ATL: CINDY - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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tropicwatch
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Re: ATL: CINDY - Tropical Storm

#1221 Postby tropicwatch » Tue Jun 20, 2017 5:15 pm

Cindy still meandering eastward approaching 90w.

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Re: ATL: CINDY - Tropical Storm

#1222 Postby Frank P » Tue Jun 20, 2017 5:20 pm

I have to say that Cindy's cyclonic loop was one of the best I've seen in a while... easy to view off the sat loops with the center devoid of any significant convection... appears to be moving off to the NE attm and I would guess soon to the NNE and N... then maybe she will get on the NW track that we have been waiting for all day!
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Re: ATL: CINDY - Models

#1223 Postby stormlover2013 » Tue Jun 20, 2017 5:26 pm

Gfs has been horrendous with this storm..euro looks right
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Re: ATL: CINDY - Models

#1224 Postby RL3AO » Tue Jun 20, 2017 5:31 pm

stormlover2013 wrote:Gfs has been horrendous with this storm..euro looks right


What makes you say "horrendous"?
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Re: ATL: CINDY - Tropical Storm

#1225 Postby CYCLONE MIKE » Tue Jun 20, 2017 5:36 pm

Our local met went off the air with a tease that he would talk about in more detail later this evening but said he was getting concerned about this being stationary all day and drifting east this afternoon. Guess in the big scheme of things just could potentially mean more rain for certain areas.
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Re: ATL: CINDY - Tropical Storm

#1226 Postby Roxy » Tue Jun 20, 2017 5:43 pm

Steve wrote:Here is a clip out my backyard facing west. When I pan right, that's north. Greens are starting to turn to yellows on the radar but still light to moderate rain with gusts maybe 12-15. I'm probably about 320(?) miles NNE of the center. Anyway if it picks up or I see anything interesting, I'll try to get some shots and videos.

https://youtu.be/yROlhINo1GA


Where do you live?
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Re: ATL: CINDY - Models

#1227 Postby Roxy » Tue Jun 20, 2017 5:45 pm

stormlover2013 wrote:Gfs has been horrendous with this storm..euro looks right


But will the stall send it west or north?
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Re: ATL: CINDY - Models

#1228 Postby Frank P » Tue Jun 20, 2017 5:47 pm

Roxy wrote:
stormlover2013 wrote:Gfs has been horrendous with this storm..euro looks right


But will the stall send it west or north?

I would imagine it would resume the expect NW course pretty soon, looks like the cyclonic loop is complete... at least I sure hope it starts!
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Re: ATL: CINDY - Models

#1229 Postby ronyan » Tue Jun 20, 2017 5:48 pm

:uarrow: The stall will send it nowhere. Sorry couldn't resist.
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Re: ATL: CINDY - Tropical Storm

#1230 Postby sphelps8681 » Tue Jun 20, 2017 5:49 pm

My son who works at Walmart in our little town said it was so busy people buying supplies. This is because there are two storms one coming our way and one going to Florida. ????
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Re: ATL: CINDY - Tropical Storm

#1231 Postby Steve » Tue Jun 20, 2017 5:50 pm

New Orleans about a mile WSW of City Park.
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Re: ATL: CINDY - Tropical Storm

#1232 Postby HurricaneBrain » Tue Jun 20, 2017 5:50 pm

Cyclonic loop looks to be almost complete, I'd expect Cindy to resume NW direction tonight http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/?parms=gulf-02-24-1
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Re: ATL: CINDY - Recon

#1233 Postby CrazyC83 » Tue Jun 20, 2017 5:52 pm

URNT15 KNHC 202242
AF306 0303A CINDY HDOB 02 20170620
223200 3027N 08858W 8474 01514 0094 +155 +152 071030 031 /// /// 05
223230 3026N 08859W 8167 01827 //// +138 //// 070031 033 /// /// 05
223300 3025N 08901W 7879 02136 0086 +127 +123 064034 034 /// /// 03
223330 3024N 08903W 7604 02412 0062 +113 +108 051029 034 /// /// 03
223400 3023N 08905W 7330 02712 0048 +099 +099 055027 028 /// /// 05
223430 3022N 08907W 7122 02951 //// +080 //// 066028 029 /// /// 05
223500 3021N 08909W 6957 03169 //// +064 //// 072030 031 /// /// 05
223530 3020N 08912W 6773 03390 //// +055 //// 083033 036 /// /// 05
223600 3019N 08914W 6603 03601 //// +044 //// 097042 045 /// /// 05
223630 3018N 08916W 6422 03833 //// +028 //// 100043 045 /// /// 05
223700 3017N 08918W 6240 04068 //// +022 //// 109042 043 /// /// 05
223730 3016N 08921W 6080 04279 //// +010 //// 109046 048 /// /// 05
223800 3015N 08923W 5941 04438 //// +001 //// 115042 045 /// /// 05
223830 3014N 08926W 5806 04597 //// -001 //// 122038 042 /// /// 05
223900 3014N 08928W 5721 04714 //// -004 //// 132040 041 /// /// 05
223930 3013N 08930W 5695 04742 //// -005 //// 133040 042 /// /// 05
224000 3011N 08932W 5695 04776 0015 -004 //// 131035 038 /// /// 05
224030 3009N 08933W 5684 04797 //// -003 //// 132035 036 /// /// 05
224100 3007N 08934W 5696 04778 0023 +000 //// 125040 041 /// /// 05
224130 3005N 08935W 5696 04781 0033 -001 //// 123034 037 /// /// 05
$$
;


