ATL: IRMA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#4921 Postby Chris90 » Tue Sep 05, 2017 11:33 pm

PandaCitrus wrote:I'm amazed how tightly wound up Irma is. We are now in the outer edges of the eyewall and still don't have sustained hurricane winds. It's almost like Charley how compact the wind field was.


You're in the outer edges of the eyewall?! What's your location if you don't mind me asking? Stay safe!!
Make sure to check in when the storm has passed and you have chance to let everyone know you made it safe.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#4922 Postby tropicwatch » Tue Sep 05, 2017 11:33 pm

drewschmaltz wrote:Gusts to 95 pressure still only at 970.... here we go.


Looked the lat lon up on google earth and it is on the south side of the Island. Water levels probably wont rise until the opposite side of the eye. By that time I would think the station will have stopped reporting.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#4923 Postby Alyono » Tue Sep 05, 2017 11:34 pm

the winds on the north side of the island are likely a LOT higher
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#4924 Postby JaxGator » Tue Sep 05, 2017 11:34 pm

New convection firing in the eyewall as Irma approaches Barbuda. Can't imagine what's happening on the ground now. Godspeed.
Last edited by JaxGator on Tue Sep 05, 2017 11:37 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#4925 Postby PTrackerLA » Tue Sep 05, 2017 11:35 pm

drewschmaltz wrote:Gusts to 95 pressure still only at 970.... here we go.


Are there any other obs in Barbuda or cams? It will be interesting to see how long that station can stay online but I'm afraid it will be down soon. It will be a horrifying night for those on Barbuda and possibly points east.

Gusting to 98mph, pressure now 966mb.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#4926 Postby MatthewsRevenge » Tue Sep 05, 2017 11:36 pm

New convection? Does Irma keep changing her eye because she's not satisfied with it??? Sounds like it.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#4927 Postby drewschmaltz » Tue Sep 05, 2017 11:37 pm

Alyono wrote:the winds on the north side of the island are likely a LOT higher


True, and that makes me think... Based on where the population is and how few people are there... I wonder if that's basically where everyone is? Away from the surge and wind! (for now). Still operating and dropping. 99mph at 966mb.
Last edited by drewschmaltz on Tue Sep 05, 2017 11:38 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#4928 Postby tcast305 » Tue Sep 05, 2017 11:37 pm

Sanibel wrote:GFS 00z never touches Florida and takes a category 5 in to Charleston...


Sanibel,

Why would you write a statement like this? GFS brings IRMA very close to SFL, which will effect us here in SFL.

The GFS is back on a westward shift (albeit a small one), but ensembles as of 18Z waiting for 00Z show SFL is at the big risk.

Thanks.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#4929 Postby ronyan » Tue Sep 05, 2017 11:38 pm

Next update on the ob should be :41, should be above hurricane force sustained.
Last edited by ronyan on Tue Sep 05, 2017 11:39 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#4930 Postby floridasun78 » Tue Sep 05, 2017 11:39 pm

i hearing from island a house lost roof from one islands were hurr force wind hitting Barbuda
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#4931 Postby Aric Dunn » Tue Sep 05, 2017 11:39 pm

drewschmaltz wrote:
Alyono wrote:the winds on the north side of the island are likely a LOT higher


True, and that makes me think... Based on where the population is and how few people are there... I wonder if that's basically where everyone is? Away from the surge and wind! (for now). Still operating and dropping. 99mph at 966mb.


the only reason it would be lower is maybe because of the elevation.. the island is not big enough to have any difference .. lol
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#4932 Postby Snowman67 » Tue Sep 05, 2017 11:39 pm

drewschmaltz wrote:
Alyono wrote:the winds on the north side of the island are likely a LOT higher


True, and that makes me think... Based on where the population is and how few people are there... I wonder if that's basically where everyone is? Away from the surge and wind! (for now). Still operating and dropping. 99mph at 966mb.


Most all of the population (80-90%) is on the western side in Codrington.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#4933 Postby tropicwatch » Tue Sep 05, 2017 11:40 pm

Just noticed the water level predictions for that station. I think they are a tad off. 8-)
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#4934 Postby Trixie718 » Tue Sep 05, 2017 11:40 pm

Not many people on Barbuda that would have internet access. Very small island with extremely limited resources so god speed to them at this time.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#4935 Postby Aric Dunn » Tue Sep 05, 2017 11:43 pm

speaking of GFS.. like a sick joke.. sorry being off topic.. jose looks like its about to head to florida too..
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#4936 Postby tropicwatch » Tue Sep 05, 2017 11:44 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:speaking of GFS.. like a sick joke.. sorry being off topic.. jose looks like its about to head to florida too..

One headache at a time please. :cry:
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#4937 Postby ronyan » Tue Sep 05, 2017 11:44 pm

There it is, 81 mph G 105
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#4938 Postby drewschmaltz » Tue Sep 05, 2017 11:48 pm

http://barbadosweather.org/

Checkout out the forecast for yesterday / today.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#4939 Postby Aric Dunn » Tue Sep 05, 2017 11:49 pm

70 sustained.... must be fun..
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Main Recon Thread (Data only)

#4940 Postby Sciencerocks » Tue Sep 05, 2017 11:49 pm

000
URNT15 KNHC 060447
AF305 1111A IRMA HDOB 44 20170906
043830 1832N 06034W 6967 03131 0076 +057 +039 119078 083 039 049 00
043900 1831N 06035W 6957 03147 0057 +074 +036 121070 078 051 031 00
043930 1830N 06037W 6954 03146 0055 +076 +036 117061 067 050 031 00
044000 1828N 06038W 6979 03126 0055 +081 +035 118069 071 049 023 00
044030 1827N 06039W 6967 03138 0059 +075 +032 126069 071 046 006 00
044100 1826N 06041W 6965 03136 0045 +082 +033 123071 073 049 007 00
044130 1825N 06042W 6967 03129 0050 +076 +033 117070 073 050 007 03
044200 1823N 06044W 6963 03135 0050 +076 +034 118070 073 049 013 00
044230 1822N 06045W 6971 03119 0034 +087 +033 126071 073 051 006 00
044300 1821N 06046W 6972 03115 0026 +089 +032 127075 076 049 005 00
044330 1819N 06048W 6962 03128 0022 +091 +032 128075 076 051 004 00
044400 1818N 06049W 6964 03122 0033 +078 +033 127074 076 053 007 00
044430 1817N 06050W 6963 03116 0034 +073 +035 131078 081 053 013 03
044500 1816N 06051W 6969 03105 0016 +083 +036 130077 079 056 009 00
044530 1815N 06053W 6957 03119 0022 +076 +037 129075 077 057 012 03
044600 1813N 06054W 6966 03103 0017 +076 +038 125072 075 060 018 03
044630 1812N 06055W 6974 03090 0008 +081 +039 129078 079 060 017 03
044700 1811N 06057W 6971 03091 9986 +095 +037 128080 081 060 010 00
044730 1810N 06058W 6967 03090 9980 +098 +034 129083 083 062 005 00
044800 1808N 06059W 6963 03091 9971 +100 +033 129086 087 060 006 00
$$
;
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