ATL: IRMA - Models

[AxaltaRacing24]

The GFS run should be interesting I am purely guessing here but thinking it will come back south and west just a bit.

Eventually, somethings gotta give in one of these runs for either model. It makes it even more suspenseful.

[AxaltaRacing24]

The GFS run should be interesting I am purely guessing here but thinking it will come back south and west just a bit.

I'm thinking the 0z ends up even farther north, through 12 hours the GFS is already farther north then the 18z

72-96 hrs out is when the differences will show.

[Kingarabian]

00z GFS through hour 24:

[Miami Storm Tracker]

Everyone hold on here we go.

[Kingarabian]

00z GFS steering trend:

[sma10]

IMO, the trend to be looking for over the first 72-96 hrs is not north/south. Rather, it's west/east. Does it continue the trend of weaker ridge/slower speed? Or does it catch up to the Euro speed?

[ConvergenceZone]

I'll say another hit on the East Coast New York area and North

[AxaltaRacing24]

Right on top of itself

[Kingarabian]

00z GFS hours24->48:

[AxaltaRacing24]

A tick faster and SW. Stronger ridging?

[Miami Storm Tracker]

The HP looks pretty strong in the early run so far, at some point the west to South west turn should commence

[sma10]

Maybe something? Thru 60hrs, it has made up a bit of distance on euros 72hr position. Gap a little closer.

[AutoPenalti]

I say another east shift knowing the GFS.

[AxaltaRacing24]

Here's the trend so far as we enter the 72-96 hr window

[AxaltaRacing24]

I say another east shift knowing the GFS.

90 miles to the east?

[pcolaman]

Stronger ridge , further west I think

[Hurricaneman]

Seems to be dipping more wsw this run compared to the 18zGFS

[txwatcher91]

Through 78 the GfS is a tad faster and more SW but no huge changes. The ULL is weaker thus allowing for more ridging. No surprise as the Euro has consistently handled ULL evolution far better this year and the GFs is trending towards the Euro each run.

[northjaxpro]

Stronger ridge , further west I think

and a bit farther south too with a stronger ridge building in at this juncture.

[AxaltaRacing24]

Seems to be dipping more wsw this run compared to the 18zGFS

Slightly faster and more south. HMMM