Been using the Closest Point of Approach tool at Storm Carib for some of the islands. So terrifying... Islands such as Anguilla & Barbuda, St. Maarten, St. Barths getting pretty much direct hits if current forecast track verifies:
Obviously any wobbles matter quite a bit to some of the islands that are currently in the 50-90 miles away range. Got to hope and pray for Irma to begin the turn NW. But even if she does, the size of the storm and the proximity to the islands could mean catastrophic impact even from 40-70 miles away.
Not looking yet at Turks & Caicos, Puerto Rico or the DR/Haiti, but there are AT LEAST 8 islands within a "closest point of approach of 50 miles" - 4 of those with a CPA of less than 20 miles.
http://stormcarib.com/closest.cgiResults for Anguilla (18.2N, 63.08W):
The approximate Closest Point of Approach (CPA) is located near 18.2N, 63.1W or about 1.7 miles(2.8 km) from your location. The estimated time of when the center of the storm will be at that location is in about 1 day, 4 hours and 47 minutes from now (Wednesday, September 6 at 3:00PM AST).Results for Barbuda (17.63N, 61.78W):
The approximate Closest Point of Approach (CPA) is located near 17.8N, 61.7W or about 10.6 miles (17.1 km) from your location. The estimated time of when the center of the storm will be at that location is in about 22 hours and 44 minutes from now (Wednesday, September 6 at 9:00AM AST).Results for St.Maarten/St.Martin (18.05N, 63.12W):
The approximate Closest Point of Approach (CPA) is located near 18.2N, 63.1W or
about 12.3 miles (19.9 km) from your location. The estimated time of when the center of the storm will be at that location is in about 1 day, 4 hours and 26 minutes from now (Wednesday, September 6 at 2:54PM AST).
Results for St.Barths (17.9N, 62.85W):
The approximate Closest Point of Approach (CPA) is located near 18.1N, 62.8W or
about 16.2 miles (26.1 km) from your location. The estimated time of when the center of the storm will be at that location is in about 1 day, 3 hours and 18 minutes from now (Wednesday, September 6 at 1:42PM AST).
Results for St.John (18.35N, 64.73W):
The approximate Closest Point of Approach (CPA) is located near 18.7N, 64.6W or
about 28.3 miles (45.5 km) from your location. The estimated time of when the center of the storm will be at that location is in about 1 day, 11 hours and 10 minutes from now (Wednesday, September 6 at 9:36PM AST).
Results for St.Thomas (18.33N, 64.98W):
The approximate Closest Point of Approach (CPA) is located near 18.8N, 64.8W or
about 35.3 miles (56.9 km) from your location. The estimated time of when the center of the storm will be at that location is in about 1 day, 12 hours and 1 minute from now (Wednesday, September 6 at 10:30PM AST).
Results for Saba (17.63N, 63.22W):
The approximate Closest Point of Approach (CPA) is located near 18.2N, 63.0W or about 41.8 miles (67.2 km) from your location. The estimated time of when the center of the storm will be at that location is in about 1 day, 4 hours and 20 minutes from now (Wednesday, September 6 at 2:42PM AST).
Results for Antigua (17.12N, 61.78W):
The approximate Closest Point of Approach (CPA) is located near 17.7N, 61.6W or about 43.7 miles (70.4 km) from your location. The estimated time of when the center of the storm will be at that location is in about 22 hours and 3 minutes from now (Wednesday, September 6 at 8:18AM AST).
Results for St.Kitts (17.3N, 62.68W):
The approximate Closest Point of Approach (CPA) is located near 18.0N, 62.4W or about 51.5 miles (82.9 km) from your location. The estimated time of when the center of the storm will be at that location is in about 1 day, 1 hours and 39 minutes from now (Wednesday, September 6 at 12:06PM AST).
Results for Nevis (17.14N, 62.59W):
The approximate Closest Point of Approach (CPA) is located near 18.0N, 62.3W or about 60.0 miles (96.5 km) from your location. The estimated time of when the center of the storm will be at that location is in about 1 day, 1 hours and 9 minutes from now (Wednesday, September 6 at 11:30AM AST).
Results for St.Croix (17.7N, 64.8W):
The approximate Closest Point of Approach (CPA) is located near 18.7N, 64.4W or about 71.8 miles (115.5 km) from your location. The estimated time of when the center of the storm will be at that location is in about 1 day, 10 hours and 29 minutes from now (Wednesday, September 6 at 8:54PM AST).
Results for Montserrat (16.74N, 62.19W):
The approximate Closest Point of Approach (CPA) is located near 17.8N, 61.8W or about 77.3 miles (124.4 km) from your location. The estimated time of when the center of the storm will be at that location is in about 23 hours and 5 minutes from now (Wednesday, September 6 at 9:24AM AST).
Results for Guadeloupe (16.27N, 61.52W):
The approximate Closest Point of Approach (CPA) is located near 17.6N, 61.1W or about 95.1 miles (153.0 km) from your location. The estimated time of when the center of the storm will be at that location is in about 20 hours from now (Wednesday, September 6 at 6:18AM AST).
