ATL: IRMA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[RL3AO]

IMO SFL TV stations should stop showing models. We have a forecast track and it's time to focus on that.

[South Texas Storms]

IMO SFL TV stations should stop showing models. We have a forecast track and it's time to focus on that.

Exactly...no need to show models when we have a track from the experts.

[HarryPotter]

Not sure if it has been mentioned, but kind of eerie and frighteningly fitting that the list of names for 2017 is the same one from 2005 (obviously with replacements for the retired ones).

[davidiowx]

Are there any webcams in the Virgin Islands, particularly around St. John or Peter Island?

[meriland29]

Anyone have a current view of Irma? See how she is faring

[Extratropical94]

URNT15 KNHC 061627
AF305 1311A IRMA HDOB 24 20170906
161730 1845N 06443W 6960 03001 9852 +113 +113 062095 098 071 005 00
161800 1844N 06442W 6975 02973 9854 +113 +113 061095 097 074 008 00
161830 1843N 06441W 6953 02990 9836 +114 //// 059096 099 074 009 01
161900 1842N 06440W 6971 02953 9828 +118 +118 058100 102 079 010 00
161930 1840N 06439W 6967 02941 9792 +118 +116 053099 101 083 006 00
162000 1839N 06438W 6965 02928 9758 +121 +103 052107 109 087 003 00
162030 1837N 06437W 6970 02899 9738 +119 +096 048112 115 093 004 00
162100 1836N 06437W 6970 02873 9724 +108 +104 048121 124 097 012 03
162130 1834N 06436W 6962 02847 9710 +113 +113 048126 131 105 030 00
162200 1833N 06435W 6972 02791 9665 +113 +113 043134 136 118 052 03
162230 1831N 06434W 6964 02746 9594 +115 //// 038137 140 129 071 01
162300 1830N 06433W 6977 02670 9522 +125 //// 037140 145 156 057 01
162330 1828N 06432W 6977 02594 9450 +118 //// 038126 138 172 031 05
162400 1827N 06431W 7028 02472 //// +133 //// 026102 120 /// /// 05
162430 1826N 06429W 6975 02473 9230 +156 +144 024075 095 131 000 05
162500 1825N 06427W 6962 02459 9198 +184 +129 019043 060 /// /// 03
162530 1824N 06426W 6972 02427 9179 +184 +140 024019 030 041 000 03
162600 1824N 06424W 6961 02439 9192 +158 +150 037005 015 035 000 01
162630 1823N 06422W 6971 02428 9196 +155 +152 159004 005 032 001 00
162700 1822N 06421W 6970 02429 9202 +151 +149 177012 015 032 001 01

[SouthDadeFish]

IMO SFL TV stations should stop showing models. We have a forecast track and it's time to focus on that.

I think so too. When showing them, one has to ask themself, how is this helping? And how is it hurting? I don't really see what it adds to the NHC cone. Furthermore, it also takes away the message of uncertainty when they are aligned in one certain location, despite having flip-flopped from previous runs. Instead, just put up the NHC cone and say it could be anywhere in here as a powerful hurricane. If they want to show models, I would feel better showing all the ensemble members instead so the public can get an idea of the uncertainty involved.

[Tireman4]

I hope this works..it is from KVUE's Facebook page..

https://www.facebook.com/KVUEinsider/

[Kazmit]

Wind field of Irma has extended considerably over its lifetime. Will probably continue to grow with each EWRC.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/ ... istory.png

[NDG]

Irma's eye now over Spanish Town, British Virgin Islands.

[Hurricane Andrew]

IMO SFL TV stations should stop showing models. We have a forecast track and it's time to focus on that.

I agree. NHC accuracy has gotten very, very good...and they are an entire organization of the best in their field.

[Dave C]

156 knot sfmr

[SouthDadeFish]

Man.... The Virgin Islands are getting hammered right now...

[GCANE]

 https://twitter.com/IgorNeil/status/905468542304358404

[alan1961]

Today's ISS pass over Irma.

[tropicwatch]

HH finding close to 180mph surface BVI. No Flag.

[Cunxi Huang]

162330 1828N 06432W 6977 02594 9450 +118 //// 038126 138 172 031 05

this is a wtf level SFMR wind speed of 172 kt...not sure if NHC is going to upgrade IRMA to a 170 kt hurricane.

[SouthDadeFish]

You have to be careful with the SFMR when it is near land or in shallow waters. That probably explains why the SFMR had some silly-high readings. Or at least I hope.

[GCANE]

HDOB AF305:
917.9 mb extrap
156 knts SFMR

172 knt is flagged

[psyclone]

The NHC is and always has been my model of choice. It is remarkable the number of people that never use this outstanding resource but will share a fake forecast made up by an idiot on social media. It is just baffling.