ATL: IRMA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[1900hurricane]

928 mb.

[hurricanes1234]

Wow!

I'd say 110 knots is certainly not out of the question if that trend continues. IMO even 105 knots may be a little conservative in that case.

[GCANE]

 https://twitter.com/SurfnWeatherman/status/903710391137599490

[1900hurricane]

Very typical Cat 3 Dvorak pattern. Amazing.

[image removed]

Yep, looking good. That's a very warm off-white eye that has broken positive per ADT. Given the light grey CDO shade with a black ring, the small amount of warming needed to push the eye to warm medium grey would also result in the DT getting pushed up from 5.5 to 6.0.

[SunnyThoughts]

908 mb

[Aric Dunn]

definitely heading west now.

[GCANE]

 https://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/903689260867387392

[GCANE]

 https://twitter.com/pppapin/status/903712694305521664

[hurricanes1234]

920 to 925 mb.

[Hybridstorm_November2001]

924 mb for me

[wxman57]

12Z EC indicates slower movement of Irma through day 7. That may give high pressure to rebuild off the East U.S. coast late next week, blocking it from recurving east of the U.S. Guidance is also a little farther north of the Leeward Islands and PR, keeping hurricane-force winds well north of the islands. However, I wouldn't let my guard down with a Cat 4-5 bearing down on me. Sure, it's gonna turn...

Better than not chance of an east U.S. landfall around the 11th/12th. Better chance it turns out to sea than of it entering the Gulf.

[weathaguyry]

Just going through some stuff in my head...
I'll probably order another flashlight off of amazon later, since in sandy we had nothing but a broken, pink flashlight. Maybe we'll get another case or two of water, and maybe have the gardeners trim back any tree branches that are dead or sticking out.

[caneseddy]

12Z EC indicates slower movement of Irma through day 7. That may give high pressure to rebuild off the East U.S. coast late next week, blocking it from recurving east of the U.S. Guidance is also a little farther north of the Leeward Islands and PR, keeping hurricane-force winds well north of the islands. However, I wouldn't let my guard down with a Cat 4-5 bearing down on me. Sure, it's gonna turn...

Better than not chance of an east U.S. landfall around the 11th/12th. Better chance it turns out to sea than of it entering the Gulf.

Thanks wxman57 for your thoughts; keeping a close watch down here in South Florida.

[weathaguyry]

12Z EC indicates slower movement of Irma through day 7. That may give high pressure to rebuild off the East U.S. coast late next week, blocking it from recurving east of the U.S. Guidance is also a little farther north of the Leeward Islands and PR, keeping hurricane-force winds well north of the islands. However, I wouldn't let my guard down with a Cat 4-5 bearing down on me. Sure, it's gonna turn...

Better than not chance of an east U.S. landfall around the 11th/12th. Better chance it turns out to sea than of it entering the Gulf.

Thank you for the update wxman, those are some bold words

[weathaguyry]

909mb

[pcolaman]

Still 10 days out with the models trending west. Gulf better keep an eye on this monster that's in the making. Ridge looks to be strong so further west imo. Hope it curves out to sea but not liking the westward trends

[Blown Away]

Nice looking storm... Really starting to speed up W...

[Aric Dunn]

I would put winds at 120 to 125 right now..

[eastcoastFL]

I would put winds at 120 to 125 right now..

Do you suppose the nhc will get that bold or wait for the 11pm to see if it continues strengthening?

[Aric Dunn]

I would put winds at 120 to 125 right now..

Do you suppose the nhc will get that bold or wait for the 11pm to see if it continues strengthening?

from 110 to 120 ? dont see why not. its becoming quite impressive..