ATL: IRMA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[jlauderdal]

people were going nut water i have do work walmart here in miami was cazy i am vendor for them

any news from craig setzer?

[Hurrilurker]

Maybe the GFS wasn't so crazy after all with those sub-900 pressures.

[kaykayjs]

No plywood in central Florida. Pretty frustrated

[GeneratorPower]

18Z HWRF run
https://i.imgur.com/cDvnkDP.gif

At least I'll get to see the eye if it verifies. Honestly I think it's gonna come ashore south in Collier County.

[1900hurricane]

Looking at the radar, I wonder if Irma is trying to pull a Haiyan style EWRC? The outer eyewall merges with inner eyewall rather than replacing it, which may allow further intensification tonight as cloudtops continue to cool after sunset

I was wondering pretty much the same thing. Winston '16 pulled a similar one, and that's what immediately came to mind for me in this situation.

[Aric Dunn]

No plywood in central Florida. Pretty frustrated

plexy glass. all sorts of alternatives..

[GCANE]

Product: NOAA Vortex Message (URNT12 KWBC)
Transmitted: 6th day of the month at 0:22Z
Agency: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)
Aircraft: Lockheed WP-3D Orion (Reg. Num. N42RF)
Storm Number & Year: 11 in 2017
Storm Name: Irma (flight in the North Atlantic basin)
Mission Number: 10
Observation Number: 19 ( See all messages of this type for this mission. )
A. Time of Center Fix: 6th day of the month at 0:03:19Z
B. Center Fix Coordinates: 17°12'N 60°23'W (17.2N 60.3833W)
B. Center Fix Location: 97 statute miles (156 km) to the E (87°) from Saint John's, Antigua and Barbuda.
C. Minimum Height at Standard Level: Not Available
D. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind Inbound: 152kts (~ 174.9mph)
E. Location of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind Inbound: 15 nautical miles (17 statute miles) to the NNW (347°) of center fix
F. Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: From 79° at 161kts (From between the ENE and E at ~ 185.3mph)
G. Location of Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: 17 nautical miles (20 statute miles) to the NNW (347°) of center fix
H. Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 917mb (27.08 inHg)
I. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Outside Eye: 14°C (57°F) at a pressure alt. of 2,444m (8,018ft)
J. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Inside Eye: 25°C (77°F) at a pressure alt. of 2,470m (8,104ft)
K. Dewpoint Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): 18°C (64°F)
K. Sea Surface Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): Not Available
L. Eye Character: Closed
M. Eye Shape: Concentric (has an inner and outer eye)
M. Inner Eye Diameter: 20 nautical miles (23 statute miles)
M. Outer Eye Diameter: 45 nautical miles (52 statute miles)
N. Fix Determined By: Penetration, Radar, Wind, Pressure and Temperature
N. Fix Level: Other - Not surface, 1500ft, 925mb, 850mb, 700mb, 500mb, 400mb, 300mb or 200mb
O. Navigational Fix Accuracy: 0.02 nautical miles
O. Meteorological Accuracy: 1 nautical mile

Remarks Section:
Maximum Flight Level Wind: 161kts (~ 185.3mph) which was observed 17 nautical miles (20 statute miles) to the NNW (347°) from the flight level center at 23:58:44Z
Maximum Flight Level Temp: 25°C (77°F) which was observed 5 nautical miles to the N (356°) from the flight level center
Dropsonde Surface Wind at Center: From 200° at 16kts (From the SSW at 18mph)

[supercane4867]

This is ridiculous:

https://i.imgur.com/pQhOqnc.jpg

https://i.imgur.com/WLNjCez.jpg

Who knows what hell on earth will be experienced on these tiny islands...just beyond disbelief

[WeatherGuesser]

This is ridiculous:

I've been seeing a lot of posts like that. A single word or two, some sort of exclamation, some with a link or image, others without. But none of them have explained what they're saying or seeing. There's been no explanation of the exclamation.

[GCANE]

 https://twitter.com/NASA_SPoRT/status/905040749523333120

[utweather]

18Z HWRF run
https://i.imgur.com/cDvnkDP.gif

At least I'll get to see the eye if it verifies. Honestly I think it's gonna come ashore south in Collier County.

Collier County residents have already been urged to leave. There is no guarantee surviving the eye wall to see the eye.

[Blinhart]

This is ridiculous:

I've been seeing a lot of posts like that. A single word or two, some sort of exclamation, some with a link or image, others without. But none of them have explained what they're saying or seeing. There's been no explanation of the exclamation.

For some of them you don't need to see anything to know what they are talking about. Everything about this storm is ridiculous.

[GCANE]

[Kingarabian]

This is ridiculous:

I've been seeing a lot of posts like that. A single word or two, some sort of exclamation, some with a link or image, others without. But none of them have explained what they're saying or seeing. There's been no explanation of the exclamation.

Because the images associated with those posts are self explanatory.

[eastcoastFL]

Jose looks so tiny compared to Irma in that run.

[dizzyfish]

I started a thread for evac and closures if you would care to post those there for ease of reference.

viewtopic.php?f=59&t=119139

[supercane4867]

This is ridiculous:

I've been seeing a lot of posts like that. A single word or two, some sort of exclamation, some with a link or image, others without. But none of them have explained what they're saying or seeing. There's been no explanation of the exclamation.

It's simply because people who understand the images are so impressed that they become speechless

[Alyono]

looks like a rapid ewrc is occurring based upon radar

[smithtim]

That is the strongest drop I can remember since Wilma. Wilma had one that was about the same. I will find it.

From WIlma discussion:

AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE MEASURED 168 KNOTS AT 700 MB

Thanks for sharing that..I remember that now and see where I was getting 195mph from before!

Gonna be interesting to see what nhc puts on the 11pm?

Thoughts prayers for all those people down in islands staring down the eye of this beast

[BlueWater36]

Checking in from Port Saint Lucie. We live in a good house with good bones. Hurricane shutters all around. Hurricane garage door. Impact slider on the back. Food, water, propane, and gas cans prepped at the beginning of the season. Cars gassed up.

Still very nervous about this one.