ATL: HARVEY - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Exalt]

Google really needs to update their Crisis Map, stuck at Cat 2, this thing is ahead of schedule.

[Ntxw]

[Aric Dunn]

Looks like it is trying to bomb out.

[Langinbang187]

Looks like he's trying to make a last minute run to attain cat 4. Is recon in there now?

[gatorcane]

LSM is taking some great video of the early impacts.

Here is their most recent video.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xeZCo5XjK6w

wow looks real bad

[bohaiboy]

God bless the people on the Texas Coast who are there to ride out the hurricane, this will be a historic hurricane, and it will not be quick to leave either!

The really scary no good horrible thing will be a night time landfall - the sounds of the high winds whistling, rattles in the house, loose objects hitting the outside of the house, blinding horizontal rainfall, losing power....its a nightmare for anyone having to experience it.

A friend of mine stayed thru Frederick in 1979 and they were 30 mile inland. She said never again. Exactly as you said above,

[tropicwatch]

Starting to get that stadium effect.

[Extratropical94]

Looks like he's trying to make a last minute run to attain cat 4. Is recon in there now?

Yes, 112 kt FL, 98 kt SFMR in SE quadrant.

Center pass incoming.

[artist]

Looks like he's trying to make a last minute run to attain cat 4. Is recon in there now?

Two flights are. Correction, one flight is leaving. Ignore that. Clicked on wrong hdob.

[ronjon]

Wouldn't it take a wnw motion at this point to be a direct hit on Corpus based on current location? Seems like recent movement has been closer to North than West.

Yes Harvey's at a latitude now that it will likely landfall north of CC - in the Matagorda Bay area with a large wildlife refuge that's sparsely populated. But it'll hang around for days and produce severe flooding probably never before seen in that part of Tx.

[mcheer23]

Landfall around 1am?

[Texashawk]

And starting to slow down. What about an alternate scenario - Harvey doesn't quite make it onshore, sits about 20-30 miles from the coast continuing to gain steam (to a point) while millions of people watch to see where a loaded Cat 4/5 finally ends up, all the while dumping billions of gallons of rain across the Gulf Coast. That's worthy of a novel, but it's also possible. Scary stuff.

[cycloneye]

Hurricane Harvey Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092017
300 PM CDT Fri Aug 25 2017

...3 PM CDT POSITION AND INTENSITY UPDATE...

Corpus Christi Naval Air Station recently reported a sustained wind
of 53 mph (85 km/h) with a gust to 64 mph (104 km/h).

A station at Aransas Pass run by the Texas Coastal Observing
Network recently reported a sustained wind of 53 mph (85 km/h) with
a gust to 68 mph (109 km/h).

SUMMARY OF 300 PM CDT...2000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.4N 96.4W
ABOUT 70 MI...110 KM ESE OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS
ABOUT 70 MI...110 KM S OF PORT OCONNOR TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...943 MB...27.85 INCHES

$$
Forecaster Blake

[Meteorcane]

Are the planes releasing silver iodide to try to induce an EWRC? I know they did it for Matthew, Ike, and Sandy (although the greater area of strong winds may have caused more damage than a more intense smaller eyes was) and it generally kept them below max strength.

[chris_fit]

Don't really see it slowing down much yet, if at all. That Eyewall looks 30-40 miles offshore, if that.... it's getting close. I'm not the NHC but hurricane force sustained winds are imminent. Gusts already occuring I'm sure.

[artist]

USAF flight
194930 2709N 09619W 6961 02844 9640 +142 +121 234110 112 094 013 00
195000 2710N 09620W 6962 02813 9610 +145 +144 238105 112 098 011 00
195030 2710N 09621W 6969 02770 9608 +128 //// 240099 102 098 005 01
195100 2712N 09622W 6967 02746 9537 +140 //// 241081 094 095 003 01

[Kingarabian]

Are the planes releasing silver iodide to try to induce an EWRC? I know they did it for Matthew, Ike, and Sandy (although the greater area of strong winds may have caused more damage than a more intense smaller eyes was) and it generally kept them below max strength.

Think the last system they tried it on was hurricane Ginger.

[Wx_Warrior]

Harvey webcams:

http://www.statesman.com/news/want-see-harvey-for-yourself-here-are-texas-webcams-watch/WoDyf2BOX0KyuEHC8GtY5O/

[Hurricane Andrew]

Are the planes releasing silver iodide to try to induce an EWRC? I know they did it for Matthew, Ike, and Sandy (although the greater area of strong winds may have caused more damage than a more intense smaller eyes was) and it generally kept them below max strength.

Um...what?

[Kingarabian]

Looks like 941mb on this center pass.