ATL: HARVEY - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Hurricane Andrew]

I believe the danger of this storm cannot be stressed enough. We are looking at a rapidly intensifying storm, in favorable atmospheric conditions, less than 48 hours away from landfall. If you are under a watch or warning, please heed it.

[SouthDadeFish]

Extrapolated pressure down to 984 mb, but no hurricane-force winds yet. Only a matter of time. The TC is still deepening.

[hd44]

60 good frames now. You can see the eyewall building. I wish we could enjoy this for a storm out to sea and not here.


http://rammb-slider.cira.colostate.edu/?sat=goes-16&sec=mesoscale_01&x=1009&y=959&z=1&im=60&ts=1&st=0&et=0&speed=90&motion=loop&map=1&lat=0&p%5B0%5D=1&opacity%5B0%5D=1&hidden%5B0%5D=0&pause=0&slider=-1&hide_controls=0&mouse_draw=0&s=rammb-slider

The old Ecmwf run (1) that blew this up approaching Texas is going to be right. A long range Ecmwf intensity got this right,short range not so much.

[lrak]

HELP

Nobody is at work today I'm the only one. I wonder if I didn't get the message.

[KWT]

DTC, great microwave imagery there, inner core is looking great and is reminding me of many cat/4/5 systems before they blow up and really strengthen.

[MississippiWx]

Extrapolated pressure down to 984 mb, but no hurricane-force winds yet. Only a matter of time. The TC is still deepening.

Pressure down 2mb since the last pass. Going to be a wild day, I believe.

[La Sirena]

HELP

Nobody is at work today I'm the only one. I wonder if I didn't get the message.

Personally, I would be home getting my house/self in order. Do the same and good luck!

[tolakram]

HELP

Nobody is at work today I'm the only one. I wonder if I didn't get the message.

Stay safe Karl!

[KWT]

Extrapolated pressure down to 984 mb, but no hurricane-force winds yet. Only a matter of time. The TC is still deepening.

Not too surprised there isn't any hurricane force winds, there usually is some lag with these types of system, but its certainly coming!

The fact the pressure is still dropping down doesn't bode well!

[GCANE]

CAPE increasing now on the W and SW Quad. Up to 3500.
Pop ups firing off.
Looks like the cap came off earlier than I thought it would.
Firing on all 8 cylinders now.

[gatorcane]

[Alyono]

winds are lagging the pressure quite a bit. Has a monsoon trough p/w. HMON and HWRF seem to have been right about that

[CycloneGuru]

I'm in Beaumont Texas, am I good to stay, or should I start making plans to get outta here?

[La Sirena]

:eek:

Impressive seeing that "comma" pop out there.....

[Frank P]

Motion certainly looks NW now on sat loops now... Disclaimer: my unofficial, uneducated, premature speculation and opinion only...

[Rockin4NOLA]

Wow. I shudder to think what this thing can do if it manages to loop back into the Gulf. Nola officials have discussed evacauation orders for even just excessive rainfall...

Does anyone have a water temp map for what's ahead of Harvey?

[pcolaman]

Well Harvey has the classic look now. Look out for a expanding hurricane during the day.

[MississippiWx]

I'm in Beaumont Texas, am I good to stay, or should I start making plans to get outta here?

You should be a safe distance from significant hurricane force impacts, but you won't escape flooding. Take necessary precautions to protect yourself from flood waters.

[ROCK]

winds will catch up..not much I can see upstream to knock it down...unless it goes into ERCs before landfall...IDK...been awhile since 08 and 05 to see something like this in GOM.

[tolakram]

I'm in Beaumont Texas, am I good to stay, or should I start making plans to get outta here?

Local authorities will have the best answer for you. Rain flooding is going to be the biggest issue inland. Pay attention to what your local government and national weather service office is saying.