ATL: IRMA - Models

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AxaltaRacing24
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#4901 Postby AxaltaRacing24 » Sun Sep 03, 2017 11:11 pm

About to say hi to FL
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TheStormExpert

Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#4902 Postby TheStormExpert » Sun Sep 03, 2017 11:11 pm

00z GEFS Ensembles should be REAL INTERESTING!
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#4903 Postby Blinhart » Sun Sep 03, 2017 11:11 pm

GeneratorPower wrote:The trend strikes again. Houston or NOLA?


Thinking possibly in between like Sabine Pass to Vermillion Bay.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#4904 Postby weathaguyry » Sun Sep 03, 2017 11:11 pm

Almost out of Cuba @150, still going WNW
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#4905 Postby M3gaMatch » Sun Sep 03, 2017 11:12 pm

Weakness appearing @ 144hrs, and hint of that second trough again, uh oh....
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#4906 Postby tailgater » Sun Sep 03, 2017 11:12 pm

Aussie model has been showing Irma crossing Cuba and hitting Tallahassee area.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#4907 Postby eastcoastFL » Sun Sep 03, 2017 11:12 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:again no random low develops over the mississippi valley.. this makes way way more sense.

Yup. I agree. The pieces of the puzzle are starting to fall into place.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#4908 Postby South Texas Storms » Sun Sep 03, 2017 11:12 pm

GeneratorPower wrote:The trend strikes again. Houston or NOLA?


Irma better not get anywhere near Houston. This city can't take any other tropical systems this year.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#4909 Postby CourierPR » Sun Sep 03, 2017 11:12 pm

SFLcane wrote:TRap door opening but can't miss FL now


What is the trap door?
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#4910 Postby Aric Dunn » Sun Sep 03, 2017 11:13 pm

SFLcane wrote:TRap door opening but cant miss FL now


no trap door.. trough has been long gone.. only difference in the last few runs is that random low that developed over the mississippi valley. it is not there now.. so Like i said earlier what woud happen with out that low.. w to a wnw track into the gulf area.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#4911 Postby Digital-TC-Chaser » Sun Sep 03, 2017 11:13 pm

Next plots likely move N....then NNW...landfall again se coast line.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#4912 Postby weathaguyry » Sun Sep 03, 2017 11:13 pm

Off of Cuba moving NW @156
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#4913 Postby Blinhart » Sun Sep 03, 2017 11:13 pm

Cunxi Huang wrote:Way too south...

Image


by maybe 20 or so miles, not to far south, just hope he doesn't go through the Caribbean and have more time over much warmer water.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#4914 Postby SFLcane » Sun Sep 03, 2017 11:13 pm

Coming north for SFL at 156hrs
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#4915 Postby AxaltaRacing24 » Sun Sep 03, 2017 11:13 pm

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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#4916 Postby CrazyC83 » Sun Sep 03, 2017 11:14 pm

Notice how slow it is moving near Cuba. That would be a LOT of rain. Also I have a hard time believing it would be more than a category 1 storm after that long on land.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#4917 Postby GeneratorPower » Sun Sep 03, 2017 11:14 pm

Uh oh. I'm gonna need a clean pair of shorts.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#4918 Postby M3gaMatch » Sun Sep 03, 2017 11:14 pm

yep there's that upper low @ 156hrs. Induces northerly movement.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#4919 Postby Blinhart » Sun Sep 03, 2017 11:14 pm

Digital-TC-Chaser wrote:Next plots likely move N....then NNW...landfall again se coast line.


Highly doubt it.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#4920 Postby ConvergenceZone » Sun Sep 03, 2017 11:15 pm

This run is way too far South. GFS is on crack. And no I'm not -removed-. I live in California
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