ATL: HARVEY - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Langinbang187

Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#4041 Postby Langinbang187 » Fri Aug 25, 2017 3:30 pm

gatorcane wrote:I thought landfall was not going to be until later tonight or tomorrow AM? At least that is what I was seeing last night on the weather channel. Is it landfalling faster than expected?


Look at the image post this post. This thing is pretty darn close to making landfall. Can't see landfall waiting until the AM.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#4042 Postby vbhoutex » Fri Aug 25, 2017 3:31 pm

Portaransas wrote:If it could just jog a little more north, it would landfall on a wildlife refuge...very sparsely populated there and Port Aransas/ Rockport and Corpus would be somewhat spared at least the wind damage. Hoping for that.

As if everyone else hasn't, I have been watching the track on satellite today. If Harvey continues on the apparent current path, which I would say is NNW I think Harvey will come in almost right over Matagorda Bay. Jmho. I don't even want to think about the path after that if the models are anywhere near right!!
Things are ramping up all along the coast now including multiple tornado warnings along the coast at this time, radar indicated.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#4043 Postby sponger » Fri Aug 25, 2017 3:31 pm

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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#4044 Postby RL3AO » Fri Aug 25, 2017 3:32 pm

Blinhart wrote:
My question are they gonna consider it landfall when it hits the barrier islands or the main land?


Both will be considered landfalls.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#4045 Postby Hammy » Fri Aug 25, 2017 3:32 pm

The western eyewall is getting so intense it's preventing the northern and eastern parts from showing up well on Corpus Christi radar, as they're showing up on Galveston's.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#4046 Postby Blinhart » Fri Aug 25, 2017 3:33 pm

RL3AO wrote:
Blinhart wrote:
My question are they gonna consider it landfall when it hits the barrier islands or the main land?


Both will be considered landfalls.


So there is a good chance Harvey could have multiple landfalls if he decides to staircase his way up the coast.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#4047 Postby La Sirena » Fri Aug 25, 2017 3:34 pm

Langinbang187 wrote:
gatorcane wrote:I thought landfall was not going to be until later tonight or tomorrow AM? At least that is what I was seeing last night on the weather channel. Is it landfalling faster than expected?


Look at the image post this post. This thing is pretty darn close to making landfall. Can't see landfall waiting until the AM.

Agreed.....it's moved so close so quickly. Just curious if there was a new estimated landfall.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#4048 Postby CDO62 » Fri Aug 25, 2017 3:35 pm

Judging by the Corpus Christi radar, it looks like landfall is only 2 or 3 hours out unless Harvey slows down his forward speed.

https://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid ... 1&loop=yes
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#4049 Postby artist » Fri Aug 25, 2017 3:35 pm

CycloneGuru wrote:I'm located in Jefferson County, I have family that lives in Orange County, and I have family that Lives in Austin Texas, Are either one of these places safe to evacuate to? I feel like Orange County and Austin Are going to receive something from this. i don't think its safe to stay here in Beaumont Texas, especially in my neighborhood where it floods the roads with just a hour heavy downpour.

I would check the nhc link here and click on the maps for rainfall potential and the wind map. Might be easier to decide from them

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphic ... ?#contents
Stay safe
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#4050 Postby AubreyStorm » Fri Aug 25, 2017 3:36 pm

Close up :eek:

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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#4051 Postby La Sirena » Fri Aug 25, 2017 3:36 pm

vbhoutex wrote:
Portaransas wrote:If it could just jog a little more north, it would landfall on a wildlife refuge...very sparsely populated there and Port Aransas/ Rockport and Corpus would be somewhat spared at least the wind damage. Hoping for that.

As if everyone else hasn't, I have been watching the track on satellite today. If Harvey continues on the apparent current path, which I would say is NNW I think Harvey will come in almost right over Matagorda Bay. Jmho. I don't even want to think about the path after that if the models are anywhere near right!!
Things are ramping up all along the coast now including multiple tornado warnings along the coast at this time, radar indicated.

And definitely coming in ahead of schedule?
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#4052 Postby ronjon » Fri Aug 25, 2017 3:36 pm

CDO62 wrote:Judging by the Corpus Christi radar, it looks like landfall is only 2 or 3 hours out unless Harvey slows down his forward speed.

https://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid ... 1&loop=yes


wobbling west-northwest now - CC not out of the woods yet!
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#4053 Postby SunnyThoughts » Fri Aug 25, 2017 3:38 pm

sponger wrote:http://www.kristv.com/category/292861/live-stream

Great local live link

This is awesome, thank you so much.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#4054 Postby floridasun78 » Fri Aug 25, 2017 3:38 pm

what highest wind reporter on beach look could be close to hurr power?
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#4055 Postby Rail Dawg » Fri Aug 25, 2017 3:38 pm

Guys can you give me a rough estimate for the time eyewall at Victoria?

I'm going to leave Houston around 11pm.

About 2 hours to safety in Victoria.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#4056 Postby artist » Fri Aug 25, 2017 3:38 pm

Quite a few mid to high 90's from sets of both planes just now on sfmr.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#4057 Postby Blinhart » Fri Aug 25, 2017 3:38 pm

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floater ... -long.html

According to this the eye is to the ENE of the forecast points, so when the next full advisory comes out there will be some changes to forecast points and many other things.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#4058 Postby South Texas Storms » Fri Aug 25, 2017 3:39 pm

ronjon wrote:
CDO62 wrote:Judging by the Corpus Christi radar, it looks like landfall is only 2 or 3 hours out unless Harvey slows down his forward speed.

https://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid ... 1&loop=yes


wobbling west-northwest now - CC not out of the woods yet!


Yep it sure is. I think the landfall location will be very close to Rockport in a few hours. Port Aransas and Corpus could see the western eyewall though if this wobble continues.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#4059 Postby LearnedHat » Fri Aug 25, 2017 3:39 pm

:)
Rail Dawg wrote:Guys can you give me a rough estimate for the time eyewall at Victoria?

I'm going to leave Houston around 11pm.

About 2 hours to safety in Victoria.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#4060 Postby Blinhart » Fri Aug 25, 2017 3:39 pm

Rail Dawg wrote:Guys can you give me a rough estimate for the time eyewall at Victoria?

I'm going to leave Houston around 11pm.

About 2 hours to safety in Victoria.


You need to leave now if you want to have a chance of making it to Victoria safely, pretty soon I'm sure highways will be closed especially since Victoria is under a mandatory evacuation.
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