ATL: IRMA - Models

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jlauderdal
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#4081 Postby jlauderdal » Sun Sep 03, 2017 10:39 am

SouthFLTropics wrote:
Hurricane Andrew wrote:Slightly NW through HR30...


Any shift North is better for the islands. They'll take what they can get right now.
good news for them, anything with a W is bad news for us
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#4082 Postby xtyphooncyclonex » Sun Sep 03, 2017 10:41 am

Might be a less aggressive run.... Hoping it will. I, living on the opposite hemisphere of this planet, am terrified for those in the path of the storm starting with the Lesser Antilles
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#4083 Postby toad strangler » Sun Sep 03, 2017 10:42 am

That's a little more than slightly N given just 48 hours. Looks like at least a degree.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#4084 Postby SouthFLTropics » Sun Sep 03, 2017 10:42 am

Still NW of 06z

Image
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#4085 Postby ConvergenceZone » Sun Sep 03, 2017 10:48 am

One thing positive that came from Harvey(and I hate using that word), is that I feel like it really raised hurricane awareness, and I feel like more people will take it seriously and make early preparations especially if it's going to be close to the strength that some of the models are showing. Hopefully that alone will save some lives if it does hit the US as a strong cane.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#4086 Postby Blinhart » Sun Sep 03, 2017 10:48 am

Not buying this run.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#4087 Postby SouthFLTropics » Sun Sep 03, 2017 10:50 am

:think:

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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#4088 Postby rockyman » Sun Sep 03, 2017 10:51 am

The trough is pulling out faster in this run of the GFS
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#4089 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Sun Sep 03, 2017 10:52 am

Thru 84 its cutting it mighty close to PR and Luis.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#4090 Postby SouthFLTropics » Sun Sep 03, 2017 10:52 am

By 84 hours it's close to the same latitude but faster. The trend to the NW is changing to only a trend further west.

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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#4091 Postby Bocadude85 » Sun Sep 03, 2017 10:52 am

Through 84 hours the GFS is west of the 6z...
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#4092 Postby toad strangler » Sun Sep 03, 2017 10:53 am

Through 84 Irma lost the N shift from 6z and is now due W a touch
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#4093 Postby rockyman » Sun Sep 03, 2017 10:55 am

At 90 hours, it's a touch SW of the previous run.
Last edited by rockyman on Sun Sep 03, 2017 10:57 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#4094 Postby toad strangler » Sun Sep 03, 2017 10:56 am

rockyman wrote:At 90 hours, it's a touch SW of the previous ru.



I see it as a degree due W
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#4095 Postby KWT » Sun Sep 03, 2017 10:56 am

06z GFS way to close for comfort on this run to the NE Caribbean, needs to be so closely watched. Deepening rapidly as well by 84hrs!
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#4096 Postby toad strangler » Sun Sep 03, 2017 10:57 am

@ 96 there is a slight SW shift from 6z
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#4097 Postby SouthFLTropics » Sun Sep 03, 2017 10:57 am

102 hours...SW of the 06z...Approaching the Turks and Caicos Islands :think:

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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#4098 Postby SouthFLTropics » Sun Sep 03, 2017 10:59 am

I think this is going to be a real close run for the Florida East Coast.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#4099 Postby Raebie » Sun Sep 03, 2017 10:59 am

That 'thinking' emoticon drives me insane. Lol.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#4100 Postby Hypercane_Kyle » Sun Sep 03, 2017 11:01 am

Raebie wrote:That 'thinking' emoticon drives me insane. Lol.



But does it? :think:

12z GFS definitely stronger through 108 hours, and a touch further south in the Bahamas.
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