ATL: HARVEY - Post-Tropical - Discussion
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion:(Forecast to be a Major Hurricane at landfall)
Should most likely be down below 980mb this pass.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion:(Forecast to be a Major Hurricane at landfall)
60 frame 1sec view, for those who can view it.
http://rammb-slider.cira.colostate.edu/?sat=goes-16&sec=mesoscale_01&x=1118&y=1021&z=1&im=60&ts=1&st=0&et=0&speed=130&motion=loop&map=1&lat=0&p%5B0%5D=1&opacity%5B0%5D=1&hidden%5B0%5D=0&pause=0&slider=-1&hide_controls=0&mouse_draw=0&s=rammb-slider
http://rammb-slider.cira.colostate.edu/?sat=goes-16&sec=mesoscale_01&x=1118&y=1021&z=1&im=60&ts=1&st=0&et=0&speed=130&motion=loop&map=1&lat=0&p%5B0%5D=1&opacity%5B0%5D=1&hidden%5B0%5D=0&pause=0&slider=-1&hide_controls=0&mouse_draw=0&s=rammb-slider
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- lrak
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion:(Forecast to be a Major Hurricane at landfall)
I almost had an altercation with a jerk at HEB this morning grabbing the last bits of dry ice for my meds.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion:(Forecast to be a Major Hurricane at landfall)
I haven't been able to post a whole lot (but I can fill in for Recon from time to time) due to being busy with school but I have been doing occasional graphics and forecast work.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion:(Forecast to be a Major Hurricane at landfall)
first radar from recon of the center..
http://tropicalatlantic.com/recon/recon.cgi?basin=al&year=2017&storm=Harvey&mission=13&agency=NOAA&product=radar&ob=2017-08-24-162158-26.041998N-91.152939W-NOAA-2-.kmz
http://tropicalatlantic.com/recon/recon.cgi?basin=al&year=2017&storm=Harvey&mission=13&agency=NOAA&product=radar&ob=2017-08-24-162158-26.041998N-91.152939W-NOAA-2-.kmz
Last edited by Aric Dunn on Thu Aug 24, 2017 11:32 am, edited 2 times in total.
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Note: If I make a post that is brief. Please refer back to previous posts for the analysis or reasoning. I do not re-write/qoute what my initial post said each time.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion:(Forecast to be a Major Hurricane at landfall)
tolakram wrote:60 frame 1sec view, for those who can view it.
http://rammb-slider.cira.colostate.edu/?sat=goes-16&sec=mesoscale_01&x=1118&y=1021&z=1&im=60&ts=1&st=0&et=0&speed=130&motion=loop&map=1&lat=0&p%5B0%5D=1&opacity%5B0%5D=1&hidden%5B0%5D=0&pause=0&slider=-1&hide_controls=0&mouse_draw=0&s=rammb-slider
Mr. Mark does that site update on its own? I can't find a update feature.
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AKA karl
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion:(Forecast to be a Major Hurricane at landfall)
CrazyC83 wrote:I haven't been able to post a whole lot (but I can fill in for Recon from time to time) due to being busy with school but I have been doing occasional graphics and forecast work.
Go and continue the posting now as I have to go.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion:(Forecast to be a Major Hurricane at landfall)
lrak wrote:tolakram wrote:60 frame 1sec view, for those who can view it.
http://rammb-slider.cira.colostate.edu/?sat=goes-16&sec=mesoscale_01&x=1118&y=1021&z=1&im=60&ts=1&st=0&et=0&speed=130&motion=loop&map=1&lat=0&p%5B0%5D=1&opacity%5B0%5D=1&hidden%5B0%5D=0&pause=0&slider=-1&hide_controls=0&mouse_draw=0&s=rammb-slider
Mr. Mark does that site update on its own? I can't find a update feature.
Nope, or if it does the images get all wonky. I've been hitting refresh on a regular basis.
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M a r k
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion:(Forecast to be a Major Hurricane at landfall)
tolakram wrote:lrak wrote:tolakram wrote:60 frame 1sec view, for those who can view it.
http://rammb-slider.cira.colostate.edu/?sat=goes-16&sec=mesoscale_01&x=1118&y=1021&z=1&im=60&ts=1&st=0&et=0&speed=130&motion=loop&map=1&lat=0&p%5B0%5D=1&opacity%5B0%5D=1&hidden%5B0%5D=0&pause=0&slider=-1&hide_controls=0&mouse_draw=0&s=rammb-slider
Mr. Mark does that site update on its own? I can't find a update feature.
