ATL: IRMA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[SNOW_JOKE]

St.Maarten/Princess Juliana airport is completely destroyed, the terminal roof is scattered onto the runway with a good few ft of seawater surge flooding all of the airport complex. Runway has been ripped to shreds by the surge looking at the pictures coming out on twitter.

[Extratropical94]

URNT12 KNHC 061856
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL112017
A. 06/18:16:10Z
B. 18 deg 31 min N
064 deg 50 min W
C. 700 mb 2375 m
D. 140 kt
E. 037 deg 13 nm
F. 122 deg 161 kt
G. 043 deg 15 nm
H. 917 mb
I. 10 C / 3055 m
J. 23 C / 3047 m
K. 10 C / NA
L. CLOSED
M. C18
N. 12345 / 7
O. 0.02 / 1 nm
P. AF305 1311A IRMA OB 13
MAX FL WIND 161 KT 043 / 15 NM 18:09:00Z
MAX OUTBOUND FL WIND 148 KT 217 / 10 NM 18:23:00Z
CNTR DROPSONDE SFC WIND 035 / 9 KT

[NCWeatherChic]

I read alot on here and have been a forum member for years, just don't post often. I just wanted to thank everyone on here for always being polite and courteous with each other. You won't see this kind of respect on other weather forums or any forums in general. I'm in NC, east of Raleigh by the I95 corridor. Hubby and I went to Walmart earlier and we're glad to see people taking this storm seriously. Many walked by as my husband bought yet another shotgun (he has enuff!) and asked the clerk where batteries were and where where flashlights etc. We bought 25 cases of water (they were on sale for $1.79 no limits and they had pallets after pallets of them!) Our generator fired up on the first pull! Gosh I hope we aren't forgetting anything. Anywho, the stores are already getting swamped here. How is it going for yall in other states? I'm sure Floridians are getting prepared.

Thanks guys!!!! Yall always have each other's backs and have genuine concern for others. Hugs!

[Extratropical94]

URNT15 KNHC 061857
AF305 1311A IRMA HDOB 39 20170906
184730 1724N 06600W 6964 03139 0062 +094 +094 336035 042 035 011 00
184800 1722N 06601W 6967 03142 0045 +089 //// 320038 039 037 005 01
184830 1721N 06603W 6963 03143 0039 +089 +084 316039 039 036 003 01
184900 1720N 06604W 6972 03137 0037 +093 +083 318038 038 035 003 00
184930 1718N 06605W 6964 03146 0040 +092 +075 317038 040 035 001 00
185000 1717N 06607W 6967 03143 0040 +093 +068 312034 038 035 001 00
185030 1716N 06608W 6967 03144 0046 +089 +068 311032 033 034 002 00
185100 1715N 06609W 6963 03150 0048 +088 +067 314033 033 034 001 03
185130 1714N 06610W 6969 03144 0045 +091 +065 307033 033 032 002 03
185200 1712N 06610W 6964 03150 0045 +093 +062 303032 033 /// /// 03
185230 1711N 06608W 6965 03148 0050 +087 +066 298031 031 031 002 03
185300 1712N 06606W 6969 03142 0051 +085 +065 305031 031 032 001 00
185330 1712N 06604W 6967 03143 0047 +086 +063 303032 033 033 001 00
185400 1712N 06602W 6967 03142 0042 +090 +067 299033 034 034 001 00
185430 1712N 06600W 6970 03138 0041 +090 +070 295032 033 033 001 00
185500 1712N 06558W 6970 03137 0043 +087 +073 291032 033 032 002 00
185530 1712N 06556W 6961 03148 0044 +085 +081 288029 033 033 001 01
185600 1713N 06554W 6966 03139 0041 +086 +082 291029 031 034 002 01
185630 1713N 06552W 6973 03132 0037 +089 +088 298027 029 034 002 00
185700 1713N 06550W 6966 03139 0037 +090 +085 297029 030 035 002 00

[Cunxi Huang]

2017SEP06 181535 6.9 925.6 137.4 6.9 7.5 7.5 NO LIMIT OFF OFF 17.13 -76.31 EYE 19 IR 88.9 18.68 64.53 COMBO GOES16 35.9

ADT raw# 7.5, eye temp 17.13 C.

[AutoPenalti]

Not sure if this was posted anywhere on here but DAMN.

Self-described aviation geek Jason Rabinowitz (@AirlineFlyer) was keeping tabs on commercial flights near Hurricane Irma when he noticed on Delta flight headed for Puerto Rico was headed right into the arms storm. Here's how it looked on flight radar.

[supercane4867]

St.Maarten/Princess Juliana airport is completely destroyed, the terminal roof is scattered onto the runway with a good few ft of seawater surge flooding all of the airport complex. Runway has been ripped to shreds by the surge looking at the pictures coming out on twitter.

I'm sure these planes are not flyable anymore...

[O Town]

Hello,
This is my first ever post here on Storm 2K!! Been on site since Charley here in Orlando and want to say this is the best forum out there!! Thanks for keeping us informed on whats going on as this is a dangerous situation for all here in the mainland. Wanted to ask since im no expert what type of winds would we realistically feel here in Orlando. Fox35 said at least 100mph earlier in morning. Wanted to see how valid that statement was. Keep up the good work guys doing great.

From NHC, about 25% probability as of now of hurricane force winds.


Seems late Sunday night and early Monday is when our worst weather will be near us.



