ATL: HARVEY - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion: Special Advisory at 1 PM CDT

#2161 Postby tolakram » Thu Aug 24, 2017 12:22 pm

 https://twitter.com/AndreaButera/status/900765570827792385




MANDATORY evacuation issued for Port Aransas, TX in advance of #Harvey. Here is the order: http://www.cityofportaransas.org/pdf/8- ... 0Order.pdf … #TXwx
1:03 PM - Aug 24, 2017

http://www.cityofportaransas.org/pdf/8-24%20Evacuation%20Order.pdf
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion: Special Advisory at 1 PM CDT

#2162 Postby txwatcher91 » Thu Aug 24, 2017 12:23 pm

I’m not familiar with the Texas coastline, but based off the current NHC forecast, it seems the center would pass just north of Corpus Christi? Are there any other large cities near there, or would Houston be the next really large city?
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TheStormExpert

Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion: Special Advisory at 1 PM CDT

#2163 Postby TheStormExpert » Thu Aug 24, 2017 12:24 pm

Those saying Harvey would be the big one this season likely got it right as Harvey sure looks like it will be retired when all is said and done. Even if it were to remain weak and just be a flood event that would likely have been enough, just look at Allison (2001).
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Re: ATL: HARVEY: Observations,Web Cams, Local NWS Statements Texas / Louisiana

#2164 Postby tolakram » Thu Aug 24, 2017 12:24 pm

 https://twitter.com/AndreaButera/status/900765570827792385




MANDATORY evacuation issued for Port Aransas, TX in advance of #Harvey. Here is the order: http://www.cityofportaransas.org/pdf/8- ... 0Order.pdf … #TXwx
1:03 PM - Aug 24, 2017

http://www.cityofportaransas.org/pdf/8-24%20Evacuation%20Order.pdf
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion: Special Advisory at 1 PM CDT

#2165 Postby SunnyThoughts » Thu Aug 24, 2017 12:25 pm

Scary situation. Been too many years since anything of this magnitude has come onshore. Many haven't experienced nor know what to expect and im so afraid they wait too late to leave and get stranded on the roads trying to leave.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion: Special Advisory at 1 PM CDT

#2166 Postby newtotex » Thu Aug 24, 2017 12:25 pm

txwatcher91 wrote:I’m not familiar with the Texas coastline, but based off the current NHC forecast, it seems the center would pass just north of Corpus Christi? Are there any other large cities near there, or would Houston be the next really large city?



Victoria is really the only sizable city down there other than Corpus. If you go further inland you have San Antonio and NE you have Houston, but, that's about it
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion: Special Advisory at 1 PM CDT

#2167 Postby jdjaguar » Thu Aug 24, 2017 12:25 pm

The port of Freeport, TX just closed to all in-bound traffic.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion: Special Advisory at 1 PM CDT

#2168 Postby Tireman4 » Thu Aug 24, 2017 12:25 pm

txwatcher91 wrote:I’m not familiar with the Texas coastline, but based off the current NHC forecast, it seems the center would pass just north of Corpus Christi? Are there any other large cities near there, or would Houston be the next really large city?



Victoria...I guess....Maybe..Big city..well, Houston
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion: Special Advisory at 1 PM CDT

#2169 Postby GCANE » Thu Aug 24, 2017 12:26 pm

Image
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion: Special Advisory at 1 PM CDT

#2170 Postby SouthernMet » Thu Aug 24, 2017 12:26 pm

txwatcher91 wrote:I’m not familiar with the Texas coastline, but based off the current NHC forecast, it seems the center would pass just north of Corpus Christi? Are there any other large cities near there, or would Houston be the next really large city?


Victoria, tx is next in line.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion: Special Advisory at 1 PM CDT

#2171 Postby TheStormExpert » Thu Aug 24, 2017 12:26 pm

txwatcher91 wrote:I’m not familiar with the Texas coastline, but based off the current NHC forecast, it seems the center would pass just north of Corpus Christi? Are there any other large cities near there, or would Houston be the next really large city?

