ATL: CINDY - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Steve]

Here is a clip out my backyard facing west. When I pan right, that's north. Greens are starting to turn to yellows on the radar but still light to moderate rain with gusts maybe 12-15. I'm probably about 320(?) miles NNE of the center. Anyway if it picks up or I see anything interesting, I'll try to get some shots and videos.

https://youtu.be/yROlhINo1GA

[wxman57]

As I've been saying, looks closer to Galveston than Lake Charles. NHC's track has been right of almost all guidance, including ensemble members of the Canadian, GFS, and Euro. They were bound to adjust westward with time. One more tiny west adjustment and they'll be on my track.

[tolakram]

EURO pretty firm on this fro some runs now....no since to go against it now with the GFS ensembles inching west.

3 runs Rock. Personally I would still split the difference but favor the euro slightly.

[Hypercane_Kyle]

JMO, wouldn't be surprised of Cindy's close to 50-55 knots when it makes landfall. Greatest threat will still be flooding rains.

[HurricaneBrain]

GIF animating the shift west.

[Stormcenter]

Looks like Cindy still heading to Disney World.

http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/?parms=gulf-02-24-1

[Tireman4]

As I've been saying, looks closer to Galveston than Lake Charles. NHC's track has been right of almost all guidance, including ensemble members of the Canadian, GFS, and Euro. They were bound to adjust westward with time. One more tiny west adjustment and they'll be on my track.

I gotta say sir, you have been on a Galveston hit since this started. Just like Ike, I have to give you your just due. Good job. Now, if you had the presence like that Chris guy from Storm Geo, maybe we could see you do forecasts one day.

[wxman57]

Oh, here's another tweeted graphic from StormGeo in Houston. Their ensembles-based TRAC guidance remains steady on a landfall near eastern Galveston Island.

[Stormcenter]

Well that is not correct...I believe the Heat Miser had this going into the Bay Of Campeche and hitting Mexico.

As I've been saying, looks closer to Galveston than Lake Charles. NHC's track has been right of almost all guidance, including ensemble members of the Canadian, GFS, and Euro. They were bound to adjust westward with time. One more tiny west adjustment and they'll be on my track.

I gotta say sir, you have been on a Galveston hit since this started. Just like Ike, I have to give you your just due. Good job. Now, if you had the presence like that Chris guy from Storm Geo, maybe we could see you do forecasts one day.

[davidiowx]

Well that is not correct...I believe the Heat Miser had this going into the Bay Of Campeche and hitting Mexico.

As I've been saying, looks closer to Galveston than Lake Charles. NHC's track has been right of almost all guidance, including ensemble members of the Canadian, GFS, and Euro. They were bound to adjust westward with time. One more tiny west adjustment and they'll be on my track.

I gotta say sir, you have been on a Galveston hit since this started. Just like Ike, I have to give you your just due. Good job. Now, if you had the presence like that Chris guy from Storm Geo, maybe we could see you do forecasts one day.

I recall him saying central to upper Texas coast for the past few days...

[SunnyThoughts]

https://twitter.com/jhughes722. Gusts to 69 mph?

[Stormcenter]

I was just referring to when this was a model storm and not even a disturbance yet which was over a week or so ago.

Well that is not correct...I believe the Heat Miser had this going into the Bay Of Campeche and hitting Mexico.

I gotta say sir, you have been on a Galveston hit since this started. Just like Ike, I have to give you your just due. Good job. Now, if you had the presence like that Chris guy from Storm Geo, maybe we could see you do forecasts one day.

I recall him saying central to upper Texas coast for the past few days...

[PTrackerLA]

Well that is not correct...I believe the Heat Miser had this going into the Bay Of Campeche and hitting Mexico.

As I've been saying, looks closer to Galveston than Lake Charles. NHC's track has been right of almost all guidance, including ensemble members of the Canadian, GFS, and Euro. They were bound to adjust westward with time. One more tiny west adjustment and they'll be on my track.

I gotta say sir, you have been on a Galveston hit since this started. Just like Ike, I have to give you your just due. Good job. Now, if you had the presence like that Chris guy from Storm Geo, maybe we could see you do forecasts one day.

He was saying northern Mexico/southern Texas on Sunday in this thread...but he was right about the GFS adjusting westward from the Florida panhandle. We still love you though . What some thought wouldn't happen is what has basically occurred (the median)...the GFS and Euro met in the middle after all.

[Stormcenter]

As Cindy continues to wobble/drift or whatever eastward see how storms are starting to try to wrap around the north and west side of the center again.

http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/?parms=gulf-02-24-1

[Frank P]

As Cindy continues to wobble/drift or whatever eastward see how storms are starting to try to wrap around the north and west side of the center again.

http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/?parms=gulf-02-24-1

Yeah, they are trying but the shear is not going to let them... at least not right now... center now appear to be heading off to the NE and trying to complete the cyclonic loop, sure hope she decides to move on and not do another loop... my eyes won't hold up much longer!

[tropicwatch]

Recon was late this morning and looks like it will be late this afternoon.

[PTrackerLA]

18z GFS still indicating Cameron Parish LA landfall. Good news is it looks like the heaviest rains will have already fallen by the time Cindy makes landfall and begins to accelerate northwards. Hopefully we can avoid a flooding event in SW and South Central Louisiana.

[hipshot]

I am not any expert by a long shot but it sure looks like it is still stationary.

[Janie2006]

KMOB has updated the flood threat from "Significant" to "Extreme" for most of Mobile and Baldwin counties in Alabama and Stone county in Mississippi. Moderate to heavy rainband moving ashore.

[tolakram]

GFS 18Z animation