good news for them, anything with a W is bad news for usSouthFLTropics wrote:Hurricane Andrew wrote:Slightly NW through HR30...
Any shift North is better for the islands. They'll take what they can get right now.
ATL: IRMA - Models
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models
Might be a less aggressive run.... Hoping it will. I, living on the opposite hemisphere of this planet, am terrified for those in the path of the storm starting with the Lesser Antilles
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models
That's a little more than slightly N given just 48 hours. Looks like at least a degree.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models
One thing positive that came from Harvey(and I hate using that word), is that I feel like it really raised hurricane awareness, and I feel like more people will take it seriously and make early preparations especially if it's going to be close to the strength that some of the models are showing. Hopefully that alone will save some lives if it does hit the US as a strong cane.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models
Not buying this run.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models
Thru 84 its cutting it mighty close to PR and Luis.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models
By 84 hours it's close to the same latitude but faster. The trend to the NW is changing to only a trend further west.


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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models
Through 84 Irma lost the N shift from 6z and is now due W a touch
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models
At 90 hours, it's a touch SW of the previous run.
Last edited by rockyman on Sun Sep 03, 2017 10:57 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models
rockyman wrote:At 90 hours, it's a touch SW of the previous ru.
I see it as a degree due W
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models
06z GFS way to close for comfort on this run to the NE Caribbean, needs to be so closely watched. Deepening rapidly as well by 84hrs!
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models
@ 96 there is a slight SW shift from 6z
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models
I think this is going to be a real close run for the Florida East Coast.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models
Raebie wrote:That 'thinking' emoticon drives me insane. Lol.
But does it?

12z GFS definitely stronger through 108 hours, and a touch further south in the Bahamas.
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