ATL: IRMA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Aric Dunn]

Outer eyewall now stronger. Won't be much longer. A run at sub 900 tomorrow wouldn't surprise me.

we might end up with an Isabel size eye after this one...

[NDG]

NHC shifted the track a little more to the west a little closer to the Euro!

[RL3AO]

Big shift during days 4 and 5. Good news for SC/NC.

[jlauderdal]

This is probably a stupid question and I'm sure I already know the answer but here it goes. My parents live in Boca Raton and have boarded up all their 2nd Floor windows and all first floor east facing windows, however they do not have any protection for 6 sets of sliding glass doors in the back of the house which faces southeast...they plan to stay in the house for the storm...does anyone see any possible way that they will be safe in the house?

If any of the glass doors break, it could spell disaster. Lots of homes lost roofs when the garage doors failed, and their are some similarities, don't you think?

I am very worried for them...they won't leave because they have a safe room in the interior of the home that they plan to go into if the weather gets to bad. We have impact windows at our place and insisted they come stay with us but they are refusing because the "storms are never as bad as forecasted"

Safe room isnt safe if those doors go...evacuation in order

[Bocadude85]

South Florida now under a hurricane warning

[psyclone]

NHC shifted the track a little more to the west a little closer to the Euro!

ummmm. yikes

[Hurricane Andrew]

Does anyone have a good shear forecast? The only thing I see keeping this from going back to a 5 in the Straights is possible shear.

[pokkeherrie]

Just got the text. Hurricane warning in effect.

[Miami Storm Tracker]

Just got an emergency notice on my phone hurricane warning in effect

[meriland29]

As per nhc

"
If Irma has developed concentric eyewalls, then some additional
gradual weakening or fluctuations in intensity are possible over
the next day or two, despite a seemingly favorable atmospheric and
oceanic environment. The intensity models depict a very gradual
decrease in Irma's maximum winds up until a possible landfall in
Florida, but the hurricane is nonetheless expected to still be at
or near category 4 strength at that time. After landfall, a fairly
quick decay in maximum winds is expected due to land interaction
and increased shear, although Irma's large wind field is likely to
still produce hurricane-force winds over a large area."

[Miami Storm Tracker]

Just got an emergency notice on my phone hurricane warning in effect

[Evil Jeremy]

The warnings are out, and everyone's cellphones are ringing. The dreaded emergency alarm strikes again.

[HurricaneRyan]

And my Dad and my half-sis seriously think Tampa is gonna save them?

[Miami Storm Tracker]

Yep,From what I can see nothing to get us out of this one.

[jdray]

Stay safe my south Florida neighbors.
Those of us in Central and North Florida need to finish prep now and get ready to hunker down.

[1900hurricane]

Forecasted 135 kt landfall. Ouch.

[Aric Dunn]

As per nhc

"
If Irma has developed concentric eyewalls, then some additional
gradual weakening or fluctuations in intensity are possible over
the next day or two, despite a seemingly favorable atmospheric and
oceanic environment. The intensity models depict a very gradual
decrease in Irma's maximum winds up until a possible landfall in
Florida, but the hurricane is nonetheless expected to still be at
or near category 4 strength at that time. After landfall, a fairly
quick decay in maximum winds is expected due to land interaction
and increased shear, although Irma's large wind field is likely to
still produce hurricane-force winds over a large area."

thats how little we all know ....

[lando]

Auto I heard 95 is better than turnpike there

[floridasun78]

Just got an emergency notice on my phone hurricane warning in effect

me too weather radio came on

[Raebie]

As per nhc

"
If Irma has developed concentric eyewalls, then some additional
gradual weakening or fluctuations in intensity are possible over
the next day or two, despite a seemingly favorable atmospheric and
oceanic environment. The intensity models depict a very gradual
decrease in Irma's maximum winds up until a possible landfall in
Florida, but the hurricane is nonetheless expected to still be at
or near category 4 strength at that time. After landfall, a fairly
quick decay in maximum winds is expected due to land interaction
and increased shear, although Irma's large wind field is likely to
still produce hurricane-force winds over a large area."

That seems rather ...comforting.