ATL: IRMA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Sanibel
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#4941 Postby Sanibel » Tue Sep 05, 2017 11:50 pm

I track the eye...I assume most people following this board already understand the windfield...
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#4942 Postby ronyan » Tue Sep 05, 2017 11:50 pm

Barbuda sustained 91 mph G 117, probably won't have this reporting much longer.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#4943 Postby MatthewsRevenge » Tue Sep 05, 2017 11:51 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:speaking of GFS.. like a sick joke.. sorry being off topic.. jose looks like its about to head to florida too..


In GFS' run, it looks like it comes close and then suddenly gets pulled NE OTS at the last minute, it seems.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#4944 Postby drewschmaltz » Tue Sep 05, 2017 11:51 pm

ronyan wrote:Barbuda sustained 91 mph G 117, probably won't have this reporting much longer.


I guess I'm impressed it is still reporting.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#4945 Postby Aric Dunn » Tue Sep 05, 2017 11:52 pm

80 kts sustained.. hopefully we get some good data before it fails..
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#4946 Postby verbs » Tue Sep 05, 2017 11:53 pm

meriland29 wrote:Am I seeing convection popping? I see the recon passed over 163kt winds about 20 min ago..


Seems like the SW/W/NW side of the inner part of the storm are becoming a bit less symmetrical/warmer?
Last edited by verbs on Tue Sep 05, 2017 11:56 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#4947 Postby Aric Dunn » Tue Sep 05, 2017 11:53 pm

MatthewsRevenge wrote:
Aric Dunn wrote:speaking of GFS.. like a sick joke.. sorry being off topic.. jose looks like its about to head to florida too..


In GFS' run, it looks like it comes close and then suddenly gets pulled NE OTS at the last minute, it seems.



good for US.. not good for all the bahamas that were just hit by IRMA lol..
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#4948 Postby Bizzles » Tue Sep 05, 2017 11:55 pm

http://barbadosweather.org/BMS_radar_Composite.php

Radar fwiw
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#4949 Postby ronyan » Tue Sep 05, 2017 11:56 pm

Gust to 127 mph with 949 mb
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#4950 Postby Aric Dunn » Tue Sep 05, 2017 11:59 pm

please dont fail please dont fail..
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#4951 Postby southwest southerner » Wed Sep 06, 2017 12:00 am

ronyan wrote:Gust to 127 mph with 949 mb


link to obs?
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#4952 Postby ronyan » Wed Sep 06, 2017 12:00 am

107 G 131, almost cat 3 conditions there on the far SW side of Barbuda

https://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/stati ... 15#sensors
Last edited by ronyan on Wed Sep 06, 2017 12:01 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#4953 Postby Alyono » Wed Sep 06, 2017 12:01 am

gusting to 131 mph as of about 15 minutes ago
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#4954 Postby SoupBone » Wed Sep 06, 2017 12:02 am

Aric Dunn wrote:please dont fail please dont fail..



What are you talking about?
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#4955 Postby Patricia » Wed Sep 06, 2017 12:02 am

At what point will we know that this thing is going to hit Florida (or is that a for sure) and maybe which side (or does that matter)? My extended family has plans to evacuate (Melbourne) and they are hoping to head out Thursday. I'm worried about them but that's the earliest flight they could get out of Jacksonville.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#4956 Postby tcast305 » Wed Sep 06, 2017 12:03 am

SoupBone wrote:
Aric Dunn wrote:please dont fail please dont fail..



What are you talking about?


Assuming the radar, or the site to the radar.

Thanks.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#4957 Postby tropicwatch » Wed Sep 06, 2017 12:04 am

tcast305 wrote:
SoupBone wrote:
Aric Dunn wrote:please dont fail please dont fail..



What are you talking about?


Assuming the radar, or the site to the radar.

Thanks.

Weather Station on Barbuda https://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/stationhome.html?id=9761115#sensors
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#4958 Postby drewschmaltz » Wed Sep 06, 2017 12:04 am

Alyono wrote:gusting to 131 mph as of about 15 minutes ago


Based on the MB (939), I'm thinking (guessing) [praying] this is at / near the peak wind readings for this station.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#4959 Postby Aric Dunn » Wed Sep 06, 2017 12:04 am

tcast305 wrote:
SoupBone wrote:
Aric Dunn wrote:please dont fail please dont fail..



What are you talking about?


Assuming the radar, or the site to the radar.

Thanks.


no the anemometer !!
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#4960 Postby 1900hurricane » Wed Sep 06, 2017 12:05 am

Tropopause temps and heights from San Juan look like they could support a cold medium grey CDO.

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