ATL: HARVEY - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[cycloneye]

Harvey joins the record books.

@StuOstro
938 mb puts #HurricaneHarvey among 20 lowest pressures at US hurricane landfall, & 7th lowest in Texas. Data source: http://bit.ly/1MaPQ9T



 https://twitter.com/StuOstro/status/901308170198540288

[hurricaneCW]

The real disaster is just beginning. Just days and days of flooding rains over a huge area. This is what Harvey will truly be remembered for.

[GCANE]

Harvey still pulling moisture out of the EPAC thru the flat area between Oaxaca and Chiapas.
Also pulling it out of a good portion of the GOM as well.

http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/m ... anim=html5

[Kingarabian]

Still early but thankfully I can't find fatalities due to Harvey. Hopefully it stays that way.

[northjaxpro]

Good morning everyone my prayers to everyone in the South Texas region I have been tracking the developments like the rest of us, all night long. I am very impressed with how well intact the inner core structure is of Harvey. I've never seen a hurricane's inner core structure remains so well intact long after landfall. This shows us how powerful this hurricane was and how well-organized it was for sure.

The worst is still to come as massive epic flooding is going to occur, hurricane force winds are going to continue throughout the day as Harvey's stall is in the process of happening currently. Unfortunately, we're in for a long period of days of a meandering tropical cyclone dumping copious amounts of rain to go along with the threat of tornadoes all throughout South Texas. My heart and prayers go out to everyone down there. Godspeed to everyone!!!!

[bob rulz]

It IS early. I'm guessing sun is only just coming up in Texas now? Still at least a couple hours away from seeing extent of damage in Rockport.

[chaser1]

So even with a historic hurricane impact the cliches are a plenty - "could've been worse!" and the western Gulf/BOC special of "if this thing had one more day over water man think of the disaster and strength of it!". The storms that strengthen in the western Gulf always get that cliche every single time I've seen one occur! A lot of the small core TCs especially. It always could be worse, no matter what. A TC could always have more time over water but then ERCs and numerous other things can weaken it. I never read the opposite of "if this hurricane had another 12 hours over the western Gulf imagine the eyewall replacement cycle that could have started and weakened this thing!". Never read that which is what would happen half the time.

Perhaps because as a coping mechanism, our human nature attempts to visualize "what is" vs. "what might have been"? I guess there'd be little reason for anyone right now to sit and ponder, "boy, if this were January, this system would never have developed"??
1) Many would not define the event as historic.... YET
2) Prior forecasts maintained areas potentially experiencing hurricane force winds for up to 72 hours and possibly longer. Updated analysis and forecast significantly undercut those prior concerns.
3) Upon landfall, Harvey was upgraded to a Cat. 4 but it is too early for most of us not in the path to have learned or seen what damage has thus far occurred.
4) Those in the path "fear", "cope", and "survive" whatever it IS they are presently experiencing. They are dealing with the present because they are actually living it. All others can merely imagine and compare what has/is occurring to what our greater imagination led us to anticipate or as compared to how we believed this event was going to play out.

[GCANE]

Harvey's core.

Doesn't get much more perfectly stacked than that.
Right out of a Dr Gray paper.

Very high core center at about 200mb.
The updraft must be phenomenal.
You can see it extending the top of the troposphere.

[poof121]

Is it my imagination, or does he have an easterly component of motion?

[WeatherGuesser]

Still early but thankfully I can't find fatalities due to Harvey.

I would imagine no one is even out looking yet. Aren't all of the emergency services on stand-down? Will they even be able to get out today at all?

[Blinhart]

It IS early. I'm guessing sun is only just coming up in Texas now? Still at least a couple hours away from seeing extent of damage in Rockport.

Not even close, here in Crowley, La. which is about 80 miles from the Texas state line is pitch black with no sign of the sun coming up.

[hd44]

Band of rain west of Houston is moving east. Could set up over the city and produce 20 inches of rain. Shown on the arw model.

[Blinhart]

Is it my imagination, or does he have an easterly component of motion?

I saw the same thing, so hope he isn't starting his return to the GoM already.

[Stangfriik]

Is it my imagination, or does he have an easterly component of motion?

I saw the same thing, so hope he isn't starting his return to the GoM already.

TWC said based on the models, a reemergence into the gom is less likely than yesterday. They showed all the models winding north and West??

[GCANE]

140+ mph wind gusts in eye wall of category 4 Hurricane Harvey from Rockport, Texas.



Link: http://youtu.be/tP5_wav6QZo

[northjaxpro]

Still early but thankfully I can't find fatalities due to Harvey.

I would imagine no one is even out looking yet. Aren't all of the emergency services on stand-down? Will they even be able to get out today at all?

This will be a major concern for days to come. Conditions are going to be so dangerous for police and emergency responders to even try to get out and look for people or get to people in distress. It is so very depressing to think about this.

This is why we must always be prepared and be ready to take action and get out if your life is at risk. My greatest fear right now is that many people may not have left out of harm"s way. I pray this is not the situation ongoing currently!!!!

[chaser1]

Harvey joins the record books.

@StuOstro
938 mb puts #HurricaneHarvey among 20 lowest pressures at US hurricane landfall, & 7th lowest in Texas. Data source: http://bit.ly/1MaPQ9T



 https://twitter.com/StuOstro/status/901308170198540288

Missed it by one! Had guessed 937mb

[hd44]

It IS early. I'm guessing sun is only just coming up in Texas now? Still at least a couple hours away from seeing extent of damage in Rockport.

Not even close, here in Crowley, La. which is about 80 miles from the Texas state line is pitch black with no sign of the sun coming up.

Less likely but still likely. Majority of ensembles emerge into gulf.

[poof121]

https://imgur.com/gallery/2SaCv

[Ivanhater]

Thank you for your posts Gcane along the way with Harvey...they have been instrumental.