ATL: HARVEY - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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JPmia
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#4061 Postby JPmia » Fri Aug 25, 2017 3:40 pm

Rail Dawg wrote:Guys can you give me a rough estimate for the time eyewall at Victoria?

I'm going to leave Houston around 11pm.

About 2 hours to safety in Victoria.


You're cutting it close buddy.. you'll definitely be driving in TS force winds.. get a move on it if you're going to brave it out.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#4062 Postby wxman57 » Fri Aug 25, 2017 3:41 pm

Center moved 30nm over the last 3 hrs and it's 35nm from the coast now. That puts landfall by 7pm this evening if it doesn't slow down.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#4063 Postby NDG » Fri Aug 25, 2017 3:41 pm

The eye has really become majestic this afternoon.

Image
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#4064 Postby Raebie » Fri Aug 25, 2017 3:41 pm

Rail Dawg wrote:Guys can you give me a rough estimate for the time eyewall at Victoria?

I'm going to leave Houston around 11pm.

About 2 hours to safety in Victoria.


You cannot possibly be serious.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#4065 Postby Kingarabian » Fri Aug 25, 2017 3:43 pm

Thankfully the winds are not budging from the averaged 105kts.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#4066 Postby SunnyThoughts » Fri Aug 25, 2017 3:43 pm

South Texas Storms wrote:
ronjon wrote:
CDO62 wrote:Judging by the Corpus Christi radar, it looks like landfall is only 2 or 3 hours out unless Harvey slows down his forward speed.

https://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid ... 1&loop=yes


wobbling west-northwest now - CC not out of the woods yet!


Yep it sure is. I think the landfall location will be very close to Rockport in a few hours. Port Aransas and Corpus could see the western eyewall though if this wobble continues.


I read earlier where media was speaking to the mayor of Rockport, he said about 40% of the residents decided to stay in town.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#4067 Postby BobHarlem » Fri Aug 25, 2017 3:43 pm

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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#4068 Postby RL3AO » Fri Aug 25, 2017 3:44 pm

129 kt FL winds. Already a borderline cat 4.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#4069 Postby Hypercane_Kyle » Fri Aug 25, 2017 3:44 pm

Insane dropsonde from NOAA2: 125mph winds at the surface, max winds of 155mph at the 910mb level.
Last edited by Hypercane_Kyle on Fri Aug 25, 2017 3:46 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#4070 Postby Langinbang187 » Fri Aug 25, 2017 3:44 pm

NDG wrote:The eye has really become majestic this afternoon.

http://i.imgur.com/Zesc35D.gif


This things making landfall within three hours at this rate.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#4071 Postby MaineWeatherNut » Fri Aug 25, 2017 3:45 pm

Kingarabian wrote:Thankfully the winds are not budging from the averaged 105kts.


Recon just found 129kt flight level winds in the north east quad
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#4072 Postby La Sirena » Fri Aug 25, 2017 3:45 pm

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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#4073 Postby NDG » Fri Aug 25, 2017 3:45 pm

Is making a run for Cat 4, IMO.

203630 2735N 09625W 6968 02719 9502 +145 +140 134093 099 102 001 01
203700 2736N 09624W 6968 02756 9593 +135 //// 133112 116 099 002 01
203730 2737N 09623W 6975 02784 9649 +113 //// 129127 129 095 006 01
203800 2738N 09622W 6961 02836 9659 +124 //// 131122 127 097 005 01
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#4074 Postby psyclone » Fri Aug 25, 2017 3:46 pm

the northwestern eyewall will be reaching the coast in about 2 hours or so. Seidel is in port Lavaca on TWC and he is going to get rocked. we should get some great footage from him before dark.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#4075 Postby Kazmit » Fri Aug 25, 2017 3:46 pm

Close to a cat 4 now, but also close to landfall. If this slows down only a little before landfall, I think Harvey could get there.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#4076 Postby Kingarabian » Fri Aug 25, 2017 3:46 pm

MaineWeatherNut wrote:
Kingarabian wrote:Thankfully the winds are not budging from the averaged 105kts.


Recon just found 129kt flight level winds in the north east quad


Yeah just saw the NOAA plane. I'd go with 110kts then.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#4077 Postby floridasun78 » Fri Aug 25, 2017 3:46 pm

i dont think safe for chaser to be in this hurr their few out in it
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#4078 Postby 3boover » Fri Aug 25, 2017 3:47 pm

Lots of Tornado Warnings, the less talked about hazard with Harvey...
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#4079 Postby RL3AO » Fri Aug 25, 2017 3:47 pm

Rail Dawg wrote:
Trying to judge exactly where to go to get the eye.


We won't help you try to deliberately drive into the eye of a major hurricane.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#4080 Postby Aric Dunn » Fri Aug 25, 2017 3:48 pm

Wow radar presentation is rapidly improving.. cat 4 is looking more likely
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