ATL: IRMA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[KBBOCA]

Here's the latest timeline on expected arrival of tropical storm force winds, per the 5 pm forecast:

 https://twitter.com/wxbrad/status/905921554546139136

[Sciencerocks]

000
URNT15 KNHC 072236
AF309 1811A IRMA HDOB 12 20170907
222630 1814N 06803W 3923 07745 0424 -150 -462 159026 026 /// /// 03
222700 1817N 06803W 3925 07742 0424 -154 -466 160026 026 /// /// 03
222730 1819N 06802W 3923 07743 0423 -155 -473 158028 028 /// /// 03
222800 1822N 06802W 3923 07743 0423 -157 -473 155028 028 /// /// 03
222830 1825N 06801W 3923 07744 0422 -157 -310 157028 029 /// /// 03
222900 1827N 06800W 3921 07744 0421 -157 -371 160027 029 /// /// 03
222930 1830N 06801W 3923 07740 0421 -162 -298 156024 025 /// /// 03
223000 1832N 06803W 3922 07742 0419 -159 -429 158024 025 /// /// 03
223030 1833N 06806W 3923 07740 0420 -155 -466 158024 024 /// /// 03
223100 1835N 06808W 3923 07742 0420 -155 -442 159024 024 /// /// 03
223130 1837N 06810W 3922 07741 0418 -156 -425 161023 023 /// /// 03
223200 1839N 06812W 3923 07738 0418 -156 -419 160024 024 /// /// 03
223230 1840N 06814W 3921 07744 0418 -160 -410 163023 024 /// /// 03
223300 1842N 06817W 3924 07737 0418 -160 -379 165023 023 /// /// 03
223330 1844N 06819W 3923 07737 0418 -153 -329 164023 023 /// /// 03
223400 1846N 06821W 3922 07739 0418 -156 -291 168024 024 /// /// 03
223430 1847N 06823W 3926 07731 0417 -156 -277 161026 027 /// /// 03
223500 1849N 06826W 3923 07736 0417 -161 -303 159026 026 /// /// 03
223530 1851N 06828W 3923 07737 0416 -164 -335 160026 027 /// /// 03
223600 1853N 06830W 3923 07736 0414 -164 -359 158027 027 /// /// 03
$$
;

[sponger]

What is traffic like on 10 West beyond Lake City? Are a lot of people going to the Florida Panhandle, Alabama, Mississippi or Louisiana?

Heading North! I10 looks good except for Tallahassee.

https://www.google.com/maps/place/Flori ... 35!5m1!1e1

[jasons2k]

it might be really close to being finished.. the satellite presentation is becoming better by the minute.

Again...it's not undergoing ERCs.

Microwave suggest otherwise and its pretty clear.

Respectfully disagree. There was a very lengthy (and well-cited) writeup last night on AmericanWx about it that settled this debate.

[Ken711]

If Irma can skirt enough of Cuba is it likely to weaken enough to make a difference?

[KBBOCA]

 https://twitter.com/pppapin/status/905921014835666944

[Yellowlab]

The forecast from Tuesday morning.

That's pretty amazing....

[txwatcher91]

Again...it's not undergoing ERCs.

Microwave suggest otherwise and its pretty clear.

Respectfully disagree. There was a very lengthy (and well-cited) writeup last night on AmericanWx about it that settled this debate.

I have to disagree. Previously it would be easy to argue that there wasn’t an EWRC ongoing but with recon finding a double wind maxima earlier today and the microwave images indicating the inner eye is being choked off, it’s pretty clear one is ongoing now.

[flamingosun]

A comparison of NHC's last two tracks and slight shift west. Both really bad scenarios.

 https://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/905907316104585216

What track is worse for Miami-Dade?

I'm going to say the east track is a bit worse because it brings the core back out over water for a significant period of time before 2nd landfall. But the west track would cause more devastation in heavily-populated Orlando.

And the space center

[South Texas Storms]

The trends today have not been good for Florida. It looks increasingly likely that a Category 5 hurricane will be making landfall in south Florida Sunday morning. This could be one of the strongest storms to ever make landfall in the U.S. I really hope folks are listening to local officials and finishing preparations soon.

[supercane4867]

Again...it's not undergoing ERCs.

Microwave suggest otherwise and its pretty clear.

Respectfully disagree. There was a very lengthy (and well-cited) writeup last night on AmericanWx about it that settled this debate.

Link please?

[pcolaman]

What is traffic like on 10 West beyond Lake City? Are a lot of people going to the Florida Panhandle, Alabama, Mississippi or Louisiana?

Traffic here in the Panhandle has been steady with a few accidents .Mobile tunnel was at a standstill due to accident in the tunnel and on the bridge toward the tunnel.

