ATL: NATE - Post Tropical - Discussion

[txwatcher91]

Last recon pass indicates the core has tightened considerably with the strongest winds now very close to the center like you would expect in a hurricane. Not good.

[Aric Dunn]

Look at the new eyewall convection firing.. warm spot in the middle... looks like an eye will be showing on satellite over the next couple hours..

[Ivanhater]

What is movement looking like...feeling a little uneasy in Pensacola with satellite movement

[Orlando]

Look at the new eyewall convection firing.. warm spot in the middle... looks like an eye will be showing on satellite over the next couple hours..

Geez! That looks like it has done a lot of strengthening in just a short time. And it looks closer to Florida,too.

[NDG]

The Euro is persistent with its Grand Isle landfall.

[Stormcenter]

NNW......pretty obvious on satellite even without distinct eye.

What is movement looking like...feeling a little uneasy in Pensacola with satellite movement

[NDG]

What is movement looking like...feeling a little uneasy in Pensacola with satellite movement

NNW heading.

[Orlando]

Those wobbles are making me very nervous. These things are just so unpredictable.

[EquusStorm]

So I was at the theater for just a couple of hours and I come back to a truly unnerving satellite appearance I kind of underestimated the potential for this to rapidly get it's act together it seems... my mother 15 miles from the AL coast is going to have a rough ride.

[Alyono]

More worried about New Orleans than I am Florida

[La Breeze]

GOM can do weird things to hurricanes...

Will the remnants of the ULL crossing the GOM in front of Nate still have an affect on Nate? As was state, the "GOM can do weird things to hurricanes."

[Orlando]

More worried about New Orleans than I am Florida

Although I do not wish this storm on anyone, thank you for that reassurance. I see now that it has wobbled west a little bit.

[bella_may]

Don't know if this was posted or not but the new advisory has it as an 80mph storm. Same track but wouldn't be surprised to see it shift a hair to the west in the morning

[NDG]

More worried about New Orleans than I am Florida

Why do you think that the TVCN is so far east? And why is the NHC putting so much stock into it when it busted big time tonight from its forecast just 24 hrs ago of Nate to track over or very close over Cancun?

The Euro is very consistent in Nate making landfall over Grand Isle, then move over downtown Nola to over Slidell. GFS is just a few miles east of the Euro.

[Sanibel]

Band clouds showed up overhead here in the moonlight scooting SE to NW...Warm breezes...Something to see...

[NDG]

As if Nate is growing in size and deep convection continues near its forming eye.

[FLpanhandle91]

Ok, I have to vent here for a second. Some random guy's joint pains in Orlando serve literally no purpose in the discussion thread of an imminent landfalling Hurricane. Also, Alyono, I am extraordinarily curious as to why you feel New Orleans will see more significant impact than the panhandle of Florida.

[dexterlabio]

Is no one else considering the likelihood of a cat 3 (or 4) in the gulf? Its current structure looks mighty impressive, a brief RI phase would easily bump this to a 100kt hurricane IMO. I know all hurricanes are dangerous, be it a Cat1 or 5, but people out there might let their guard down a bit because they're only preparing for a minimak hurricane..

[Alyono]

Ok, I have to vent here for a second. Some random guy's joint pains in Orlando serve literally no purpose in the discussion thread of an imminent landfalling Hurricane. Also, Alyono, I am extraordinarily curious as to why you feel New Orleans will see more significant impact than the panhandle of Florida.

because there is little evidence indicating a landfall on the Panhandle. It's not making landfall where you live. That is unlikely

[FLpanhandle91]

Ok, I have to vent here for a second. Some random guy's joint pains in Orlando serve literally no purpose in the discussion thread of an imminent landfalling Hurricane. Also, Alyono, I am extraordinarily curious as to why you feel New Orleans will see more significant impact than the panhandle of Florida.

because there is little evidence indicating a landfall on the Panhandle. It's not making landfall where you live. That is unlikely

Great. Never implied that. The fact of the matter is that the strongest winds are well east of the CoC and in all likelihood, will be at the time of LF. An AL/MS line landfall with a storm moving NE at that point spells way more impact for the FL panhandle than the New Orleans metro.