ATL: IRMA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[weatherwindow]

Good morning from the NE Caribbean,

Good morning msbee....I have followed you on stormcarib...I am sure you are thoroughly prepared...as is the rest of the island....my thoughts are with you...Greetings from KW, Rich

[Hurricane Andrew]

This thing is intensifying...you can see it on satellite. Would not be surprised to see a C4 by the end of the day, before the next EWRC begins. I am not a pro...

[srva80]

WPBF in palm beach needs to get rid Vanessa, shes an idiot. Changes what she says every 5 mins... So annoying and half what shes says doesn't even make sense. Sorry had to vent

[alan1961]

Todays Space Station pass over Irma

[RL3AO]

Going in for the first pass.

[Aric Dunn]

I see the ERC that started early this morning is still going. looks like a few more hours till its complete.

looks like its also starting to bend back to the wsw again the last few frames. ( just woke up )

[jlauderdal]

WPBF in palm beach needs to get rid Vanessa, shes an idiot. Changes what she says every 5 mins... So annoying and half what shes says doesn't even make sense. Sorry had to vent

its ok, this is the discussion thread and yes you will hear boat loads of just wrong stuff from the media and not just local, national media sends in reporters that dont know jack about tropical systems....figure out quickly who to trust and run with that...as far as track goes, nobody better than nhc but dont focus on the line because there is error and the effects will be far reaching, this thing is a completely different animal than we have seen in awhile

[HeatherAKC]

I am interested in any potential storm surge forecasts for North Miami Beach. Anyone have thoughts or sources?

[Hurricane Andrew]

I am interested in any potential storm surge forecasts for North Miami Beach. Anyone have thoughts or sources?

Still way too far out to predict storm surge with any accuracy...

[srva80]

WPBF in palm beach needs to get rid Vanessa, shes an idiot. Changes what she says every 5 mins... So annoying and half what shes says doesn't even make sense. Sorry had to vent

its ok, this is the discussion thread and yes you will hear boat loads of just wrong stuff from the media and not just local, national media sends in reporters that dont know jack about tropical systems....figure out quickly who to trust and run with that...as far as track goes, nobody better than nhc but dont focus on the line because there is error and the effects will be far reaching, this thing is a completely different animal than we have seen in awhile

No I agree, I don't listen to her, I follow nhc and these treads closely. I just don't see how they still have her employed, half the people on the forum know more than she does, not just with a hurricane threat, even day to day forecasts. Most the other mets on that channel are at least decent.

[Hurricane Andrew]

Formula: X(knots) * 1.15078 = Y(mph)

Just throwing this out there.

[RL3AO]

URNT15 KNHC 041634
AF309 0311A IRMA HDOB 16 20170904
162500 1740N 05455W 6966 03171 0060 +102 +030 054044 045 035 000 00
162530 1739N 05454W 6969 03164 0059 +101 +034 053045 045 036 000 00
162600 1738N 05453W 6969 03161 0053 +105 +024 054048 048 036 000 00
162630 1737N 05451W 6962 03169 0051 +106 +028 052049 050 035 000 00
162700 1736N 05450W 6970 03157 0044 +110 +036 051050 050 036 000 00
162730 1734N 05449W 6969 03157 0043 +110 +028 054050 050 035 000 00
162800 1733N 05448W 6966 03161 0042 +107 +028 056050 051 036 000 00
162830 1732N 05446W 6967 03153 0044 +103 +031 059052 052 036 000 00
162900 1731N 05445W 6967 03157 0042 +104 +025 058053 054 037 000 00
162930 1730N 05444W 6968 03149 0037 +104 +051 056060 061 038 000 00
163000 1729N 05443W 6965 03150 0028 +109 +043 051061 062 038 000 00
163030 1727N 05441W 6965 03151 0023 +112 +024 049060 061 038 000 00
163100 1726N 05440W 6967 03144 0026 +107 +039 051058 059 039 000 00
163130 1725N 05439W 6965 03145 0030 +102 +053 050056 057 040 000 00
163200 1724N 05438W 6966 03140 0024 +105 +054 049057 058 040 000 03
163230 1723N 05436W 6967 03137 0031 +094 +053 048055 056 041 000 03
163300 1721N 05435W 6967 03134 0027 +096 +062 045054 055 042 001 00
163330 1720N 05434W 6967 03130 0026 +095 +058 046057 057 045 001 00
163400 1719N 05433W 6965 03131 0026 +093 +042 045057 057 046 000 00
163430 1718N 05431W 6967 03126 0021 +094 +037 045059 061 045 000 00
$$
;

[jlauderdal]

