ATL: IRMA - Models

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Ken711
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#3341 Postby Ken711 » Sat Sep 02, 2017 4:59 pm

weathaguyry wrote:The trough may pull her a little more northward, so if the ridge builds in, she may already be far enough north that she wont affect florida


But too late to spare the Mid-Atlantic I'm afraid.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#3342 Postby AxaltaRacing24 » Sat Sep 02, 2017 4:59 pm

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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#3343 Postby Aric Dunn » Sat Sep 02, 2017 5:00 pm

lifting out about 4 to 6 hours earlier.. while IRma is a about 2 hours slower. might make all the difference.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#3344 Postby SouthFLTropics » Sat Sep 02, 2017 5:01 pm

Euro vs GFS

Image

Image
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#3345 Postby GCANE » Sat Sep 02, 2017 5:01 pm

Run-to-run, stronger Burmuda High.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#3346 Postby AubreyStorm » Sat Sep 02, 2017 5:03 pm

AxaltaRacing24 wrote:Image


WOW! More close to PR? Right???
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#3347 Postby Aric Dunn » Sat Sep 02, 2017 5:03 pm

Of interest is the large low over the north atlantic heading to europe is weaker and not digging vs the 12z.. that will allow the trough over the east coast to lift out faster..
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#3348 Postby SouthFLTropics » Sat Sep 02, 2017 5:04 pm

Looks like the trough is grabbing it at 120
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#3349 Postby northjaxpro » Sat Sep 02, 2017 5:05 pm

:uarrow: Dangerously close to Puerto Rico
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#3350 Postby AxaltaRacing24 » Sat Sep 02, 2017 5:05 pm

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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#3351 Postby NJWxHurricane » Sat Sep 02, 2017 5:06 pm

slightly e of 12z gfs position at hr 126
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#3352 Postby GCANE » Sat Sep 02, 2017 5:06 pm

High over Hudson Bay gelling and building in run-to-run
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#3353 Postby Aric Dunn » Sat Sep 02, 2017 5:06 pm

the trough is about 6 hour faster and the southern extent of trough is about 3 hundred miles more north. and again irma slower by about 2 - 4 hours.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#3354 Postby Frank P » Sat Sep 02, 2017 5:07 pm

wonder if this will be another Maryland to perhaps NYC run again for the GFS???
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#3355 Postby AubreyStorm » Sat Sep 02, 2017 5:07 pm

northjaxpro wrote::uarrow: Dangerously close to Puerto Rico


OOOMMGGGG! I can’t believe!
I will cry!
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#3356 Postby AxaltaRacing24 » Sat Sep 02, 2017 5:09 pm

Image
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#3357 Postby SouthFLTropics » Sat Sep 02, 2017 5:09 pm

Euro vs GFS

Image

Image
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#3358 Postby Langinbang187 » Sat Sep 02, 2017 5:10 pm

Trough looks to have a hold of it.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#3359 Postby Aric Dunn » Sat Sep 02, 2017 5:11 pm

the slower motion is getting larger from the 12z. irma is about 6 hours slower at 138 hours.. also more ridging building in north with the trough lifting faster.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#3360 Postby tarheelprogrammer » Sat Sep 02, 2017 5:11 pm

SouthFLTropics wrote:Euro vs GFS

Image

Image


Pretty good agreement there. 8-)
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