I'm not too familiar either outside the Houston-Galveston part of the coastline. Would Harvey hit a rural part of the coast like Bret did in '99 on it's current forecast track?
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion: Special Advisory at 1 PM CDT

#2172 Postby meriland29 » Thu Aug 24, 2017 12:26 pm

I have seen systems ramp up in a 'anticipated' strengthening period..or a boosted strengthening period followed by a lull/rest, but I can't remember the last time I have seen something quite like this happen. And I can't remember the last time the NHC themselves seemed concerned with how it is now predicted to intensify. Usually they reassure during their updates as opposed to what we witness via ensemble models.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion: Special Advisory at 1 PM CDT

#2173 Postby Houstonia » Thu Aug 24, 2017 12:27 pm

SouthernMet wrote:
txwatcher91 wrote:I’m not familiar with the Texas coastline, but based off the current NHC forecast, it seems the center would pass just north of Corpus Christi? Are there any other large cities near there, or would Houston be the next really large city?


Victoria, tx is next in line.


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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion: Special Advisory at 1 PM CDT

#2174 Postby lrak » Thu Aug 24, 2017 12:27 pm

txwatcher91 wrote:I’m not familiar with the Texas coastline, but based off the current NHC forecast, it seems the center would pass just north of Corpus Christi? Are there any other large cities near there, or would Houston be the next really large city?


Rockport TX is very low elevation and will probably get some storm surge. I sure hope not, it's a beautiful city.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion: Special Advisory at 1 PM CDT

#2175 Postby meriland29 » Thu Aug 24, 2017 12:31 pm

I wonder if they will evacuate, or have time to. It went from assuming to be nothing major to, well, this within only a day or two before arrival.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion: Special Advisory at 1 PM CDT

#2176 Postby cycloneye » Thu Aug 24, 2017 12:31 pm

lrak wrote:
txwatcher91 wrote:I’m not familiar with the Texas coastline, but based off the current NHC forecast, it seems the center would pass just north of Corpus Christi? Are there any other large cities near there, or would Houston be the next really large city?


Rockport TX is very low elevation and will probably get some storm surge. I sure hope not, it's a beautiful city.


Stay safe my friend in CC.Looks like will be ground zero there.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion: Special Advisory at 1 PM CDT

#2177 Postby txwatcher91 » Thu Aug 24, 2017 12:31 pm

Thanks everyone! I believe Bret came ashore south of Corpus Christi and it doesn’t seem like much of anything there. It seems we would want Harvey to either go West more like Bret or hit north of Corpus Christi so it doesn’t hit a large town. It’s all going to come down to the final wobbles as it nears land. Stay safe all, regardless of landfall it’s going to cause some major flooding issues it seems.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion: Special Advisory at 1 PM CDT

#2178 Postby GCANE » Thu Aug 24, 2017 12:32 pm

shah83 wrote:Hey GCANE, how's the potential fetch into Pacific going?



Coming thru Mexico now

http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/m ... anim=html5
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion: Special Advisory at 1 PM CDT

#2179 Postby stormreader » Thu Aug 24, 2017 12:32 pm

Image

Hurricane Harvey strengthening and threatening western gulf coast.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion: Special Advisory at 1 PM CDT

#2180 Postby galveston-d » Thu Aug 24, 2017 12:32 pm

Howdy Ya'll this is my second post - although I have lurked here for years. I live in Galveston by the Seawall mid-island. So far everything is quiet. I keep thinking (hoping) that this will just drop a ton of rain on us and NOT slide up the coast as a couple of models I have seen have shown.

I am prepared as best as I can be. I do not own a generator but I have candles. We get flooding in our house (its on the ground) anytime a tropical system passes our way so I am sure I will be mopping and then some no matter what barriers I put up. I appreciate reading all the information here. I am a programmer - not a meteorologist - but the science of it (some would dispute that! ) comforts me somehow and fascinates me. Thank you for keeping us all informed. Reading about weather patterns is simply awesome.....
Denise
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