ATL: IRMA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[RL3AO]

The forecast from Tuesday morning.

[capepoint]

Getting word that I-75 north is a "parking lot"...

As is 95 and Pike...If leaving prepare for a 12 hr trip min from miami to Ga.

I'll say it again.

Back roads!

Open google maps on your phone and leave it running as a gps nav system. It does a great job of finding faster detours around traffic jams on interstates. (Learned this during the exodus from sc after the eclipse.

[KBBOCA]

Thats the capital. About 3700 population. If they are in the inner eye.. there likely wont be much left..

Is there any count of how many islands Irma has made landfall on/hit with the eye? Got to be getting close to 12 or more by my estimates. I wonder what the record is...

[SunnyThoughts]

Can someone with greater knowledge of the topography of Florida discuss the threat of a repeat of the Okeechobee Hurricane? Are there levees in place to prevent the storm surge from flooding the neighborhoods around the lake, or is there a potential for flooding associated with that?

Maybr try the south florida water management site ?

Rick Scott (gov of Fla) speaks about Okeechobee at every press briefing. They have been letting water out of the lake for a while now. He says he has been assured the dikes will be fine.

[Bob3]

Spot on

[jasons2k]

It has been a few hours but this round of EWRC is still not completed.

it might be really close to being finished.. the satellite presentation is becoming better by the minute.

Again...it's not undergoing ERCs.

[Blown Away]

The forecast from Tuesday morning.

Do you think Irma becomes a W coast of Florida storm with regards to the eye track?

[RL3AO]

Do you think Irma becomes a W coast of Florida storm with regards to the eye track?

It's not impossible, but I think the 12z Euro is probably the western edge of where it would go. I think the NHC is spot on.

[KBBOCA]

The forecast from Tuesday morning.

STELLAR!!! I can't remember when I've seen the forecast track verify so near perfectly. The NHC scientists are unbelievably good folks.

[CrazyC83]

Thats the capital. About 3700 population. If they are in the inner eye.. there likely wont be much left..

Is there any count of how many islands Irma has made landfall on/hit with the eye? Got to be getting close to 12 or more by my estimates. I wonder what the record is...

Official landfalls in Barbuda, Saint Martin, Saint Barthelemy (I think), Virgin Gorda and Tortola. The eyewall has hit Anguilla, Anegada, Saint Thomas and Saint John.

[jasons2k]

The forecast from Tuesday morning.

That's pretty amazing.

[Hurrilurker]

I would guess that it IS strengthening though. 'm going to guess recon will find sub-916 pressure based on the improved satellite presentation vs. earlier today. We'll soon see, plane is in the air now, although the data looks a little screwy so far (maybe I'm not reading it right?).

[Aric Dunn]

It has been a few hours but this round of EWRC is still not completed.

it might be really close to being finished.. the satellite presentation is becoming better by the minute.

Again...it's not undergoing ERCs.

Microwave suggest otherwise and its pretty clear.

[KBBOCA]

Latest from NWS Wilmington re: current thoughts on likely impacts in Eastern NC

 https://twitter.com/NWSWilmingtonNC/status/905920642821836804

[JaxGator]

WInd field has been expanding:
Hurricane force winds now 70 miles from center.

 https://twitter.com/SteveBowenWx/status/905899229008285696

well I guess my earlier statement was off. so now.

IF you were to place IRMA over orlando the outer edges EYEwall would be just offshore both coasts.. lovely.. not good..

Hey Aric, if that's the case (depending on Irma's strength after landfall), would North Florida see Cat 1 winds with Cat 2 gusts (that's on the NHC's track)? Or would it still be a Cat 2 by then before it crosses the state line. Either way, both would be bad.

[RL3AO]

I would guess that it IS strengthening though. 'm going to guess recon will find sub-916 pressure based on the improved satellite presentation vs. earlier today. We'll soon see, plane is in the air now, although the data looks a little screwy so far (maybe I'm not reading it right?).

Still looks to be in an EWRC, though a run at sub-900 once it completes it and moves away from Haiti wouldn't surprise me.

[Evil Jeremy]

Well, all my preparations are done. Now it's just a waiting game.

Normally, I'd be all over this board, but Irma is making me sick to my stomach. Not something I *want* to have to be typing about.

[CrazyC83]

What is traffic like on 10 West beyond Lake City? Are a lot of people going to the Florida Panhandle, Alabama, Mississippi or Louisiana?

[sponger]

Nailed it!!! Good job NHC!

[Extratropical94]

I would guess that it IS strengthening though. 'm going to guess recon will find sub-916 pressure based on the improved satellite presentation vs. earlier today. We'll soon see, plane is in the air now, although the data looks a little screwy so far (maybe I'm not reading it right?).

If you're referring to the current observation sets coming in: the plane is not at operational altitude yet. They are flying at around 25,000 feet which is the cruising altitude. As soon as they descend to 10,000 feet the data will become less screwy.