ATL: HARVEY - Models

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BRweather
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Models

#2701 Postby BRweather » Thu Aug 24, 2017 10:57 pm

I think the GFS has finally fixed it's stalling-for-way-too-long problem. Looks like finally onboard with ECMWF, NAM, and, CMC.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Models

#2702 Postby Frank P » Thu Aug 24, 2017 10:58 pm

Big change from last run, looks more in like with Euro and Nam as well thus far!
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Models

#2703 Postby PTrackerLA » Thu Aug 24, 2017 10:58 pm

Sure looks like it's shifting towards Euro, could get ugly for LA this run
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Models

#2704 Postby ColdMiser123 » Thu Aug 24, 2017 10:59 pm

Deepening just offshore on the GFS.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Models

#2705 Postby BRweather » Thu Aug 24, 2017 10:59 pm

Frank P wrote:Big change from last run, looks more in like with Euro and Nam as well thus far!


It just did not make sense for it to stall like it was before. You have that trough digging in and it allows it it to escape back east. And the subtropical ridge noising in helps too.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Models

#2706 Postby tolakram » Thu Aug 24, 2017 11:01 pm

Yep, back out now and deepening.

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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Models

#2707 Postby Frank P » Thu Aug 24, 2017 11:02 pm

Looks stalled again pressure down to 990, little movement in past 12 hours
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Models

#2708 Postby Frank P » Thu Aug 24, 2017 11:03 pm

H114 still stalled BP 989
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Models

#2709 Postby BRweather » Thu Aug 24, 2017 11:05 pm

Frank P wrote:H114 still stalled BP 989


Ridge in the gulf in building in trying to keep in with Texas.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Models

#2710 Postby chaser1 » Thu Aug 24, 2017 11:05 pm

Just incredible how Harvey just sits and slowly reorganizes and continue to restrengthen! 988mb at 120 hr?! https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysi ... 0&ypos=100
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Models

#2711 Postby chaser1 » Thu Aug 24, 2017 11:06 pm

987 mb at 126 hr.'s and nearly dead stationary
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Models

#2712 Postby tolakram » Thu Aug 24, 2017 11:07 pm

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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Models

#2713 Postby PTrackerLA » Thu Aug 24, 2017 11:08 pm

And back into Texas at 126hrs
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Models

#2714 Postby chaser1 » Thu Aug 24, 2017 11:09 pm

....and drifting back inland again we go?!! https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysi ... 500&fh=132
Last edited by chaser1 on Thu Aug 24, 2017 11:09 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Models

#2715 Postby Wx_Warrior » Thu Aug 24, 2017 11:09 pm

Whoa. Interesting wrinkle in GFS...Moves back inland at 132H.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Models

#2716 Postby Wx_Warrior » Thu Aug 24, 2017 11:10 pm

132 H gfs

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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Models

#2717 Postby PTrackerLA » Thu Aug 24, 2017 11:10 pm

The one constant from the last several days is many places in Texas are in for horrific amounts of rain. These runs continue to astonish me :eek: .
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Models

#2718 Postby chaser1 » Thu Aug 24, 2017 11:11 pm

Wx_Warrior wrote:Whoa. Interesting wrinkle in GFS...Moves back inland at 132H.


Looks like Harvey just cant get enough of those Texas Angus steaks. Comin back for seconds
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Models

#2719 Postby Wx_Warrior » Thu Aug 24, 2017 11:13 pm

Southwest of Galveston. Anyone have higher detail where that is?
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Models

#2720 Postby jasons2k » Thu Aug 24, 2017 11:13 pm

All I can say is geez. Not to disrupt the model thread, but GEEZ. This is a horrible scenario in terms of flooding!! I hope points east and NE of Harvey are ready!
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