ATL: IRMA - Post-Tropical - Discussion
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Hurricane Andrew
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion
NOAA Mission #4 is en route to Irma...that would be Kermit, correct?
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion
Inner eye is beginning to fade pretty quick on visible with very shallow convection remaining more whispy than anything..
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion
Hurricane Andrew wrote:NOAA Mission #4 is en route to Irma...that would be Kermit, correct?
That's NOAA9 (Gonzo) G-IV
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion
SouthDadeFish wrote:Looks like the larger eyewall is starting to become dominant on satellite imagery too. The moat between the eyewalls is weakning. The CDO looks to be expanding as well. The eye is still partially cloud-filled now, but once it clears out, satellite estimates will likely significantly increase.
And the Islands are already seeing the outer bands of Irma.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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Hurricane Andrew
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion
mike2kt wrote:Hurricane Andrew wrote:NOAA Mission #4 is en route to Irma...that would be Kermit, correct?
That's NOAA9 (Gonzo) G-IV
Ah, ok, thanks. SO many recon missions...lol
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The Enthusiast
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion
Hurricane Andrew wrote:NOAA Mission #4 is en route to Irma...that would be Kermit, correct?
That's the G-IV synoptic surveillance flight which drops sondes around the hurricane to feed data into models.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion
General rule, when the NHC forecasters prep their own homes...
https://twitter.com/ericholthaus/status/904761194409492481
https://twitter.com/ericholthaus/status/904761194409492481
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion
JPmia wrote:General rule, when the NHC forecasters prep their own homes...
https://twitter.com/ericholthaus/status/904761194409492481
Yep. Taylor Trogdon and Eric Blake have both said they're doing hurricane prep today.
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flamingosun
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion
Prof - You are more than welcome.
This is the first time we have evacuated by land in a while, and I was happy to find La Quinta. (We happened to be at sea for Matthew, Rita, and Jeanne.)
PS - La Quinta is also a pet friendly hotel chain! (We have a kitty to consider, too.)
This is the first time we have evacuated by land in a while, and I was happy to find La Quinta. (We happened to be at sea for Matthew, Rita, and Jeanne.)
PS - La Quinta is also a pet friendly hotel chain! (We have a kitty to consider, too.)
Last edited by flamingosun on Mon Sep 04, 2017 12:58 pm, edited 3 times in total.
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TheStormExpert
Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion
RL3AO wrote:Hurricane Andrew wrote:NOAA Mission #4 is en route to Irma...that would be Kermit, correct?
That's the G-IV synoptic surveillance flight which drops sondes around the hurricane to feed data into models.
So will it be in the 18z or tonights 00z runs?
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Bamagirl2408
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion
Major lurker Here for years. Just remembered my login. Besides Donna scenario, what other past tracks come to mind? Frances? Ivan? Matthew? Our local mets posted NHC update and alot felt similarity to Frederic. I was real young then. Probably being in S Alabama that is the one they relate to. Love reading and learning.
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DESTRUCTION5
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion
RL3AO wrote:JPmia wrote:General rule, when the NHC forecasters prep their own homes...
https://twitter.com/ericholthaus/status/904761194409492481
Yep. Taylor Trogdon and Eric Blake have both said they're doing hurricane prep today.
Did the President just ask him if there will be intermediate Adv now?