Next plane en route.
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Re: ATL: CINDY - Tropical Storm

#1234 Postby Javlin » Tue Jun 20, 2017 5:52 pm

Looking at the Eastern US sat http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/eaus/flash-rgb.html one can see that a NNW movement should start to commence in the next few hours by the tilt of the system.
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Re: ATL: CINDY - Models

#1235 Postby Roxy » Tue Jun 20, 2017 5:54 pm

Frank P wrote:
Roxy wrote:
stormlover2013 wrote:Gfs has been horrendous with this storm..euro looks right


But will the stall send it west or north?

I would imagine it would resume the expect NW course pretty soon, looks like the cyclonic loop is complete... at least I sure hope it starts!



Will it strengthen?
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Re: ATL: CINDY - Tropical Storm

#1236 Postby johngaltfla » Tue Jun 20, 2017 5:54 pm

Good luck to LA and TX. Nothing personal but Florida needed more rain like a hole in the head.

The fires are out, the drought receding, and danged if Mother Nature didn't hit us hard already.

I hope for you guys out there that Cindy picks up speed and blows through there with less than 5" of rain. Good luck again!
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Re: ATL: CINDY - Recon

#1237 Postby CrazyC83 » Tue Jun 20, 2017 5:54 pm

URNT15 KNHC 202252
AF306 0303A CINDY HDOB 03 20170620
224200 3002N 08936W 5697 04777 0030 +002 +002 117036 038 /// /// 03
224230 3000N 08938W 5699 04778 0025 +006 //// 123036 037 /// /// 05
224300 2958N 08939W 5696 04776 0033 +009 //// 125038 041 /// /// 05
224330 2956N 08940W 5698 04769 0024 +008 +008 126042 043 /// /// 03
224400 2954N 08942W 5696 04781 0036 +005 //// 131039 044 /// /// 05
224430 2952N 08943W 5705 04748 //// -007 //// 135041 045 /// /// 05
224500 2950N 08944W 5702 04763 //// -004 //// 126036 039 /// /// 05
224530 2948N 08945W 5696 04767 //// -008 //// 127032 036 /// /// 05
224600 2946N 08946W 5702 04755 //// -014 //// 119034 037 /// /// 05
224630 2944N 08947W 5696 04768 //// -016 //// 123038 041 /// /// 05
224700 2942N 08948W 5701 04771 //// -015 //// 125041 042 /// /// 05
224730 2940N 08949W 5696 04773 //// -015 //// 124038 042 /// /// 05
224800 2938N 08950W 5689 04779 //// -018 //// 120036 038 /// /// 05
224830 2937N 08951W 5700 04765 //// -020 //// 124032 034 /// /// 05
224900 2935N 08952W 5699 04764 //// -006 //// 118028 031 /// /// 05
224930 2933N 08954W 5696 04763 //// -002 //// 122027 029 /// /// 05
225000 2931N 08955W 5693 04773 //// -003 //// 131018 027 /// /// 05
225030 2929N 08956W 5705 04753 //// -002 //// 157021 024 /// /// 05
225100 2927N 08957W 5691 04772 //// -001 //// 153019 023 /// /// 05
225130 2925N 08958W 5701 04765 0015 +008 //// 155019 022 /// /// 05
$$
;
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Re: ATL: CINDY - Tropical Storm

#1238 Postby tropicwatch » Tue Jun 20, 2017 5:55 pm

HurricaneBrain wrote:Cyclonic loop looks to be almost complete, I'd expect Cindy to resume NW direction tonight http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/?parms=gulf-02-24-1


Looks like the short wave look from this site will make it easier to follow at night. http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/?parms=gulf-07-24-1
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Re: ATL: CINDY - Models

#1239 Postby Frank P » Tue Jun 20, 2017 5:57 pm

Roxy wrote:
Frank P wrote:
Roxy wrote:
But will the stall send it west or north?

I would imagine it would resume the expect NW course pretty soon, looks like the cyclonic loop is complete... at least I sure hope it starts!



Will it strengthen?

National Hurricane Center not expecting much strengthening... this has been and will be a major rain event somewhere.... a significant wind or surge event is not expected...
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Re: ATL: CINDY - Tropical Storm

#1240 Postby MBryant » Tue Jun 20, 2017 5:57 pm

A mere tropical storm. That's what they called Allison before it stalled over Houston and dumped 59 inches of rain. I live on the Sabine and the water is already high. We won't get much drainage should the storm come ashore where currently projected.

I took notice when they compared it to Humberto at one point. My signature used to say, "Living at the intersection of Rita and Humberto. I don't know if it still does.
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Living at the intersection of Rita and Humberto and Ike and Harvey and Laura and Delta!

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