WPBF in palm beach needs to get rid Vanessa, shes an idiot. Changes what she says every 5 mins... So annoying and half what shes says doesn't even make sense. Sorry had to vent

its ok, this is the discussion thread and yes you will hear boat loads of just wrong stuff from the media and not just local, national media sends in reporters that dont know jack about tropical systems....figure out quickly who to trust and run with that...as far as track goes, nobody better than nhc but dont focus on the line because there is error and the effects will be far reaching, this thing is a completely different animal than we have seen in awhile

No I agree, I don't listen to her, I follow nhc and these treads closely. I just don't see how they still have her employed, half the people on the forum know more than she does, not just with a hurricane threat, even day to day forecasts. Most the other mets on that channel are at least decent.

ok, lets cut her some slack, she is just getting started, as long as she isnt giving misinformation, she is a south floridian so she has real life experience with this stuff..i was watching houston coverage online and just be happy with our south florida meteorologists..justin and frank on krpc kept talking about all this dry air coming into harvey, meanwhile its pouring in houston, yeah there was dry air, problem is that was at the mid levels and all the action was in the lower levels, they went on like that for at least a day about dry air and all it did was keep raining, they showed that vapor loop over and over and over..even frank billingsly admitted there was some -removed- going on, he used that term, i couldnt believe it..btw, in sofla we really have great people setzer, john moralas, max mayfield is on channel 10

[ronyan]

I always do the conversion mentally by adding 10% to knots value and then adding half of the amount previously added. That gets you 1.15 factor which is close enough for these purposes.

[Hurricane Andrew]

:uarrow: I always do the conversion mentally by adding 10% to knots value and then adding half of the amount previously added. That gets you 1.15 factor which is close enough for these purposes.

Fair enough, lol.

[flamingosun]

:uarrow: I always do the conversion mentally by adding 10% to knots value and then adding half of the amount previously added. That gets you 1.15 factor which is close enough for these purposes.

Exactly! That's what I do, too. Super easy. No pencil even needed.

[mike2kt]

Formula: X(knots) * 1.15078 = Y(mph)

Just throwing this out there.

Or for the lazy among us (self included), Google
#KT to MPH
e.g. 100KT to MPH

[RL3AO]

URNT15 KNHC 041644
AF309 0311A IRMA HDOB 17 20170904
163500 1717N 05430W 6967 03124 0022 +092 +043 047063 063 046 000 00
163530 1715N 05429W 6965 03121 0017 +093 +043 046062 063 047 000 00
163600 1714N 05427W 6966 03122 0020 +087 +053 046062 062 047 000 00
163630 1713N 05426W 6969 03112 0016 +088 +045 046062 062 046 000 00
163700 1712N 05425W 6963 03113 0017 +082 +055 042062 062 049 001 00
163730 1711N 05424W 6970 03102 0015 +079 +067 041063 066 052 000 00
163800 1709N 05422W 6967 03100 0000 +088 +068 044067 069 051 001 00
163830 1708N 05421W 6963 03102 9990 +088 +073 044069 071 050 004 00
163900 1707N 05420W 6970 03087 9982 +091 +072 044073 074 051 002 00
163930 1706N 05419W 6970 03085 9979 +092 +066 042075 076 052 003 00
164000 1705N 05417W 6963 03088 9979 +086 +073 038075 077 054 001 00
164030 1704N 05416W 6967 03078 9979 +081 +074 038078 079 057 001 00
164100 1703N 05414W 6965 03073 9968 +084 +071 038081 082 057 001 00
164130 1703N 05413W 6966 03060 9954 +087 +061 036083 084 058 002 00
164200 1702N 05411W 6969 03050 9946 +090 +053 035084 085 061 003 00
164230 1701N 05410W 6966 03041 9933 +087 +063 033086 088 063 004 00
164300 1700N 05409W 6970 03023 9923 +079 +067 030085 088 065 009 00
164330 1700N 05407W 6967 03015 9926 +075 +075 028089 091 067 018 03
164400 1659N 05406W 6961 03003 9910 +087 +087 034097 101 071 021 03
164430 1658N 05404W 6978 02971 9883 +092 +092 035097 102 078 007 00
$$

[Hurricane Andrew]

Formula: X(knots) * 1.15078 = Y(mph)

Just throwing this out there.

Or for the lazy among us (self included), Google
#KT to MPH
e.g. 100KT to MPH

:/

[eastcoastFL]

WPBF in palm beach needs to get rid Vanessa, shes an idiot. Changes what she says every 5 mins... So annoying and half what shes says doesn't even make sense. Sorry had to vent

I stick to this site and the nhc. I'll turn on WPBF once they get to the live 24/7 coverage of the storm. Can't beat the local news when it gets to that point.