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Main Recon Thread (Data only)
URNT15 KNHC 041754
AF309 0311A IRMA HDOB 24 20170904
174500 1640N 05228W 6969 03139 0048 +089 +043 172049 050 039 001 00
174530 1643N 05229W 6965 03144 0052 +085 +045 169050 051 038 001 00
174600 1645N 05229W 6969 03143 0055 +080 +044 166049 050 038 002 00
174630 1647N 05229W 6969 03140 0050 +086 +042 167050 050 045 007 00
174700 1649N 05229W 6960 03145 0056 +082 +074 165053 055 051 021 00
174730 1652N 05230W 6980 03125 0069 +084 +084 153053 056 053 036 00
174800 1654N 05230W 6958 03145 0074 +081 //// 161042 053 058 027 05
174830 1656N 05230W 6960 03146 0052 +081 +081 156046 047 057 015 03
174900 1657N 05232W 6979 03132 0053 +082 +076 157054 055 056 017 03
174930 1700N 05233W 6962 03145 0044 +085 +073 160057 058 036 003 00
175000 1702N 05233W 6967 03140 0045 +088 +059 158054 057 035 001 00
175030 1704N 05233W 6969 03141 0047 +087 +055 156052 053 036 002 00
175100 1706N 05233W 6967 03142 0046 +090 +049 156052 053 037 001 00
175130 1708N 05233W 6967 03144 0046 +089 +051 155052 053 037 001 00
175200 1711N 05233W 6966 03146 0048 +087 +049 153053 054 037 001 00
175230 1713N 05234W 6966 03146 0053 +085 +054 150054 054 036 001 00
175300 1715N 05234W 6968 03147 0051 +088 +056 150052 054 036 001 00
175330 1717N 05234W 6966 03151 0047 +094 +056 144053 055 036 001 00
175400 1719N 05234W 6965 03152 0047 +092 +058 140058 059 035 002 00
175430 1721N 05234W 6965 03158 0054 +091 +056 142058 059 037 001 00
AF309 0311A IRMA HDOB 24 20170904
174500 1640N 05228W 6969 03139 0048 +089 +043 172049 050 039 001 00
174530 1643N 05229W 6965 03144 0052 +085 +045 169050 051 038 001 00
174600 1645N 05229W 6969 03143 0055 +080 +044 166049 050 038 002 00
174630 1647N 05229W 6969 03140 0050 +086 +042 167050 050 045 007 00
174700 1649N 05229W 6960 03145 0056 +082 +074 165053 055 051 021 00
174730 1652N 05230W 6980 03125 0069 +084 +084 153053 056 053 036 00
174800 1654N 05230W 6958 03145 0074 +081 //// 161042 053 058 027 05
174830 1656N 05230W 6960 03146 0052 +081 +081 156046 047 057 015 03
174900 1657N 05232W 6979 03132 0053 +082 +076 157054 055 056 017 03
174930 1700N 05233W 6962 03145 0044 +085 +073 160057 058 036 003 00
175000 1702N 05233W 6967 03140 0045 +088 +059 158054 057 035 001 00
175030 1704N 05233W 6969 03141 0047 +087 +055 156052 053 036 002 00
175100 1706N 05233W 6967 03142 0046 +090 +049 156052 053 037 001 00
175130 1708N 05233W 6967 03144 0046 +089 +051 155052 053 037 001 00
175200 1711N 05233W 6966 03146 0048 +087 +049 153053 054 037 001 00
175230 1713N 05234W 6966 03146 0053 +085 +054 150054 054 036 001 00
175300 1715N 05234W 6968 03147 0051 +088 +056 150052 054 036 001 00
175330 1717N 05234W 6966 03151 0047 +094 +056 144053 055 036 001 00
175400 1719N 05234W 6965 03152 0047 +092 +058 140058 059 035 002 00
175430 1721N 05234W 6965 03158 0054 +091 +056 142058 059 037 001 00
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Main Recon Thread (Data only)
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54° 11' 59'' N, 9° 9' 20'' E
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion
next recon pass may only be one eyewall now becasue of the rate of decay of the inner eye.. its fading fast now.
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Note: If I make a post that is brief. Please refer back to previous posts for the analysis or reasoning. I do not re-write/qoute what my initial post said each time.
If there is nothing before... then just ask
Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...
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Extratropical94
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion
DESTRUCTION5 wrote:RL3AO wrote:JPmia wrote:General rule, when the NHC forecasters prep their own homes...
https://twitter.com/ericholthaus/status/904761194409492481
Yep. Taylor Trogdon and Eric Blake have both said they're doing hurricane prep today.
Did the President just ask him if there will be intermediate Adv now?
That would be concerning if it was his real twitter. Luckily it's not the real POTUS.
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54° 11' 59'' N, 9° 9' 20'' E
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AutoPenalti
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion
Already finished up boarding shutters around the house with the help of my dad.
We have too many windows.
We have too many windows.