[Aric Dunn]

Again...it's not undergoing ERCs.

Microwave suggest otherwise and its pretty clear.

Respectfully disagree. There was a very lengthy (and well-cited) writeup last night on AmericanWx about it that settled this debate.

Good to know.. lets see it ? Its also not last night anymore.

[TJRE]

COD MET Loop
http://climate.cod.edu/hanis/satellite/ ... verDim=100

reaching sub 900 might not be a stretch ......

Dang!!!!

[KBBOCA]

For just a little bit of humor at this very scary time...

Just saw a Hurricane Irma blog entry which included some tips for millenials, like how to unbox and operate a battery-powered am-fm radio

http://hurricaneharbor.blogspot.com/201 ... ap-is.html

You cannot runaway from this storm unless you flew out yesterday. So deal with it calmly, logically and make sure you have a BATTERY OPERATED RADIO WITH THE PROPER BATTERIES cause I know several people who evacuated and obviously do NOT read my blog and did not take a battery radio with them. That's your LIFE LINE to the world when the power goes out. Weather Radio is GOOD... but the regular radio will tell you NEWS you need to have to stay informed on the storm when sitting in the dark listening to the wind howl and wondering what that was that just banged into your hurricane shutters. Hopefully a flying iguana not your car.....

I know being Millenials or aging baby boomers you need to watch a youtube video or a Buzz Feed article so I am including this one to show you how to use and unbox your battery operated radio.


https://www.buzzfeed.com/summeranne/10- ... .nyjvywmbd

[Sciencerocks]

000
URNT15 KNHC 072246
AF309 1811A IRMA HDOB 13 20170907
223630 1854N 06832W 3921 07738 0413 -164 -366 161026 027 /// /// 03
223700 1856N 06834W 3923 07737 0415 -161 -377 166026 027 /// /// 03
223730 1858N 06837W 3922 07738 0414 -160 -368 169026 027 025 000 00
223800 1900N 06839W 3925 07730 0413 -156 -386 165028 028 025 000 00
223830 1901N 06841W 3921 07736 0412 -155 -395 166028 029 027 000 00
223900 1903N 06843W 3925 07727 0410 -154 -373 162030 031 027 000 00
223930 1905N 06846W 3923 07731 0410 -158 -308 163031 031 026 000 00
224000 1907N 06848W 3923 07727 0408 -159 -287 165034 035 024 001 00
224030 1908N 06850W 3922 07729 0407 -162 -293 166033 034 023 000 00
224100 1910N 06853W 3921 07732 0407 -150 -277 177032 034 024 000 00
224130 1911N 06855W 3921 07732 0408 -155 -260 176031 032 024 000 03
224200 1912N 06858W 3922 07731 0406 -150 -244 177032 033 020 000 00
224230 1913N 06900W 3923 07727 0407 -151 -231 181031 032 018 001 00
224300 1915N 06903W 3925 07724 0406 -153 -220 186030 031 022 001 00
224330 1916N 06905W 3922 07729 0407 -154 -215 184031 031 023 000 00
224400 1917N 06907W 4045 07510 0404 -140 -211 181034 035 031 000 03
224430 1918N 06910W 4253 07129 0379 -124 -186 176037 040 073 001 03
224500 1920N 06912W 4452 06774 0355 -109 -152 170041 043 032 000 03
224530 1921N 06915W 4672 06401 0332 -092 -152 166040 042 /// /// 03
224600 1922N 06917W 4844 06113 0309 -066 -105 179036 040 035 000 03
$$

[JaxGator]

Well, all my preparations are done. Now it's just a waiting game.

Normally, I'd be all over this board, but Irma is making me sick to my stomach. Not something I *want* to have to be typing about.

You and me both. Its horrible that its come to this and its going to be a long ride.. Though its good you finished your preps ahead of time. I'm just about done with mine. Stay safe.

[tropicwatch]

What is traffic like on 10 West beyond Lake City? Are a lot of people going to the Florida Panhandle, Alabama, Mississippi or Louisiana?

Google current traffic

[Hurrilurker]

If Irma can skirt enough of Cuba is it likely to weaken enough to make a difference?

It's possible although skirting Cuba and Hispaniola seems to have little effect (although it might get closer to Cuba). If it actually landfalls on Cuba or spends significant time making the turn there, then yes, I would expect some negative effects to set in.

[Aric Dunn]

Microwave suggest otherwise and its pretty clear.

Respectfully disagree. There was a very lengthy (and well-cited) writeup last night on AmericanWx about it that settled this debate.

Good to know.. lets see it ? Its also not last night anymore.

New image. Inner eye is nearly gone now.. no doubt an erc is about done.