ATL: MARIA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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northjaxpro
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1821 Postby northjaxpro » Tue Sep 19, 2017 6:16 pm

Maria I believe may reach sub 900 mb as frightening as it is to even decipher right now. Just incredible!! The Atlantic basin has just gone completely insane, like throwing a match and igniting dynamite with all of these deadly monster tropical cyclones just in the last 4 weeks. I am so ready for this nightmarish season to end. Unfortunately, we still have just over two full months of season still to go. Wow!
Last edited by northjaxpro on Tue Sep 19, 2017 6:17 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1822 Postby SunnyThoughts » Tue Sep 19, 2017 6:16 pm

Hurricane Andrew wrote:
SunnyThoughts wrote:
dukeblue219 wrote:Eyewall dropsonde is in, transmitted 2308Z, splashed in 168 KNOT surface wind gusts. Good lord.

I've run out of adjectives, and/or superlatives

How about expletives...

I've said my share of expletives today for sure.
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1823 Postby CrazyC83 » Tue Sep 19, 2017 6:16 pm

This really reminds me of Meranti last year in terms of structure and intensity.

I honestly think that dropsonde is legit and 170 kt is the intensity...
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1824 Postby Ken711 » Tue Sep 19, 2017 6:18 pm

It's going to be making landfall in PR at approximately 2 AM in the morning making things even worse once the power likely goes out.
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1825 Postby GCANE » Tue Sep 19, 2017 6:18 pm

Drop in North Eyewall
At surface:
921mb
168 knots
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1826 Postby sweetpea » Tue Sep 19, 2017 6:19 pm

cjrciadt wrote::uarrow: Me too talking with grandpa now on Island.


Prayers for his safety. Just spoke to my dad also, he ended up going to one of his brothers house. He only lives a about 3 miles from my dad, but he is up on a hill. Won't have to worry about storm surge. Praying for everyone on the island.
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1827 Postby hurricaneCW » Tue Sep 19, 2017 6:20 pm

St. Croix potentially only a few hours away from the northeast eyewall. That EWRC could not come fast enough, anything to weaken this monster.
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1828 Postby johngaltfla » Tue Sep 19, 2017 6:21 pm

northjaxpro wrote:Maria I believe may reach sub 900 mb as frightening as it is to even decipher right now. Just incredible!! The Atlantic basin has just gone completely insane, like throwing a match and igniting dynamite with all of these deadly monster tropical cyclones just in the last 4 weeks. I am so ready for this nightmarish season to end. Unfortunately, we still have just over two full months of season still to go. Wow!


And in a few weeks the GoM season starts. Ugh. :eek:
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1829 Postby Exalt » Tue Sep 19, 2017 6:21 pm

Who would've known it would be Maria to possibly break Allen's record instead of Irma..
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1830 Postby loro-rojo » Tue Sep 19, 2017 6:21 pm

I couldn't have dreamt a worse case scenario for PR. Everything will change after tomorrow.
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1831 Postby Kazmit » Tue Sep 19, 2017 6:22 pm

I'm finding it hard to believe that this is at the same strength wind speed-wise as HAIYAN right now. Or maybe I just don't want to believe it. :(
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1832 Postby Exalt » Tue Sep 19, 2017 6:23 pm

Also, winds have been steadily increasing.. We may have our first 200mph Atlantic hurricane soon enough if this keeps up.
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1833 Postby SoupBone » Tue Sep 19, 2017 6:23 pm

tolakram wrote:This is sickening, I have a much more hopeless feeling than when it hits the US where people can get out of the way. This has been a horrible season. :(



This season will 100% be very heavily referenced like 2005. At this point, it may surpass it in terms of craziness.
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1834 Postby dukeblue219 » Tue Sep 19, 2017 6:26 pm

I know I was as shocked as anyone at the dropsonde, but it IS just one reading of instantaneous winds. The SFMR and flight level winds are not really supportive of 170 knots yet. It may get there (recon has one more pass before a gap until next plane arrives) but I'm not convinced this is quite at Allen/Haiyan levels yet.....
Last edited by dukeblue219 on Tue Sep 19, 2017 6:28 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1835 Postby Aric Dunn » Tue Sep 19, 2017 6:26 pm

THe HWRF winds have verifed thus far pretty darn well. about 90 percent of the 850 mb winds at each advisory... the new 18z HWRF just upped the game here more and this last pass of recon showing that Maria is still deepening. meaning it could approach what the HWRF 850 mb winds are forecast for the next 24 hours or so..
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1836 Postby RL3AO » Tue Sep 19, 2017 6:26 pm

This is starting to feel like the Atlantic's version of Haiyan. Obviously, the cloud tops aren't as cold or the winds quite as strong, but you expect it to peak and begin to weaken. But it doesn't. It keeps looking better and better on satellite and then landfall happens.
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1837 Postby pgoss11 » Tue Sep 19, 2017 6:27 pm

There are no words..God be with the people of Puerto Rico.
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1838 Postby EquusStorm » Tue Sep 19, 2017 6:28 pm

I have absolutely run out of words and never in my life thought a month like this would happen in the Atlantic. And then I am reminded of storms like Mitch and Wilma... we've still got to get through October in the WCarib. :eek:
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1839 Postby 1900hurricane » Tue Sep 19, 2017 6:29 pm

Image
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Re: ATL: MARIA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1840 Postby tolakram » Tue Sep 19, 2017 6:32 pm

saved radar loop
Image
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