change to educate people better.[/quote]

Agreed! Also, a lot of people don't understand that "landfall" means where the eye comes on shore.

[johngaltfla]

Landfall between Marco Island and Everglades City likely with its current motion?!

That's my wager. I think Irma wants to show some love to the GFS.

[KBBOCA]

More on the crane collapse in Miami:

NWS Miami‏Verified account @NWSMiami 2m2 minutes ago

One of our employees captured this crane boom and counterweight collapse in downtown #Miami this morning. #HurrcaneIrma


 https://twitter.com/wxkev/status/906887989497868288

[hiflyer]

Wow, I guess a lot of people in SE FL are out of power and poor cell service because there are not that many people on this forum from down there.

friends east broward near airport say have power but att cell service there is text only no data and comcast buhbye. may be same for more than a few.

[PandaCitrus]

It'll be interesting to see what Irma does as she approaches Marco Island. If the pattern of Cuba holds, she will feel the friction of land, slow down a little, and then bounce around Marco and hug the coast of Naples going NNW for a bit.

Charley also did this and bounced around Captiva.

[cjrciadt]

Tornado Warning in Osceola, just S of me rotation!!

[gatorcane]

Does anybody have a graphic of how far it has deviated from projected track?

[johngaltfla]

This is a TAMPA pro Met, not NHC, talking about possible new landfall point....

Paul Dellegatto FOX‏ Verified account @PaulFox13 6m6 minutes ago

#Irma about 20 miles east of #NHC forecast point. Small change in track means big change in landfall point. Looks south. Bonita Springs area

 https://twitter.com/PaulFox13/status/906887801505042432

FYI, Paul is one of the best at hurricanes. Trust me.

[KBBOCA]

UPDATE ON SURGE FOR BISCAYNE BAY:

John Morales‏Verified account @JohnMoralesNBC6 1m1 minute ago

I can now confirm a greater than 4 ft storm surge in Biscayne Bay. High tide coming at 12:50 PM. It's going to rise!
[embedded chart]

 https://twitter.com/JohnMoralesNBC6/status/906890264379314176

[MrJames]

Does anybody have a graphic of how far it has deviated from projected track?

[HurricaneFrances04]

Does anybody have a graphic of how far it has deviated from projected track?

I like the SFWMD Florida radar: https://www.sfwmd.gov/weather-radar/cur ... conditions

Maybe wobbling back NW in the last frame.

[jlauderdal]

Reporting in from Fort Lauderdale.. winds are progressively getting stronger sustained and more frequent gusts. Thankfully I still have power. My front door is rattling and being sucked in and out by the howling winds. Quite the ride here this morning. And to see it wobble NNE/N on radar is very concerning.

im surprised i still have power...close all the interior doors, i am all shuttered up but closing interior doors definitely reduces the pressure on the glass, i could see less bowing of the glass when i did that

[KBBOCA]

NWS Key West‏Verified account @NWSKeyWest 2m2 minutes ago

10:39a - Center of Hurricane #Irma has moved north of the Keys, dangerous conditions continue across the Keys as winds gust from 70-90+mph.

 https://twitter.com/NWSKeyWest/status/906890340686352384

[KBBOCA]

Ryan Maue‏Verified account @RyanMaue 4m4 minutes ago

NWS wind gusts maximum forecast for Tampa Bay 100-125 mph+ from Hurricane #Irma ... Orlando 70-80 mph

[StormingB81]

If it keeps up the current motion may have to change this a little

Ryan Maue‏Verified account @RyanMaue 4m4 minutes ago

NWS wind gusts maximum forecast for Tampa Bay 100-125 mph+ from Hurricane #Irma ... Orlando 70-80 mph

[KBBOCA]

Ryan Maue‏Verified account @RyanMaue 2m2 minutes ago

HRRR model shows heavy rain north & east of center of #HurricaneIrma
Feeder bands stretching around peninsula major tornado threat

 https://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/906891300162727936

[nativefloridian]

Indeed, she has been moving east of her projected 11PM and 5AM NHC paths. Is the further east track of the Ukmet vs the other 3 major models at 0Z or at least the somewhat more east 0Z GFS going to end up with a win? I'm now leaning toward the 0Z Euro verifying too far west and Irma making actual landfall somewhere in SW FL as opposed to the runs that had her only skirting the SW coast.This also means a harder hit on SE FL and further up FL. Anyone else's opinion about this and how she has been moving?

Yes more east. I think folks in metro SE Florida are getting quite surprised

Well, they're mostly getting surprised by the fact that this thing has pummeled them! They thought since it was west, they were going to get nothing!

This is what happens when you're not familiar with hurricanes.

Also - and I think this is going to become my PERSONAL CAMPAIGN....the "line" that shows the track of the hurricane should be waaay THICKER. The "cone" does not show people how large a storm is. It just says, "Might come in somewhere in the cone...."

But the "line" makes people complacent. They see the "line" waaay over on top of I-75, or 41, so they think that's the only place where effects will be felt. That needs to change to educate people better.

Here in Pembroke Pines (SW Broward County) the strong wind and rain has been pretty relentless since early this morning. Many tree branches broken, debris in the yards and streets, and VERY strong wind gusts. And I guess we've only just begun and are being told we will experience, in the least, tropical storm force winds until Monday morning. We're also under mandatory curfew until tomorrow.

[nativefloridian]

Yes more east. I think folks in metro SE Florida are getting quite surprised

Well, they're mostly getting surprised by the fact that this thing has pummeled them! They thought since it was west, they were going to get nothing!

This is what happens when you're not familiar with hurricanes.

Also - and I think this is going to become my PERSONAL CAMPAIGN....the "line" that shows the track of the hurricane should be waaay THICKER. The "cone" does not show people how large a storm is. It just says, "Might come in somewhere in the cone...."

But the "line" makes people complacent. They see the "line" waaay over on top of I-75, or 41, so they think that's the only place where effects will be felt. That needs to change to educate people better.

Here in Pembroke Pines (SW Broward County) the strong wind and rain has been pretty relentless since early this morning. Many tree branches broken, debris in the yards and streets, and VERY strong wind gusts. And I guess we've only just begun and are being told we will experience, in the least, tropical storm force winds until Monday morning. The entire county also went under mandatory curfew at 4pm yesterday and it's supposed to last until tomorrow.

[birddogsc]

http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/?parms=meso1-13-200-1-100
Seems that the convection has been increasing during the last hour (via IR).