ATL: HARVEY - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Aric Dunn]

looks like we have solid closed tight eyewall now. pressure is going to be dropping fast from here on out..

[EquusStorm]

Waking up and seeing Harvey's rapid structure improvement on satellite is stunning, as is the intensity potential. VERY serious situation. I'm out of the country until Tuesday, so if people could save time sensitive satellite loops of this historic hurricane, that would be fantastic.

I'm more afraid of an offshore stall. Yeah, friction might weaken the storm overall eventually, but the water it brings would be made even worse by having it sit over the source of such water for a long time. Suffice to say it's time to be thinking of male H names for 2023.

[ronjon]

12z GFS has this down to 938mb in 36 hours. Stunning.

That's lower than the 06z GFS run!

[SunnyThoughts]

Aircraft heading back into the center again.

[tolakram]

SLIDER. Looking extremely dangerous.

http://rammb-slider.cira.colostate.edu/?sat=goes-16&sec=conus&x=4749.5&y=5487.5&z=2&im=18&ts=1&st=0&et=0&speed=130&motion=loop&map=1&lat=0&p%5B0%5D=1&opacity%5B0%5D=1&hidden%5B0%5D=0&pause=0&slider=-1&hide_controls=0&mouse_draw=0&s=rammb-slider

[Steve]

recon doing circles again in the SW quad. they must be waiting for something..

hope they are pouring dyno gel or a small low yield nuke...

I have avoided mentioning Dy-No-Mat for 3 days. You had to do it! Peace.

[tolakram]

15:57Z

[Aric Dunn]

SLIDER. Looking extremely dangerous.

http://rammb-slider.cira.colostate.edu/?sat=goes-16&sec=conus&x=4749.5&y=5487.5&z=2&im=18&ts=1&st=0&et=0&speed=130&motion=loop&map=1&lat=0&p%5B0%5D=1&opacity%5B0%5D=1&hidden%5B0%5D=0&pause=0&slider=-1&hide_controls=0&mouse_draw=0&s=rammb-slider

I cant use that site. everything loops out of sync..

[Steve]

Rain band already approaching Brownsville. https://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid=BRO&product=N0Z&overlay=11101111&loop=yes

You getting out of there or looking to ride it out?

[BRweather]

Will a storm of this strength and size erode any of the subtropical ridge or prevent it from building in from east to west as much? Seems like the GFS is slightly trending further north up the coast little by little.

[tolakram]

SLIDER. Looking extremely dangerous.

http://rammb-slider.cira.colostate.edu/?sat=goes-16&sec=conus&x=4749.5&y=5487.5&z=2&im=18&ts=1&st=0&et=0&speed=130&motion=loop&map=1&lat=0&p%5B0%5D=1&opacity%5B0%5D=1&hidden%5B0%5D=0&pause=0&slider=-1&hide_controls=0&mouse_draw=0&s=rammb-slider

I cant use that site. everything loops out of sync..

Try these

https://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/get-abi?satellite=GOESEastconusband02&lat=25&lon=-94&width=1000&height=800&zoom=4&type=Animation&numframes=20&quality=92

https://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/get-abi?satellite=GOESEastconusband02&lat=25&lon=-94&width=1000&height=800&zoom=2&type=Animation&numframes=20&quality=92

[TheStormExpert]

15:57Z

There is no way this not at least a Cat.1!

[Nimbus]

recon doing circles again in the SW quad. they must be waiting for something..

hope they are pouring dyno gel or a small low yield nuke...

I have avoided mentioning Dy-No-Mat for 3 days. You had to do it! Peace.

What is that spinning around near Nevada?

https://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseasthurrwv.html

[Steve]

:eek: ...check the generators down near Corpus:

 https://twitter.com/JohnHonore/status/900744423029559296

While that is a very cool product, I'd be willing to bet power outages roughly 100% almost over the entire area in orange.

[jaguars_22]

Being in Victoria Im sure they will issue evacuations for Victoria... Calhoun County just issued one

[Kazmit]

Here's an alternative to the GOES 16 slider:

https://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/nexsat-bin/nexsat.cgi?BASIN=CONUS&SUB_BASIN=focus_regions&AGE=Latest&CCA=NorthAmerica-CONUS-East&SSC=GulfOfMexico-x-x&PRODUCT=vis_ir_background&SUB_PRODUCT=goes&PAGETYPE=static&SIZE=Thumb&PATH=NorthAmerica-CONUS-East/GulfOfMexico-x-x/vis_ir_background/goes&&buttonPressed=Animate&ANIM_TYPE=Instant

[Aric Dunn]

SLIDER. Looking extremely dangerous.

http://rammb-slider.cira.colostate.edu/?sat=goes-16&sec=conus&x=4749.5&y=5487.5&z=2&im=18&ts=1&st=0&et=0&speed=130&motion=loop&map=1&lat=0&p%5B0%5D=1&opacity%5B0%5D=1&hidden%5B0%5D=0&pause=0&slider=-1&hide_controls=0&mouse_draw=0&s=rammb-slider

I cant use that site. everything loops out of sync..

Try these

https://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/get-abi?satellite=GOESEastconusband02&lat=25&lon=-94&width=1000&height=800&zoom=4&type=Animation&numframes=20&quality=92

https://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/get-abi?satellite=GOESEastconusband02&lat=25&lon=-94&width=1000&height=800&zoom=2&type=Animation&numframes=20&quality=92

yeah those I have been using. just cant use the other for some reason.

[Sanibel]

Empty your automatic ice maker and turn off the water feed...During Charlie I put bags of ice from FEMA in our refrigerator and damaged the wood floor because they leak like crazy once they warm...

[Steve]

hope they are pouring dyno gel or a small low yield nuke...

I have avoided mentioning Dy-No-Mat for 3 days. You had to do it! Peace.

What is that spinning around near Nevada?

https://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseasthurrwv.html

Looks like an upper low diving toward the Pacific in SW Mexico and an upper low lifting up through Arizona being squeezed by high pressure apparently.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/west/tpac/wv-animated.gif

[lrak]

Rain band already approaching Brownsville. https://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid=BRO&product=N0Z&overlay=11101111&loop=yes

You getting out of there or looking to ride it out?

I'm going to stay for now. I've advised my ex-wife and kids go to a friends in George West. I'll charge my video camera and see if I can upload quick youtube vids for you guys to watch.