ATL: HARVEY - Models

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ROCK
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Models

#1161 Postby ROCK » Mon Aug 21, 2017 10:16 pm

sphelps8681 wrote:When does the next model run come out?


GFS 0z will be soon..interesting to see if it handles the trof like he NAM
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Models

#1162 Postby sphelps8681 » Mon Aug 21, 2017 10:16 pm

stormlover2013 wrote:10:30- gfs, Cmc- 11:00, ukmet-11:30, navy-12:00, euro-1:00


Thanks!!
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Models

#1163 Postby sphelps8681 » Mon Aug 21, 2017 10:18 pm

ROCK wrote:
sphelps8681 wrote:When does the next model run come out?


GFS 0z will be soon..interesting to see if it handles the trof like he NAM


I am really interested in what the Euro has to say. Guess I will stay up.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Models

#1164 Postby ROCK » Mon Aug 21, 2017 10:22 pm

Those were the days in 2004 on here many of us would stay up for the EURO..that was 13yrs ago. We all got old and pass out at 1100 at the latest now. :lol:
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Models

#1165 Postby sphelps8681 » Mon Aug 21, 2017 10:27 pm

sphelps8681 wrote:
ROCK wrote:
sphelps8681 wrote:When does the next model run come out?


GFS 0z will be soon..interesting to see if it handles the trof like he NAM


I am really interested in what the Euro has to say. Guess I will stay up.


My local met shows highs on either side of us in se texas. He is not really saying it will come our way but does say our rain chances will increase next week.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Models

#1166 Postby Cpv17 » Mon Aug 21, 2017 10:34 pm

ROCK wrote:
sphelps8681 wrote:When does the next model run come out?


GFS 0z will be soon..interesting to see if it handles the trof like he NAM

Rock, we don't want this going into Louisiana. That would leave us high and dry and make the drought worse over central Texas. We want a tropical storm into south TX giving much of us just a good widespread rain event. Nothing crazy, but a good 4-8 inches would be great for many of us.
Last edited by Cpv17 on Mon Aug 21, 2017 10:34 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Models

#1167 Postby Wx_Warrior » Mon Aug 21, 2017 10:34 pm

sphelps8681 wrote:
sphelps8681 wrote:
ROCK wrote:
GFS 0z will be soon..interesting to see if it handles the trof like he NAM


I am really interested in what the Euro has to say. Guess I will stay up.


My local met shows highs on either side of us in se texas. He is not really saying it will come our way but does say our rain chances will increase next week.


What met? 12 or 6?
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Models

#1168 Postby stormlover2013 » Mon Aug 21, 2017 10:34 pm

They are very conservative!!
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Models

#1169 Postby Kingarabian » Mon Aug 21, 2017 10:36 pm

00z GFS slightly more North through 24 hours.

Image
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Models

#1170 Postby ColdMiser123 » Mon Aug 21, 2017 10:38 pm

Already a touch north and a tick stronger at hour 30 than the 18z run valid at hour 36 for the same time stamp.
Last edited by ColdMiser123 on Mon Aug 21, 2017 10:39 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Models

#1171 Postby Kingarabian » Mon Aug 21, 2017 10:38 pm

Trending a bit stronger through 30 hours on the 00z GFS:

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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Models

#1172 Postby ROCK » Mon Aug 21, 2017 10:43 pm

OZ BAMM

Um that pretty much covers TX coast and some of SW LA

https://my.sfwmd.gov/portal/pls/portal/ ... RM_DISPLAY
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Models

#1173 Postby Kingarabian » Mon Aug 21, 2017 10:43 pm

00z GFS through 48 hours continues to come in stronger:

Image
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Models

#1174 Postby mcheer23 » Mon Aug 21, 2017 10:45 pm

Im betting on Galveston with the GFS
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Models

#1175 Postby Kingarabian » Mon Aug 21, 2017 10:46 pm

00z GFS down to 999mb at hour 60.

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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Models

#1176 Postby sphelps8681 » Mon Aug 21, 2017 10:46 pm

Wx_Warrior wrote:
sphelps8681 wrote:
sphelps8681 wrote:
I am really interested in what the Euro has to say. Guess I will stay up.


My local met shows highs on either side of us in se texas. He is not really saying it will come our way but does say our rain chances will increase next week.


What met? 12 or 6?

6
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Models

#1177 Postby Kingarabian » Mon Aug 21, 2017 10:50 pm

00z GFS beginning to deepen quickly at hour 72:

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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Models

#1178 Postby Kingarabian » Mon Aug 21, 2017 10:52 pm

00z GFS now rapidly intensifying:

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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Models

#1179 Postby Kingarabian » Mon Aug 21, 2017 10:53 pm

00z GFS, down to 974mb:

Image
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Models

#1180 Postby PTrackerLA » Mon Aug 21, 2017 10:54 pm

GFS further north and depicting a hurricane at 78hrs, yikes.
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