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Extratropical94
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Main Recon Thread (Data only)
URNT15 KNHC 041804
AF309 0311A IRMA HDOB 25 20170904
175500 1724N 05234W 6969 03150 0057 +089 +057 144057 059 038 002 00
175530 1726N 05234W 6967 03154 0059 +088 +057 142053 055 039 002 00
175600 1728N 05235W 6966 03157 0060 +089 +059 139051 053 040 003 00
175630 1730N 05235W 6967 03155 0060 +090 +057 136051 052 038 006 00
175700 1732N 05235W 6966 03157 0066 +085 +058 135050 052 037 011 00
175730 1734N 05235W 6967 03155 0063 +088 +056 134052 053 039 009 00
175800 1736N 05235W 6967 03157 0061 +091 +055 133052 054 038 006 00
175830 1738N 05235W 6966 03158 0063 +089 +057 134054 055 039 006 00
175900 1740N 05235W 6967 03158 0065 +087 +059 136053 055 039 005 00
175930 1743N 05236W 6967 03158 0072 +081 +058 138053 054 037 005 03
180000 1745N 05236W 6969 03153 0058 +093 +054 137053 053 036 003 00
180030 1747N 05236W 6966 03159 0058 +091 +048 137057 058 036 001 00
180100 1749N 05236W 6966 03156 0054 +095 +044 140060 061 035 001 00
180130 1751N 05236W 6967 03153 0054 +094 +042 142062 064 035 001 00
180200 1753N 05236W 6970 03151 0053 +095 +040 142064 065 034 001 00
180230 1756N 05237W 6963 03164 0057 +097 +035 136062 063 035 001 03
180300 1757N 05238W 6967 03167 0066 +095 +036 134059 061 /// /// 03
180330 1756N 05240W 6969 03153 0056 +095 +034 135057 058 034 002 00
180400 1755N 05241W 6969 03150 0057 +091 +035 138059 059 034 002 00
180430 1754N 05242W 6963 03155 0062 +086 +035 139057 059 035 001 00
AF309 0311A IRMA HDOB 25 20170904
175500 1724N 05234W 6969 03150 0057 +089 +057 144057 059 038 002 00
175530 1726N 05234W 6967 03154 0059 +088 +057 142053 055 039 002 00
175600 1728N 05235W 6966 03157 0060 +089 +059 139051 053 040 003 00
175630 1730N 05235W 6967 03155 0060 +090 +057 136051 052 038 006 00
175700 1732N 05235W 6966 03157 0066 +085 +058 135050 052 037 011 00
175730 1734N 05235W 6967 03155 0063 +088 +056 134052 053 039 009 00
175800 1736N 05235W 6967 03157 0061 +091 +055 133052 054 038 006 00
175830 1738N 05235W 6966 03158 0063 +089 +057 134054 055 039 006 00
175900 1740N 05235W 6967 03158 0065 +087 +059 136053 055 039 005 00
175930 1743N 05236W 6967 03158 0072 +081 +058 138053 054 037 005 03
180000 1745N 05236W 6969 03153 0058 +093 +054 137053 053 036 003 00
180030 1747N 05236W 6966 03159 0058 +091 +048 137057 058 036 001 00
180100 1749N 05236W 6966 03156 0054 +095 +044 140060 061 035 001 00
180130 1751N 05236W 6967 03153 0054 +094 +042 142062 064 035 001 00
180200 1753N 05236W 6970 03151 0053 +095 +040 142064 065 034 001 00
180230 1756N 05237W 6963 03164 0057 +097 +035 136062 063 035 001 03
180300 1757N 05238W 6967 03167 0066 +095 +036 134059 061 /// /// 03
180330 1756N 05240W 6969 03153 0056 +095 +034 135057 058 034 002 00
180400 1755N 05241W 6969 03150 0057 +091 +035 138059 059 034 002 00
180430 1754N 05242W 6963 03155 0062 +086 +035 139057 059 035 001 00
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54° 11' 59'' N, 9° 9' 20'' E
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otowntiger
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion
pressure not falling at this time. Correct? Seems to have leveled off?GCANE wrote:Drop just came in
946mb
16:52z
16.7N 53.7W
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Extratropical94
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion
otowntiger wrote:pressure not falling at this time. Correct? Seems to have leveled off?GCANE wrote:Drop just came in
946mb
16:52z
16.7N 53.7W
Yes, because there is an eyewall replacement cycle going on at the moment. As soon as the eye clears out Irma is likely to deepen further.
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54° 11' 59'' N, 9° 9' 20'' E
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