All this could change though. Link below
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/mobile/refresh/ ... 175630.php

[KWT]

2017SEP06 181535 6.9 925.6 137.4 6.9 7.5 7.5 NO LIMIT OFF OFF 17.13 -76.31 EYE 19 IR 88.9 18.68 64.53 COMBO GOES16 35.9

ADT raw# 7.5, eye temp 17.13 C.

Yeah raw numbers are finally starting to catch up with reality that Irma is a powerful cat-5 hurricane.

At 917mbs Irma is the strongest hurricane Dean in 2007 which got down to 905mbs. Wouldn't be shocked to see that getting challenged in the next 96hrs, especially if it avoids Cuba over those exceptionally hot waters south of Florida.

[Extratropical94]

[storm_in_a_teacup]

West.

Ah, is that why her west quad looks a little off?

When you see it...

I'd suggest she roll it out, but I think that would just be more shear.

...I'm sorry.

[Buck]

I'm just curious as to would be the worst case scenario should this pass over Orlando if the models a gift again... anybody have any idea?

I'm no pro-met, but the GFS model run from this morning that showed it basically coming on shore at Miami as a Cat 4/5 before exiting and riding the coast up and landfall in Savannah... that looked to me like just about the worst we could ask for... all that surge and beach erosion for the entire west coast of florida, severe wind impacts for Miami and everywhere, really. Plus Savannah is a pretty delicate city that had several severe storms in the 1800s but aside from Matthew last year (which tore it up pretty badly), it has been spared for a long time.

[Extratropical94]

URNT15 KNHC 061907
AF305 1311A IRMA HDOB 40 20170906
185730 1713N 06548W 6967 03138 0035 +090 +083 297029 030 036 001 00
185800 1713N 06545W 6969 03134 0034 +090 +082 293029 030 036 002 00
185830 1713N 06543W 6966 03138 0032 +092 +075 290029 029 036 002 00
185900 1713N 06541W 6967 03135 0028 +095 +071 290030 030 038 001 00
185930 1713N 06539W 6966 03137 0026 +095 +071 293031 032 038 002 00
190000 1713N 06537W 6967 03135 0025 +095 +073 290032 033 038 002 00
190030 1713N 06535W 6969 03132 0022 +098 +067 288032 032 038 002 00
190100 1713N 06533W 6965 03135 0022 +098 +066 288032 032 039 001 00
190130 1713N 06531W 6970 03128 0023 +095 +066 281031 031 039 001 00
190200 1713N 06529W 6967 03131 0021 +095 +079 280030 031 040 001 00
190230 1714N 06527W 6971 03125 0022 +095 +067 276032 033 041 001 00
190300 1714N 06524W 6966 03131 0022 +093 +073 275033 033 040 001 00
190330 1714N 06522W 6967 03128 0021 +094 +076 270032 033 039 002 00
190400 1714N 06520W 6969 03126 0018 +095 +077 266033 034 040 002 00
190430 1714N 06518W 6964 03131 0015 +096 +079 265035 037 041 002 00
190500 1714N 06516W 6970 03123 0045 +094 //// 271032 037 040 006 01
190530 1714N 06514W 6976 03123 0034 +094 //// 263031 033 042 004 01
190600 1714N 06512W 6967 03135 0036 +088 +083 264033 034 042 004 01
190630 1714N 06509W 6961 03144 0029 +092 +084 258035 036 041 003 00
190700 1714N 06507W 6970 03134 0034 +087 +079 255034 036 042 003 01

[Iune]

St.Maarten/Princess Juliana airport is completely destroyed, the terminal roof is scattered onto the runway with a good few ft of seawater surge flooding all of the airport complex. Runway has been ripped to shreds by the surge looking at the pictures coming out on twitter.

That is so sad to hear; Princess Juliana airport was always one of the most picturesque airports in the Caribbean. My thoughts are with everyone who had been, or will be in the path of Irma.

[1900hurricane]

Cloud tops looking like they're trying to take the next step up on BD imagery. CMGs have almost built a complete ring.

[storm_in_a_teacup]

Cloud tops looking like they're trying to take the next step up on BD imagery. CMGs have almost built a complete ring.

What's a CMG?

(I know a CME is a coronal mass ejection but I'm pretty sure this is unrelated.)

[SunnyThoughts]

Is Luis/cycloneye in San Juan, or another location in Puerto Rico? I sure am thinking about all the folks there and hoping for the best for all of them.

[Hurricane Andrew]

Cloud tops looking like they're trying to take the next step up on BD imagery. CMGs have almost built a complete ring.

What's a CMG?

(I know a CME is a coronal mass ejection but I'm pretty sure this is unrelated.)

Cold Medium Gray. Part of the Dvorak overlay scale, I believe.

[BYG Jacob]

Cloud tops looking like they're trying to take the next step up on BD imagery. CMGs have almost built a complete ring.

What's a CMG?

(I know a CME is a coronal mass ejection but I'm pretty sure this is unrelated.)

CMG stands for cold medium grey which is the second coldest temperature a storms cloud top can reach, CDG (Cold Dark Grey) being the coldest. It signifies an extremely intense storm.

[Hurricaneman]

Cloud tops looking like they're trying to take the next step up on BD imagery. CMGs have almost built a complete ring.

What's a CMG?

(I know a CME is a coronal mass ejection but I'm pretty sure this is unrelated.)

CMG stands for cold medium grey which is the second coldest temperature a storms cloud top can reach, CDG (Cold Dark Grey) being the coldest. It signifies an extremely intense storm.

There's some CDG in the western eye wall which is indicating intensification