ATL: HARVEY - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[tolakram]

The blue shed IS the new hurricane shelter.

[Hurricane Andrew]

The blue shed IS the new hurricane shelter.

Darn thing didn't have a scratch! Maybe POTUS will use it as the new WH bunker...?

[Aric Dunn]

its like reports are being blocked from being made public.. very odd.

Come on Aric. When the winds calm a bit we can start to see some drone coverage, but when a storm is sitting and spinning down I think this slow trickle of info is what can be expected.

 https://twitter.com/Jeff_Piotrowski/status/901453118784798725



Jeff Piotrowski ✔ @Jeff_Piotrowski
We are stuck in the town of Rockport all roads are blocked due to high water & debris .#txwx #hurricaneharvey2017
10:35 AM - Aug 26, 2017

Well I guess its a little windy still

I just used to remember the brazen local news helicopter people in the 80's and 90;s flying around when it was still TS conditions. "your seeing first here on "

[tolakram]

 https://twitter.com/cbsaustin/status/901453753253060613



CBS Austin ✔ @cbsaustin
NEW VIDEO: As day breaks in Rockport, a look at the devastation from Hurricane Harvey http://bit.ly/2xBHe7s
10:38 AM - Aug 26, 2017

[Hurricane Andrew]

 https://twitter.com/cbsaustin/status/901453753253060613



CBS Austin ✔ @cbsaustin
NEW VIDEO: As day breaks in Rockport, a look at the devastation from Hurricane Harvey http://bit.ly/2xBHe7s
10:38 AM - Aug 26, 2017

Wow...definitely looks like significant damage throughout the Rockport area...I know their volley Fire guys were hunkering down in the station all night, per a CNN article.

[bohaiboy]

Just north of Houston (Spring, TX) I had .28" yesterday and 3.5" just this morning.

[tolakram]

 https://twitter.com/APCentralRegion/status/901446750979989504




AP Central U.S. ✔ @APCentralRegion
Mayor of #Rockport, #Texas, says #HurricaneHarvey emergency response hampered by loss of cellphone service. http://apne.ws/beDgaLm
10:10 AM - Aug 26, 2017

[Ntxw]

The Galveston Bay region is getting hit hard this morning with training rains. Harvey is hardly moving now so that band won't move much today.

[mpic]

Reporting from Splendora on 59 NE of Houston. No wind, but torrential rain for hours.

[ava_ati]

 https://twitter.com/BigJoeBastardi/status/901466278585442304




Still in East Texas next Saturday, goodness.

[mpic]

Channel 13 Houston is broadcasting live . http://abc13.com/live/ for those without TV service

[Raebie]

Just north of Houston (Spring, TX) I had .28" yesterday and 3.5" just this morning.

I have relative in Spring. Please keep me posted!

[tolakram]

May have started NW movement.

saved loop

[JPmia]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zGu1UEt ... e=youtu.be

This type of destruction is consistent with Cat 3/4 winds.

[tolakram]

https://twitter.com/BigJoeBastardi/status/901466278585442304

Still in East Texas next Saturday, goodness.

He is closely following the euro track which is slowly evolving. Right now Euro still emerges Harvey back over water, but just barely. GFS sends this west and slowly dissipates. The NHC track is in the middle and still the best bet IMO. Regardless, rain rain rain.

[tolakram]

000
WTNT44 KNHC 261452
TCDAT4

Hurricane Harvey Discussion Number 25
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092017
1000 AM CDT Sat Aug 26 2017

Harvey has been inland for about 12 hours and weakening is under
way. Doppler radar data indicate that winds have decreased to 65 kt,
and that is the intensity used in this advisory. Since Harvey is
over land, a continued weakening is anticipated, and the NHC
forecast uses the trend provided by the SHIPS decay model. However,
if a portion of Harvey's circulation remains over the Gulf of
Mexico, the cyclone could weaken at a slower rate than shown here.

The hurricane is moving very slowly toward the north at about 2 kt.
Harvey is embedded within very light steering currents, and global
models keep this weak flow in place for the next several days. Based
on this pattern, Harvey could easily meander for the next 4 to 5
days over southeast Texas as indicated in the NHC forecast. The only
agreement among the track guidance is that Harvey is certainly not
going anywhere fast.

This slow motion of the cyclone is expected to exacerbate the
potential for catastrophic flooding from heavy rainfall at least
through the middle of next week.

Please note that hourly Tropical Cyclone Updates (TCUs) have been
discontinued due to the degradation of Harvey's center on radar.

Key Messages:

1. While Harvey's winds have begun to weaken, life-threatening
hazards will continue from heavy rainfall over much of southeastern
Texas and from storm surge along portions of the Texas coast.

2. Catastrophic and life-threatening flooding is expected across the
middle and upper Texas coast from heavy rainfall of 15 to 30 inches,
with isolated amounts as high as 40 inches, through Thursday.
Please heed the advice of local officials and do not drive into
flooded roadways. Refer to products from your local National
Weather Service office and the NOAA Weather Prediction Center for
more information on the flooding hazard. A summary of rainfall
totals compiled by the Weather Prediction Center can be found at:
www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc1.html

3. A Storm Surge Warning remains in effect for portions of the
Texas. Life-threatening storm surge flooding will be slow to recede
due to the slow motion of Harvey and a prolonged period of onshore
flow. For a depiction of areas at risk, see the Storm Surge
Watch/Warning Graphic at hurricanes.gov.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 26/1500Z 28.9N 97.3W 65 KT 75 MPH...INLAND
12H 27/0000Z 29.1N 97.4W 45 KT 50 MPH...INLAND
24H 27/1200Z 29.2N 97.5W 40 KT 45 MPH...INLAND
36H 28/0000Z 29.0N 97.5W 35 KT 40 MPH...INLAND
48H 28/1200Z 28.7N 97.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND
72H 29/1200Z 28.7N 96.7W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND
96H 30/1200Z 29.5N 96.7W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND
120H 31/1200Z 30.5N 96.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND

$$
Forecaster Avila/Lapenta

[sponger]

Seems like the cell service is a huge issue. Why don't we have a mobile cell tower ready to go in after these storms? Communication can greatly accelerate the initial recovery.

[tolakram]

NHC track

[TexWx]

May have started NW movement.

saved loop

Sure looks like it.

[jabman98]

I assume flooding from water backing up, even if it's not raining hard in that location. That is the big danger of these kinds of floods. It may be clear but suddenly you're knee deep in water.

Yeah, for sure. In this location the upstream area hasn't had the big rain (yet), the usual areas aren't flooding, and local TV wasn't showing any flooding problems in that area. So it's just odd to me. The problem of to much local knowledge! Hope everyone stays safe.