ATL: IRMA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[KyleEverett]

So Irma is going through yet another ERC, but IR is cooling, so it'll likely be a quick one cause she's intensifying again.

[KBBOCA]

 https://twitter.com/mikeseidel/status/905206324249731072

[GCANE]

About 4C increase in eye temp on this pass

[Aric Dunn]

looks like Barbuda is going to have a great view of the starts tonight...

[Jimsot]

Regular or not I don't think it will make a real difference for the NE Islands. I looked over the histories of both Luis and Donna the worst to hit Anguilla. Irma seems to be in its own class.

Based on the past two recon passes, Irma may be back to being closer to a typical pressure/wind relationship. While still a solid category 5, I'm not seeing anything close to 160 kt anymore.

Yep. Looking more like a "regular" cat 5. Maybe even a cat 4 by morning. Let's see how efficient the EWRC is.

[Exalt]

Based on the past two recon passes, Irma may be back to being closer to a typical pressure/wind relationship. While still a solid category 5, I'm not seeing anything close to 160 kt anymore.

Yep. Looking more like a "regular" cat 5. Maybe even a cat 4 by morning. Let's see how efficient the EWRC is.

No reason for it to not RI immediately after, however.

[MatthewsRevenge]

This thing ain't moving fast to go NW either. Yeah this is gonna be a direct hit!

[RL3AO]

No reason for it to not RI immediately after, however.

I wouldn't be surprised if it makes a run at sub-900mb afterwards.

[KBBOCA]

 https://twitter.com/JohnMoralesNBC6/status/905207562961907712

[Extratropical94]

161 FL / 154 unflagged SFMR from AF plane

[KBBOCA]

 https://twitter.com/JasonDunning/status/905207484830425088

[Aric Dunn]

http://flhurricane.com/imageanimator.php?295

[NDG]

AF recon finds stronger winds.

231300 1724N 06023W 6974 02656 9522 +085 +046 059158 161 151 063 00
231330 1723N 06022W 6955 02640 9472 +088 +048 057153 161 154 066 00
231400 1723N 06021W 6962 02582 9406 +098 +050 062136 143 156 061 03

[floridasun78]

their way to know what going on islands i look for station their offline or not online

[Aric Dunn]

161 FL / 154 unflagged SFMR from AF plane

231230 1725N 06024W 6971 02706 9576 +082 +047 059149 152 134 045 00
231300 1724N 06023W 6974 02656 9522 +085 +046 059158 161 151 063 00
231330 1723N 06022W 6955 02640 9472 +088 +048 057153 161 154 066 00
231400 1723N 06021W 6962 02582 9406 +098 +050 062136 143 156 061 03

[jasons2k]

Hey guys,

I have quite a few friends over in the UK who have Family and friends in Disney at the moment. All of them are there until at least next week and are incredibly worried about Irma as you can imagine.
Most are staying in the resort hotels and 2 off them are in Villas not too far away from the resort.

Could anyone give me a rough idea of what they could be expecting from Irma.... I know it is days away and they are so many variables right now but any help would be greatly appreciated.

Too early to tell. Best guess now, based on current forecast, is Orlando would experience solid hurricane force winds and a lot of power outages. Think Charley but over a wider area. This, of course, may change between now and then, but it's looking like the Orlando area will be at least impacted.

[Preemptivestrike]

How extreme of an impact will Irma be on the Leeward Islands?

[RL3AO]

Holy crap...

[Chris_in_Tampa]

NOAA through 7:05pm EDT:

[KBBOCA]

Appreciate that this shows clearly the islands in the Northern Leewards that are facing such danger from Irma

 https://twitter.com/BrianJamesNBC5/status/905206089557438467