Nope, or if it does the images get all wonky. I've been hitting refresh on a regular basis.
Thanks I was searching and searching.
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AKA karl
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Also
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion:(Forecast to be a Major Hurricane at landfall)
lrak wrote:Steve wrote:lrak wrote:Rain band already approaching Brownsville. https://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid=BRO&product=N0Z&overlay=11101111&loop=yes
You getting out of there or looking to ride it out?
I'm going to stay for now. I've advised my ex-wife and kids go to a friends in George West. I'll charge my video camera and see if I can upload quick youtube vids for you guys to watch.
Be safe man. This looks like one of those time defining moments for y'all down there. For 10 years after, it was Before and After Katrina whenever any timeframe was mentioned. It's going to be prolonged and deadly. I'm assuming you're in off the coast as well as Corpus Christi Bay and Nueces Bay and have close enough access to a shelter if need be. Peace homie.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion:(Forecast to be a Major Hurricane at landfall)
Just got off a conference call (I'm a catastrophe insurance adjuster) and TWIA (Texas windstorm insurance association) was projecting over 35,000 claims last night prior to this RI so now that is well over double that. Looks like I will be heading down there early next week, well as close as I can get.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion:(Forecast to be a Major Hurricane at landfall)
979mb
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Note: If I make a post that is brief. Please refer back to previous posts for the analysis or reasoning. I do not re-write/qoute what my initial post said each time.
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Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion:(Forecast to be a Major Hurricane at landfall)
This pass looks like down to 979.6mb
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion:(Forecast to be a Major Hurricane at landfall)
lrak wrote:tolakram wrote:lrak wrote:
Mr. Mark does that site update on its own? I can't find a update feature.
Nope, or if it does the images get all wonky. I've been hitting refresh on a regular basis.
Thanks I was searching and searching.
I don't know why this hasn't been posted recently, but I love using COD for GOES-16 data, it updates automatically so I just leave it open all day.
Enjoy! http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/?pa ... f-02-200-0
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I'm a weather-loving Coastie.
This post is only an opinion not a forecast. Please refer to the NHC and local NWS offices for forecasts.
Shawn
This post is only an opinion not a forecast. Please refer to the NHC and local NWS offices for forecasts.
Shawn
- lrak
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion:(Forecast to be a Major Hurricane at landfall)
Steve wrote:lrak wrote:Steve wrote:
You getting out of there or looking to ride it out?
I'm going to stay for now. I've advised my ex-wife and kids go to a friends in George West. I'll charge my video camera and see if I can upload quick youtube vids for you guys to watch.
Be safe man. This looks like one of those time defining moments for y'all down there. For 10 years after, it was Before and After Katrina whenever any timeframe was mentioned. It's going to be prolonged and deadly. I'm assuming you're in off the coast as well as Corpus Christi Bay and Nueces Bay and have close enough access to a shelter if need be. Peace homie.
If it starts to look bad I will leave. I live about 20 miles inland and about 5 miles from the bays. Thanks for your concern!
Last edited by lrak on Thu Aug 24, 2017 11:42 am, edited 1 time in total.
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AKA karl
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My posts on this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. My posts are my basic observations and are definitely not backed by any "well some" meteorological knowledge. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Also
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion:(Forecast to be a Major Hurricane at landfall)
Just yesterday the 3km NAM was showing a pressure sub 920 for peak strength and it was quickly discredited. Now, it actually may end up being fairly close and the only model showing such a low pressure. Just goes to show how intensity forecasting needs to weigh ALL options. I’ve seen the 3km NAM do horrible at times and then great for others. This is one time it nailed it.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion:(Forecast to be a Major Hurricane at landfall)
Should be a category 1 hurricane already given that the southwest quadrant where SFMR winds of 60kt were observed is not the strongest quadrant.
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to RSMC and NWS products.
Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion:(Forecast to be a Major Hurricane at landfall)
SSD down for me...
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- northjaxpro
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion:(Forecast to be a Major Hurricane at landfall)
Pressure dropping at a good clip. This may bottom around 940ish or even lower before all is said and done. Wow!!
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Last edited by northjaxpro on Thu Aug 24, 2017 11:44 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion:(Forecast to be a Major Hurricane at landfall)
Is it me or does it appear that Harvey is continuing to move along the northern spectrum of the guidance cone?
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