ATL: MARIA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[znel52]

Raw T# up to 7.1

Anyone remember what the raw t# was for Irma when she was at her peak intensity?

7.5 or 7.6 if I remember correctly. I think 7.5

[SouthDadeFish]

Recon enroute now. By the time they get there, I would assume winds will be 130 kt+. I think they will be able to do at least one center pass before landfall.

Really hope everyone in Dominica is prepared for the worst. Because this is basically as bad as it gets.

[Hypercane_Kyle]

This is like watching a slow-motion horror movie. Definitely bringing flashbacks of '08 in terms of big storm after big storm after big storm.

More like watching a repeat of '05 in the Western Caribbean/GOMEX, but yea, this is horrible. I don't think we've seen an <8nm eye since Hurricane Patricia, either.

[MGC]

Dominica about to get blasted by an intensifying Cat-4. Prayers going out to people on the islands in the path of Maria. Does anyone know if the Martinique radar have doppler velocities available?.....MGC

[Aric Dunn]

Well if we go off what the HWRF Says for this time period.... 141 kts

[Hurricane Andrew]

This is like watching a slow-motion horror movie. Definitely bringing flashbacks of '08 in terms of big storm after big storm after big storm.

More like watching a repeat of '05 in the Western Caribbean/GOMEX, but yea, this is horrible. I don't think we've seen an <8nm eye since Hurricane Patricia, either.

I just keep thinking about how many people doubted Irma would come west...and she did. Gotta keep an eye on this.

[Ryxn]

When Maria hits Dominica as a Cat 5, it will make 2017 only the second year in history (the other being 2007) to feature MORE THAN ONE Category 5 hurricanes making landfall(s) at Category 5 (the other being Irma). If she hits Puerto Rico as a Cat 5 as well, she'd place 2017's Category 5 landfall count at 8 which is CRAAAZYYYY. (Also, I'm new here... first post )

[znel52]

 https://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/909890431189692416

[BYG Jacob]

If Maria hits Dominica as a Cat 5, it will make 2017 only the second year in history to feature MORE THAN ONE Category 5 hurricane landfalls (the other being Irma on Cuba). If she hits Puerto Rico as a Cat 5 as well, she'd put 2017 in first place for most Category 5 landfalls. CRAZY.

Don't think its a matter of if at this point.

[RL3AO]

Recon enroute now. By the time they get there, I would assume winds will be 130 kt+. I think they will be able to do at least one center pass before landfall.

Really hope everyone in Dominica is prepared for the worst. Because this is basically as bad as it gets.

It's really hard to hit one of these islands head on. Often the worst passes between them or the tip of an island get hit. This looks to be a direct hit from a rapidly intensifying category 4 or 5.

[Aric Dunn]

If this is a Cat5 .. that is two cat 5s east of the islands this season and 3 total ever...

[galaxy401]

So with Recon on the way, what are your predictions to what they'll find? I'm going to guess 135 knots with pressure of 941.

[guyclaude08]

Does Dominica has a live cam ? again i'm gonna ask the same question i asked gor Irma how will Maria affects Santiago in the Dominican Republic ?

[hiflyer]

Noaa49 currently enroute from Savannah to Lakeland...

[hurricaneCW]

I would honestly be shocked if she wasn't a Cat 5 right now, that IR presentation is downright vicious. Dominica is only a few hours from a direct hit.

[CrazyC83]

If this is a Cat5 .. that is two cat 5s east of the islands this season and 3 total ever...

The only cat 5's in the deep tropical Atlantic in the satellite era before 2017 were Hugo and Isabel. Although there were surely others, to have two there is insane.

[1900hurricane]

Ignoring ADT's egregious failure at finding the eye, GOES-16 now had WMG in the eye.

[Alyono]

If Maria hits Dominica as a Cat 5, it will make 2017 only the second year in history (the other being 2007) to feature MORE THAN ONE Category 5 hurricane landfalls (the other being Irma on Cuba). If she hits Puerto Rico as a Cat 5 as well, she'd put 2017 in first place for most Category 5 landfalls. CRAZY. (Also, I'm new here... first post )

Andrew in 1992 made 2 cat 5 landfalls

[Aric Dunn]

If this is a Cat5 .. that is two cat 5s east of the islands this season and 3 total ever...

The only cat 5's in the deep tropical Atlantic in the satellite era before 2017 were Hugo and Isabel. Although there were surely others, to have two there is insane.

isabel was far north and not "really" east of the islands. . ..

was only hugo and Irma.

[CrazyC83]

I would honestly be shocked if she wasn't a Cat 5 right now, that IR presentation is downright vicious. Dominica is only a few hours from a direct hit.

If Dominica doesn't disrupt Maria, could we see a CDG ring come D-Max?